tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-21606278910841521122024-03-13T00:33:45.195-07:00Onebornfree's Financial Safety Reports Onebornfree’s Financial Safety Reports- a free report from Financial Safety Educational Services.Examining the psychology behind dangerous investment beliefs+assumptions common to most individuals; that endanger their wealth and long term savings, short term speculations, and their financial safety, security and privacy.Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.comBlogger67125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-87541315007982954982023-10-30T07:42:00.001-07:002023-10-30T09:13:03.565-07:00Economic Overview:Graph Updates-Federal Debt. Money Supply, Interest Rates, Stocks, Gold,Crypto, Inflation<div class="separator" style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><b><span face=""Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif" style="caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-size-adjust: auto;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-family: helvetica;">About Financial Safety Services</span></a></span></span></b></div><div class="separator" style="background-color: white; clear: both; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><br /></span></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html" style="color: #33aaff; text-decoration-line: none;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer </a></span></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"> </span></b></span></div></div></div><div style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="color: #800180;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><a href="https://vigilante.tv/w/fSWYFnv9PemaVqtXXDBE4f" style="color: #2288bb; text-decoration-line: none;">MONERO</a></b> crypto-coin donations here:</span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #800180; font-family: helvetica;">42AK8MnVKCmgJMb5j7Wz4gc3MaXSCwk5u5aRBMGcj1wFWm4Nx7VPcegNyZavLwfpbo4R1NeyPoXVXDTeRi1uVfEWM1bUBsw</span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #800180; font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><b>*****************</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: x-large;"><span><b>Wither the </b></span><b>Economy?</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #2b00fe; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Below, dear reader, are, for your consideration and entertainment, various graphs I've recently compiled in an attempt to give some sort of "big-picture" overview of the state of the US economy right now, or, more accurately, as it was maybe a short while ago, given the fact that any graph becomes obsolete the minute it is published :-) .</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #2b00fe; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><span style="color: red; font-size: x-large;">WARNING! :</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><span style="color: red; font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>None</u> <u>of these graphs should be considered, either in isolation, or in total, as guides to the true <b>future</b> state of the US economy, and therefor then used to decide where to "invest" one's hard earned money!<b> </b></u></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>Why?</b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Because, the economic future cannot be reliably and consistently predicted by graphs, cycle theory, investment advisors, portfolio managers, astrology. [For some relevant quotes, see <a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/von-mises-quotes.html"><b>here</b></a>].</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>Free Advice?</b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">If you would like to know what to do about this "dreadful" fact of reality [i.e. the inability of anyone to reliably and consistently predict future economic scenarios/prices etc.] please go to the bottom of this page<b style="text-decoration-line: underline;"> </b>and click the embedded link there to my article:</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><i>"How To Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc., Despite An Unknowable Economic Future"</i></span></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">**********************</span></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div style="font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: x-large;">Inflation/Consumer Price Index [CPI]:</span></b></div><div style="color: #2b00fe; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="color: #2b00fe; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimDsuOZUWT3MtZXHnnidf7gPcx8ZGAad3yIuupyG3ofEr4Fd6uH0emQdLTA8KGM5cK4GY4MaQ3b1j5ngnHSI1RUwwFe9ORHlgQ2rB0H7e-AOgBP3TsWq06hEvAopcosR5XSAOKAZnxA1M771Wzkfv51V7pwEbO2JLpRyQTvgoHN9ym0-vH4oBZcJIpHwzD/s807/CP!-%2010%20yr.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="410" data-original-width="807" height="326" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimDsuOZUWT3MtZXHnnidf7gPcx8ZGAad3yIuupyG3ofEr4Fd6uH0emQdLTA8KGM5cK4GY4MaQ3b1j5ngnHSI1RUwwFe9ORHlgQ2rB0H7e-AOgBP3TsWq06hEvAopcosR5XSAOKAZnxA1M771Wzkfv51V7pwEbO2JLpRyQTvgoHN9ym0-vH4oBZcJIpHwzD/w640-h326/CP!-%2010%20yr.png" width="640" /></a></div><span style="color: black;"><span>Consumer Price Index [CPI] - 2014-09/23</span></span></div><div style="color: #2b00fe; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><br /><br /></div><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: x-large; font-weight: bold;"><b>Federal Deficits/Debt: </b></span><br /><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #2b00fe; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiugPwcTwLHf_SXqXj-f5ewnB1ifzsdlAMBVPC9Ni1LZlY0YI8lh8WHQpWvkRQCiUfFfxODGrtGzBbjFqtPon4VQgaLJm_2W9velI0jPLqYLrnI9_HyUI4Iib0MbpwnQeX-k-2SAhMSNVvuv4Y5IhKaHJh7_4HJQ1mJCfIygo9_bx1lnvYQ1c0bGeLZZVB5/s811/fed%20debt%201910-2023.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="470" data-original-width="811" height="370" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiugPwcTwLHf_SXqXj-f5ewnB1ifzsdlAMBVPC9Ni1LZlY0YI8lh8WHQpWvkRQCiUfFfxODGrtGzBbjFqtPon4VQgaLJm_2W9velI0jPLqYLrnI9_HyUI4Iib0MbpwnQeX-k-2SAhMSNVvuv4Y5IhKaHJh7_4HJQ1mJCfIygo9_bx1lnvYQ1c0bGeLZZVB5/w640-h370/fed%20debt%201910-2023.png" width="640" /></a></div></span><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><b></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span>Federal Deficits 1910-'23 </span><span><b><br /></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><b> </b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbFJgPTmuS1irFdyJN6TGQHj2dTUejabBo5dYiLm9ozch9_mPW3jMQ2clyDHgzrI3CRl2OS2mKwM0dJ4ME1gyFOTtOWQmw3A7qzG2bYXKJwEwNh0vRnLV3VFric7ocl_9LH1qzViQmxL2dqO0YCYiWAwma_FDIPm2VJZP0MY1LS0Gd4BHvBKhwcQJMAFQU/s810/fed%20debt%20total%2010%20yr.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbFJgPTmuS1irFdyJN6TGQHj2dTUejabBo5dYiLm9ozch9_mPW3jMQ2clyDHgzrI3CRl2OS2mKwM0dJ4ME1gyFOTtOWQmw3A7qzG2bYXKJwEwNh0vRnLV3VFric7ocl_9LH1qzViQmxL2dqO0YCYiWAwma_FDIPm2VJZP0MY1LS0Gd4BHvBKhwcQJMAFQU/s810/fed%20debt%20total%2010%20yr.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9oOkeBbz2PvUy5wbfGty6LJPj35KcTF9OY0hIDaW8UIPq7aV3My0mGUJtr1q6vEqGEvEbo6rQQRVgCZEKMYnRpozqYSfbg8qd_k0tIRtzs6ipaAbsLu6mFZCLulDlt8_try-1V9JHIUXtkKcuDj1ldRZt849SOXBYMmx_7bOlJmPaaTGhj-qsjgPyLgrQ/s810/fed%20debt%20total%2010%20yr.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="810" height="374" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9oOkeBbz2PvUy5wbfGty6LJPj35KcTF9OY0hIDaW8UIPq7aV3My0mGUJtr1q6vEqGEvEbo6rQQRVgCZEKMYnRpozqYSfbg8qd_k0tIRtzs6ipaAbsLu6mFZCLulDlt8_try-1V9JHIUXtkKcuDj1ldRZt849SOXBYMmx_7bOlJmPaaTGhj-qsjgPyLgrQ/w640-h374/fed%20debt%20total%2010%20yr.png" width="640" /></span></a></div></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><b> </b></span><span>Federal Debt ,10 years. </span><span><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">Money Supply [MB, M1,M2]:</span><span style="font-size: large;"> </span></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: large;"><b> </b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwmaey4BfMelVqXltTmqYtZuDWYX3fkpWZ2JPO6deYeFTa2poTQGN2rZcQS3Jz7SctO6R1Zmv8RYNWeJBtRHcotgdXXNtpx423mAFeGoKo42OclFxUXifkeUMgabusURYG3wcUGKefRUQiztRtZoFVx_VCIqBJmBGCymwRsRn4NKtN0C12xYLH4iV_43Mb/s812/mb%2010%20yr%20nsa,%20to%2014-0923.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwmaey4BfMelVqXltTmqYtZuDWYX3fkpWZ2JPO6deYeFTa2poTQGN2rZcQS3Jz7SctO6R1Zmv8RYNWeJBtRHcotgdXXNtpx423mAFeGoKo42OclFxUXifkeUMgabusURYG3wcUGKefRUQiztRtZoFVx_VCIqBJmBGCymwRsRn4NKtN0C12xYLH4iV_43Mb/w640-h368/mb%2010%20yr%20nsa,%20to%2014-0923.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">Monetary Base [MB] 2014- 09/23.<span style="text-align: left;"> Log scale</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div> <div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXoeiZF66-tTTjBFdyDUpdJSSd8JPmlRzhi58H2PnqKbbf3zBw41lAAypSJEHgRgkg6zymFZlfkNCacQ4CPTw-P-AqgtnCpFepXjq9ajK5QvUZ4ApYEyCsMdOrVZK9z3N1bvhRU2XM3cFhyphenhyphenSSxJpqa33P5UdlTD21LzWt8T_zXpjW39W-SwxyrrlJVerHE/s808/m1%2010%20yr%20nsa%2014-0923.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXoeiZF66-tTTjBFdyDUpdJSSd8JPmlRzhi58H2PnqKbbf3zBw41lAAypSJEHgRgkg6zymFZlfkNCacQ4CPTw-P-AqgtnCpFepXjq9ajK5QvUZ4ApYEyCsMdOrVZK9z3N1bvhRU2XM3cFhyphenhyphenSSxJpqa33P5UdlTD21LzWt8T_zXpjW39W-SwxyrrlJVerHE/w640-h370/m1%2010%20yr%20nsa%2014-0923.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">M1- 2014- 09/23.<span style="text-align: left;">Log scale</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div> <div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgaJwmYOT42HIM3EJXZvH8stF8l35WKoDIi6KoPeJgvd-m2jv7fdr5htNhi7-krGAU32uuQ-w15gsFEMEnadFtvnM8T8KGVHe8XWuIsFKhnVEk43wO4qM7Ie9iB6y2PWNp5HCW6ha7C9hasZcnXJ-ntm2ieL_TrsnfR9yx_V4q9RNhlH17ieRj-OWBrYSSz/s807/m1%20velocity%2010%20yer%20-0923,sa,.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgaJwmYOT42HIM3EJXZvH8stF8l35WKoDIi6KoPeJgvd-m2jv7fdr5htNhi7-krGAU32uuQ-w15gsFEMEnadFtvnM8T8KGVHe8XWuIsFKhnVEk43wO4qM7Ie9iB6y2PWNp5HCW6ha7C9hasZcnXJ-ntm2ieL_TrsnfR9yx_V4q9RNhlH17ieRj-OWBrYSSz/w640-h368/m1%20velocity%2010%20yer%20-0923,sa,.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">M1 Velocity, 2014- 09/23</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div> <div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBF3_cggrIZchBnXDZtx1Hjaqy8tUNO8nJmCjvE1aU7INeSZWdFNAITVbSuHJJlU_LkZsSE3iiuEFRrI6xrltNp69alkHZMDaFgtck2B2KPnXGy2M1fzJfyK5CCHWHvf9scBh6OQMLQSnlawP_sFhry5orWqsIvBQfRhzV1MjQeBw9okuDCOSLCu7hu31A/s808/m2%2010%20yr%20nsa%2014-0923.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBF3_cggrIZchBnXDZtx1Hjaqy8tUNO8nJmCjvE1aU7INeSZWdFNAITVbSuHJJlU_LkZsSE3iiuEFRrI6xrltNp69alkHZMDaFgtck2B2KPnXGy2M1fzJfyK5CCHWHvf9scBh6OQMLQSnlawP_sFhry5orWqsIvBQfRhzV1MjQeBw9okuDCOSLCu7hu31A/w640-h372/m2%2010%20yr%20nsa%2014-0923.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">M2 2014- 09/23.<span style="text-align: left;">Log scale</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiP6-sTXBRMbSNP9sWaQETQgKCOaYbqp7Ep9VwERWhKYBcD_kopMqrqwyoEREYvo5hCj673Lk2wgZ-LzkVatKDlpYxZAJISA3LKycMW_IwnGzmWz0YfcOZBVZqchp4dDXGoAkgLQynEDP1bunBe_1InOl16j8TaUurVq9RRoY6IuZglejPZGqcCCqqBLW6F/s807/m2%20velocity%2010%20yr%2014-0923,sa..png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiP6-sTXBRMbSNP9sWaQETQgKCOaYbqp7Ep9VwERWhKYBcD_kopMqrqwyoEREYvo5hCj673Lk2wgZ-LzkVatKDlpYxZAJISA3LKycMW_IwnGzmWz0YfcOZBVZqchp4dDXGoAkgLQynEDP1bunBe_1InOl16j8TaUurVq9RRoY6IuZglejPZGqcCCqqBLW6F/w640-h376/m2%20velocity%2010%20yr%2014-0923,sa..png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">M2 Velocity- 2014- 09/23</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: x-large;">Treasury Bill/Bond Yields:</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj80Q_6V95pT-VFeeBm5HUbEjs14COY8ifPf5u1tnqqrWNNAbfYCIha4PVgswszJdCc3mfZhHcDqWTMywOpFERDjpAzRP0jGde26EhJVgDlsrmJN-iuWasxYegQPgTsKRMXSDMMBJOidJ47yoLEymjJCqIcj2JSkvdpOPfOWZdklAnr5Tqgy72U_OE42_09/s807/3%20mo.%20t%20-bill%20,10%20yr%20to%200923.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj80Q_6V95pT-VFeeBm5HUbEjs14COY8ifPf5u1tnqqrWNNAbfYCIha4PVgswszJdCc3mfZhHcDqWTMywOpFERDjpAzRP0jGde26EhJVgDlsrmJN-iuWasxYegQPgTsKRMXSDMMBJOidJ47yoLEymjJCqIcj2JSkvdpOPfOWZdklAnr5Tqgy72U_OE42_09/w640-h370/3%20mo.%20t%20-bill%20,10%20yr%20to%200923.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">3 Month Treasury Bill Yields -2014 -09/23</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfgwuy6cRrfnX8Oo_h8lkYmIkUd5hcZlTgld3N6BDwT0g3nV9fqQivdKHDQ8n3CeiElHootkdpjN5IMX6drB5kLZHQeLXM1KRSWmxFYjgkHv6RawksqVpRPFvWE349GBzjOBpDb2IEBG7LTy0DMVRhaVS6TFy6aZV-0Uh0Fnjvv_U56YRfZGnnx-Mha_Mo/s809/10%20yr%20t-bill,%2010yr-0923.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfgwuy6cRrfnX8Oo_h8lkYmIkUd5hcZlTgld3N6BDwT0g3nV9fqQivdKHDQ8n3CeiElHootkdpjN5IMX6drB5kLZHQeLXM1KRSWmxFYjgkHv6RawksqVpRPFvWE349GBzjOBpDb2IEBG7LTy0DMVRhaVS6TFy6aZV-0Uh0Fnjvv_U56YRfZGnnx-Mha_Mo/w640-h374/10%20yr%20t-bill,%2010yr-0923.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">10 Year Treasury Bond Yields- 2014- 09/23</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLedU-idBcJ6cy5ILgQa9LHmEu6xdG3isnfEYoNumpP-ah0sHNAyrla8sv1TBzGQNjdzILLuVsINsWuRIGbY433tN3FoOm6zk2TA93D-Igmjcw4jGWM-s6FdKIYSL33yMvqcTMoFmvECcriHP9du9vViXrGQbJMhzO3sTHz2-9rXZTmHsz9svzjIS9lrMQ/s809/30%20yr%20bond%20yield-%2010yr.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjLedU-idBcJ6cy5ILgQa9LHmEu6xdG3isnfEYoNumpP-ah0sHNAyrla8sv1TBzGQNjdzILLuVsINsWuRIGbY433tN3FoOm6zk2TA93D-Igmjcw4jGWM-s6FdKIYSL33yMvqcTMoFmvECcriHP9du9vViXrGQbJMhzO3sTHz2-9rXZTmHsz9svzjIS9lrMQ/w640-h372/30%20yr%20bond%20yield-%2010yr.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">30 Year Treasury Bond Yields- 2014- 09/23</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: x-large;">Stock Market Indices:</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDdYJgnkT9IoOc6vvs6iGfsZIA8py_gJmTEigW_5I3s3bI0ZsT1Fe40KhqotkdBR4acBpMqvpkn9nJoZOOr6h5uOeruTlPkzfnqMIuINXwfryCxyKASRy6nffaYl0px-yvbei_M0Jns7HWPz7oTqXUaiZoFfgAPD-xrrhfek0yaFmVoO0OQamGrTweRyGj/s809/s&p500%2010yr-%2010:11:23.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDdYJgnkT9IoOc6vvs6iGfsZIA8py_gJmTEigW_5I3s3bI0ZsT1Fe40KhqotkdBR4acBpMqvpkn9nJoZOOr6h5uOeruTlPkzfnqMIuINXwfryCxyKASRy6nffaYl0px-yvbei_M0Jns7HWPz7oTqXUaiZoFfgAPD-xrrhfek0yaFmVoO0OQamGrTweRyGj/w640-h370/s&p500%2010yr-%2010:11:23.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">Standard and Poors 500- 2014- 09/23. <span style="text-align: left;">Log scale</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXvFxSW5Ow5u-qWbA5NfWPjaoRTX0gIRyQFDKpXnnQ9xAUR0u4ZoGNNVnnE5vsXztNSSRMRMmcV1L5HdEuE2-XHDYS57yP85lAf8tmASsvVnbHza4L25FxAMYM2YvPLw_FoQmdI0PDuS3MaYYHAVo-18oAZCNKXB_zqUsln8PnBrLEIR672d3kBUoHO1yB/s811/nasdaq%2010%20yr%20-09:23.png"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhXvFxSW5Ow5u-qWbA5NfWPjaoRTX0gIRyQFDKpXnnQ9xAUR0u4ZoGNNVnnE5vsXztNSSRMRMmcV1L5HdEuE2-XHDYS57yP85lAf8tmASsvVnbHza4L25FxAMYM2YvPLw_FoQmdI0PDuS3MaYYHAVo-18oAZCNKXB_zqUsln8PnBrLEIR672d3kBUoHO1yB/w640-h370/nasdaq%2010%20yr%20-09:23.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;">Nasdaq- 2014- 0923</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: x-large;">Gold Bullion:</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3oYAqL-eSfSulHKBR939wMwhdxSxkqU3gcOTaCukIGlScgtwsFqitXkymmXLfJxmbX4DMUyVkE4tbn0kcK4LzTaDZi4r910YrPcAJnPOtR2CMLZIwh2RPcWywblgdLPwps6sthX8t57W5AGMRXtM-apWWX5dgB8et8-8OpmrC9FEf7EWznCAPAvN8f3CV/s854/Screen%20Shot%202023-10-14%20at%208.51.42%20PM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="746" data-original-width="854" height="560" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3oYAqL-eSfSulHKBR939wMwhdxSxkqU3gcOTaCukIGlScgtwsFqitXkymmXLfJxmbX4DMUyVkE4tbn0kcK4LzTaDZi4r910YrPcAJnPOtR2CMLZIwh2RPcWywblgdLPwps6sthX8t57W5AGMRXtM-apWWX5dgB8et8-8OpmrC9FEf7EWznCAPAvN8f3CV/w640-h560/Screen%20Shot%202023-10-14%20at%208.51.42%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-size: x-large;">Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin + Ethereum:</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXeiDC3yVOwNtAMVnTjTdsmx9WiO9grdq03-6CTysiXDnnoDK5oeTjBvcgi9AA8bH-qQ7keXpYdCr0QbTNm7ucKirLIx9yr27P21U8QS9iKmcvZ-78XBz5J3ihbEBnKSPRyvqRvDTyRlTE8eU_ghuedvPaVacfu63R6eawEopV83FO8m5gks8Kjx77GwZr/s809/Screen%20Shot%202023-10-15%20at%2011.22.11%20AM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="469" data-original-width="809" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXeiDC3yVOwNtAMVnTjTdsmx9WiO9grdq03-6CTysiXDnnoDK5oeTjBvcgi9AA8bH-qQ7keXpYdCr0QbTNm7ucKirLIx9yr27P21U8QS9iKmcvZ-78XBz5J3ihbEBnKSPRyvqRvDTyRlTE8eU_ghuedvPaVacfu63R6eawEopV83FO8m5gks8Kjx77GwZr/w640-h372/Screen%20Shot%202023-10-15%20at%2011.22.11%20AM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> Bitcoin v. $US, 2019- 0923. Log scale</div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe;"><b><br /><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM1uDcoTjSu7rdisPz6lzh6n0p7Jp6CaLbaV9jZwS07Je_0fTzkOvC9gntwJ1ZC6rt9RD1w3usgBqSKjxbHccEPwgtNO7ld2cBGzNOFiTDyGE2z1J3q-TDRiYa1wDRDod201tAB6jsl1des9LtfADwqSlbP1cmQX3ZRyGz3bhZQZEegtwoP8gVxQpXgW4j/s812/ethereum%202017-23.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="812" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjM1uDcoTjSu7rdisPz6lzh6n0p7Jp6CaLbaV9jZwS07Je_0fTzkOvC9gntwJ1ZC6rt9RD1w3usgBqSKjxbHccEPwgtNO7ld2cBGzNOFiTDyGE2z1J3q-TDRiYa1wDRDod201tAB6jsl1des9LtfADwqSlbP1cmQX3ZRyGz3bhZQZEegtwoP8gVxQpXgW4j/w640-h368/ethereum%202017-23.png" width="640" /></a></div></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span> Ethereum 2017-'23</span><span>, Log Scale<br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #2b00fe;"> ************************</span></b></div><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><p class="p22" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(255, 0, 254); font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s2" style="font-kerning: none;"><b><span style="color: red;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Ad: The Great Economic and Investment Predictions Scam:</span></span></span></b></span></span></p></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><p class="p24" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(4, 255, 0); font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s2" style="font-kerning: none;"><b><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">So what's
Next? Inflation?Another Global Plandemic? Bank Failures?, A Stock
Market Boom? Stock Market Crash? Deflation? Hyper-Inflation ? A Dollar
crash? </span></span></b></span></span></p></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><p class="p26" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(255, 0, 0); font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s2" style="font-kerning: none;"><b><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="color: #800180;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">THIS "JUST" IN -</span></span></span></b></span></span></p><p class="p26" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(255, 0, 0); font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="color: #800180;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span class="s2" style="font-kerning: none;"><b> A</b></span><span class="s10" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(4, 255, 0); font-kerning: none;"><b> </b></span><span class="s2" style="font-kerning: none;"><b>REALITY FACT THAT MOST EVERYONE IS IN COMPLETE DENIAL OF: </b></span></span></span></span></span></p></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><p class="p25" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(255, 0, 0); color: red; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s6" style="font-kerning: none;"><b><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><u>NOBODY, </u>INCLUDING ALL SO-CALLED "INVESTMENT EXPERTS" ECONOMISTS ETC., REALLY KNOWS FOR SURE! </span></span></b></span></span></p></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><p class="p25" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(255, 0, 0); font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s6" style="font-kerning: none;"><b><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="color: #800180;">Question:</span><span style="color: #2b00fe;"> </span></span></span></b></span></span></p><p class="p25" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(255, 0, 0); font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s6" style="font-kerning: none;"><b><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">So
if nobody can reliably, consistently, predict the economic future, what
can rhe individual do in light of this simple, yet hard to swallow,
fact? </span></span></b></span></span></p></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><p class="p28" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 0, 238); color: #0000ee; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s11" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(69, 69, 69); color: #454545; font-kerning: none;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>See: "</b><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html" style="color: #b45f06; text-decoration-line: none;"><span class="s4" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 0, 238); font-kerning: none;"><b>How To Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc., Despite An Unknowable Economic Future</b></span></a>"</span></span></span></span></p><p class="p28" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 0, 238); color: #0000ee; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s11" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(69, 69, 69); color: #454545; font-kerning: none;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></span></span></p><p class="p28" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(0, 0, 238); color: #0000ee; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span><span class="s11" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgb(69, 69, 69); color: #454545; font-kerning: none;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">See also: </span></b></span></span></span></p><h3 class="post-title entry-title" itemprop="name" style="color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0.75em 0px 0px; position: relative;"><span><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2023/06/can-money-supply-figures-accurately.html" style="color: #b45f06; text-decoration-line: none;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Can Money Supply Figures Accurately Predict The Economic Future ?</span></span></a></span></h3><div><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-size: x-large;">****************************</span></div><div><div class="separator" style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif;"><b><span face=""Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif" style="caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-size-adjust: auto;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-family: helvetica;">About Financial Safety Services</span></a></span></span></b></div><div class="separator" style="background-color: white; clear: both; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><br /></span></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html" style="color: #33aaff; text-decoration-line: none;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer </a></span></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-small;"> </span></b></span></div></div></div><div style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="color: #800180;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><a href="https://vigilante.tv/w/fSWYFnv9PemaVqtXXDBE4f" style="color: #2288bb; text-decoration-line: none;">MONERO</a></b> crypto-coin donations here:</span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /></span></span></div><div><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #800180; font-family: helvetica;">42AK8MnVKCmgJMb5j7Wz4gc3MaXSCwk5u5aRBMGcj1wFWm4Nx7VPcegNyZavLwfpbo4R1NeyPoXVXDTeRi1uVfEWM1bUBsw</span></span></div></div></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-25105070462198113442023-06-04T04:52:00.007-07:002023-06-05T05:35:56.913-07:00Can Money Supply Figures Accurately Predict The Economic Future ? June 4th. 2023<div class="separator" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13.2px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;"><b><span><span face=""Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif" style="caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; text-size-adjust: auto;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span> </span></span><span style="font-size: medium;"> </span><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration: none;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-family: helvetica;">About Financial Safety Services</span></a></span></span></span></b></div><div class="separator" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: white; clear: both; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13.2px; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span><br /></span></b></span></span></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html" style="color: #33aaff; text-decoration: none;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer </a></span></b></span></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: medium;"> </span></b></span></div></div></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Crypto-currency Donations:</span></span><span style="color: #800180;"><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://vigilante.tv/w/fSWYFnv9PemaVqtXXDBE4f">MONERO</a></b> crypto-coin donations here:</span></span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">42AK8MnVKCmgJMb5j7Wz4gc3MaXSCwk5u5aRBMGcj1wFWm4Nx7VPcegNyZavLwfpbo4R1NeyPoXVXDTeRi1uVfEWM1bUBsw</span></span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /><span style="font-family: helvetica;"></span><br /></span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">***********************************</span></span></div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><div style="text-align: center;"> </div></span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8cBtf0_8ApCdOvvlAGCiN2jh8fyE_KVxVCh-_Sc8yoLK9CxKSYgJUBeBPx6sM2mS4QDiW1crOrAcvMg91xxkZ11LolL22n5bHm-QSvEcyNv7K_aXvQVHHgj3fv30hAAiZCqdsJv0IPVGK1KnX2pt7odaze4jxdywqhySDagBdP8dvWom_I3PztQ2qMg/s720/Screen%20Shot%202023-05-12%20at%204.40.18%20PM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="370" data-original-width="720" height="328" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8cBtf0_8ApCdOvvlAGCiN2jh8fyE_KVxVCh-_Sc8yoLK9CxKSYgJUBeBPx6sM2mS4QDiW1crOrAcvMg91xxkZ11LolL22n5bHm-QSvEcyNv7K_aXvQVHHgj3fv30hAAiZCqdsJv0IPVGK1KnX2pt7odaze4jxdywqhySDagBdP8dvWom_I3PztQ2qMg/w640-h328/Screen%20Shot%202023-05-12%20at%204.40.18%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #cc0000;">Question: Can Money Supply Figures Accurately Predict The Economic Future?</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">A short answer to the above question:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><u>No ,</u></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">they cannot!</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">That is, they cannot and should not be used to predict the future state of the economy.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">Every Last Penny?</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">However, if you dear reader, [or the author of the article discussed below], firmly believe that money supply figures can be used to reliably predict the future economic environment, then logically, you/they should have no problem with putting all , [ie every last penny!] of your hard earned savings into whatever "investment" that you know "for certain" is going to benefit from whatever it is that you "know" is coming, because you simply cannot fail to "win big" this time around, right?</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">If you're not prepared to do that, then that would seem to indicate that you are not prepared to risk all of your savings on a supposedly "certain"</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">economic future, right?</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">As Dirty Harry famously asked:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">"Do ya feel lucky, punk? :-)</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">Reality Fact:</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Money supply figures/graphs etc. cannot/do not accurately predict the future state of the economy [although you might get lucky, regardless].</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Of course, all previous F.S.S. clients already understand this very important point:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">[But maybe some of them need to be reminded of that fact of reality :-( ]</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">Why Is This So?</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">If you are not a current or former client , and feel the need to fully understand, in excruciating detail, exactly why money supply [or any other] figures/graphs etc. cannot and should not be used to "reliably" predict future economic activity, then you can email me at : <span style="color: #ff00fe;">onebornfreeatyahoodotcom </span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">and I'll give you my current exorbitant rates for such explanations! :-) .</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"> </div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">Free Advice?</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">On the other hand, a link to some totally free investment/speculation advice is given at the close of this post.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">And so, finally, to the article in question:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><a href="https://mises.org/wire/money-supply-has-plummeted-biggest-drop-great-depression"><b>"The Money Supply Has Plummeted in the Biggest Drop Since the Great Depression" </b></a></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">What? A "Miseian" Economist Contradicting Von Mises?</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">What is most interesting to me about the article linked above that I focus on here, is that the author, Mr Ryan McMaken, publishes his findings and conclusions at the Von Mises Institute website. </div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">He says, in part:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><i>"Money supply growth can often be a helpful measure of economic activity and an indicator of coming recessions" .</i></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">However, Mr McMakens primary influence in economic philosophy, Ludwig Von Mises [presumably], has himself stated :</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">"The very idea that the future is predictable...... is, of course, an outgrowth of the whole complex of fallacies and misconceptions which are at the bottom of present-day anticapitalistic policies." <a href="https://cdn.mises.org/Human%20Action_3.pdf">Ludwig Von Mises- "Human Action- a Treatise On Economics" page 867</a></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">[More similarly relevant Von Mises quotes <b><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/von-mises-quotes.html">here</a></b>.] <br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Mr McMaken also illustrates his article with a graph which illustrates growth in the M2 money supply from 1988 through March 2023:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8cBtf0_8ApCdOvvlAGCiN2jh8fyE_KVxVCh-_Sc8yoLK9CxKSYgJUBeBPx6sM2mS4QDiW1crOrAcvMg91xxkZ11LolL22n5bHm-QSvEcyNv7K_aXvQVHHgj3fv30hAAiZCqdsJv0IPVGK1KnX2pt7odaze4jxdywqhySDagBdP8dvWom_I3PztQ2qMg/s720/Screen%20Shot%202023-05-12%20at%204.40.18%20PM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="370" data-original-width="720" height="328" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8cBtf0_8ApCdOvvlAGCiN2jh8fyE_KVxVCh-_Sc8yoLK9CxKSYgJUBeBPx6sM2mS4QDiW1crOrAcvMg91xxkZ11LolL22n5bHm-QSvEcyNv7K_aXvQVHHgj3fv30hAAiZCqdsJv0IPVGK1KnX2pt7odaze4jxdywqhySDagBdP8dvWom_I3PztQ2qMg/w640-h328/Screen%20Shot%202023-05-12%20at%204.40.18%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Fig.1 . McMaken/Von Mises Institute graph of M2 Money Supply, Percentage Rate Change 1988 -2023</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">No Log Scale? Creating A False Impression?</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">[A Lesson I Learned Directly From Harry Browne]</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">As you can see, according to the graph above there seems to have been a huge decline in M2 since its peak in the years 2020-21.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">However, I would say that the above graph gives a very misleading impression.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">I mentored under financial advisor<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Browne"> Harry Browne </a>and subscribed to his wonderful investment newsletter , "Harry Browne's Special Reports", for 10 years ['86-'96].</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">One of the many valuable lessons he taught me over the years was how to read and construct financial data graphs, and of the usefulness of using a <b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logarithmic_scale">logarithmic [log.] scale </a></b>for the vertical [left or right side] scale of a standard graph when appropriate, especially in the case of money supply graphs, as this will reveal percentage changes in volume between _any_ two points shown on the graphs horizontal axis.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">The far more commonly used <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_scale">linear scale</a>, which does not accurately depict volume changes percentage-wise between any two points on the horizontal axis, is usually more visually dramatic, which is mostly why it gets used.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">[Either that, or ignorance, or maybe dishonesty.]</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">If you check my other graphs <b><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">here</a></b>, you will see that the majority of them use a log scale. [As well as subscribing to Harry's newsletter for 10 years, in order to get the latest updates on Fed money supply figures, which at that time I followed somewhat religiously :-(, I also, pre- internet, of course, subscribed to the monthly Federal Reserve Bulletin, plus numerous other alleged "economic indicators" and various "economic and investment forecasting" financial advisor publications. Ah!, those were the days!].</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">To illustrate my point regarding the use of log scale graphs, lets take a look at the same data for M2 shown in Mr McMakens graph, for the same time period ['88-'23], but using a log scale:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbg3mdi_zAiYzTN-6B2OlTRmqapq_3GSsS1AVfP1UBSh4HV6OBfqD9X4S2wx44WDrrzeFJESZoZ7kzq-cYDYqZJN9zneNNjcenX8WFnZ7oyr01D6eV_vD1cgmbyunlvp8CNi9BPOuuTWnpFwQ4IJLxGVbWmAAFBsopz8GtgUL2Uv5bmcsUb2pQi_cCTQ/s805/m2%2098-2023.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="805" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbg3mdi_zAiYzTN-6B2OlTRmqapq_3GSsS1AVfP1UBSh4HV6OBfqD9X4S2wx44WDrrzeFJESZoZ7kzq-cYDYqZJN9zneNNjcenX8WFnZ7oyr01D6eV_vD1cgmbyunlvp8CNi9BPOuuTWnpFwQ4IJLxGVbWmAAFBsopz8GtgUL2Uv5bmcsUb2pQi_cCTQ/w640-h372/m2%2098-2023.png" width="640" /></a></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Fig.2 M2 money supply '88-'23 [log scale]</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">A big difference, right?</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Now for comparison lets look at M2 over the same time period using the far more common, and more visually dramatic, linear scale, <u>where the percentage change difference in volume between any two points on the horizontal is not represented:</u></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3k0aDFbmaJBno7cLfsw80ZMwFEH5ee1pColP0lYFFiUhanu9myojbuKq3HIq_PqMveCGVKdaW8ovmKv8iS2XnCuCS35-JkSDTbSJwIr5H7nfYiyVCbJSHLdfq6lm6RDM74ayLfZdaTR5Ibeoa5TR5PfI1IdSEqum9spd6JbZAh68w6UBObgIduGHA0w/s817/m2%2098-23%20linear.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="472" data-original-width="817" height="370" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3k0aDFbmaJBno7cLfsw80ZMwFEH5ee1pColP0lYFFiUhanu9myojbuKq3HIq_PqMveCGVKdaW8ovmKv8iS2XnCuCS35-JkSDTbSJwIr5H7nfYiyVCbJSHLdfq6lm6RDM74ayLfZdaTR5Ibeoa5TR5PfI1IdSEqum9spd6JbZAh68w6UBObgIduGHA0w/w640-h370/m2%2098-23%20linear.png" width="640" /></a></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Fig.3 M2 money supply '88-'23 [linear scale]</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Notice how much more dramatic the upwards trend in M2 looks, especially after 2020, when a linear scale is used instead of a log scale.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Now lets look at the same data for the last two years, first from Mr McMaken's Von Mises Institute graph, and then using my own log scale graph:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"> </div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEis-GUM4KBWqUDmEwm7wWzCd11ya1oTEsG_9ckNkQOYFOCiqF7tTd-uzJE-1LahMQiMTM3Pfo0VRxBqnfXHtrBxIO2LsA3XxAHCplUThXEgNFFsaC8lShkICASfUgYzxOUWYXYfaaa0D_k20RYOLCvuY7gK--YnnwIfzgSRpQ42yz-cIvcxCJhc2GRS4A/s743/Screen%20Shot%202023-05-26%20at%202.22.57%20AM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="743" data-original-width="276" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEis-GUM4KBWqUDmEwm7wWzCd11ya1oTEsG_9ckNkQOYFOCiqF7tTd-uzJE-1LahMQiMTM3Pfo0VRxBqnfXHtrBxIO2LsA3XxAHCplUThXEgNFFsaC8lShkICASfUgYzxOUWYXYfaaa0D_k20RYOLCvuY7gK--YnnwIfzgSRpQ42yz-cIvcxCJhc2GRS4A/s320/Screen%20Shot%202023-05-26%20at%202.22.57%20AM.png" width="119" /></a></span> <br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Fig.4 M2 money supply '20-'23,</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">[Von Mises Inst. article graph]</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhy71MrmUoOkilypsD2urnAWgRXyd8yvaJw6oDG0j4unvE8DZviv3u-eihR6qph8awNUsvjcJZDpiWH2iQEbLLXv5FRBxPfuw9k6hBPfPvnxZNXcKWf8n3f238I-UZRVqrj5-Z9oo_hTWn0Wz7jT6TCbotyjyO3Nu-iXxV0cbQzyXcVbB9qd2MaEaYMg/s807/m2%202020-23.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="470" data-original-width="807" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhy71MrmUoOkilypsD2urnAWgRXyd8yvaJw6oDG0j4unvE8DZviv3u-eihR6qph8awNUsvjcJZDpiWH2iQEbLLXv5FRBxPfuw9k6hBPfPvnxZNXcKWf8n3f238I-UZRVqrj5-Z9oo_hTWn0Wz7jT6TCbotyjyO3Nu-iXxV0cbQzyXcVbB9qd2MaEaYMg/w640-h372/m2%202020-23.png" width="640" /></a></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Fig.5 M2 money supply [log scale] '20-'23</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">As can be easily seen, the drop in M2 for those last two years looks a lot less dramatic when the log scale is used instead of the way that percentage change is represented in Mr McMakens graph.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">Conclusions?</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">Regardless of whether a graph uses a log, or linear scale, or some other scale formula, that graph, regardless of what it portrays [money supply , stock market, bond market, precious metal or other price/value changes], <b><u>is not a reliable indicator of future price/valuation changes. </u></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">As I said earlier, its not impossible to accidentally be right with an economic or investment prediction based on graphs, and if that happens, the trick is to not then conclude that the author of such a prediction can reliably see the economic future, but to instead conclude that he/she just got lucky this time around.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">To that end, I would suggest a close reading of: "Confessions of a Mr. X", at the end of Harry Browne's excellent <b><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Economic-Time-Bomb-Profit-Emerging/dp/0312025815">"The Economic Time Bomb"</a></b> book.</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b style="color: #04ff00;">Related articles:</b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">[This one gives a similar opinion to Mr McMaken, complete with an equally misleading graph, used for dramatic effect, no doubt :-) ]:</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/rubino-you-cant-taper-ponzi-scheme">"You Can't Taper A Ponzi Scheme-Why a shrinking money supply risks a massive, uncontrolled crash..."</a></b> </div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="color: #b45f06;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">FSS articles on money supply:</span></b></div></span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><div style="text-align: center;"><h3 class="post-title entry-title" itemprop="name" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-language-override: normal; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0.75em 0px 0px; position: relative; text-align: center; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"><span style="color: black; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2022/10/ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator-and.html">"Ben Bernanke-The Greatest Inflator and Nobel Prize Winner !"</a></b></span></h3><h3 class="post-title entry-title" itemprop="name" style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-language-override: normal; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0.75em 0px 0px; position: relative;"><b><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="color: black;"> "</span>Mr. Ben Bernanke: The Great[est] Inflator ?"</span></a></b></h3><div class="post-header" style="line-height: 1.6; margin: 0px 0px 1.5em;"><div class="post-header-line-1"></div></div><div class="post-body entry-content" id="post-body-2759436803211983108" itemprop="description articleBody" style="line-height: 1.4; position: relative; width: 1186px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhZ4mZA5K77gATDLzfDsiKEKp5ZKEx9sxHn0qQPFP1FhjVlumsL-1hIuUAKzCa9ulG8pO-DWCEBHcy4o1HaSKW4-gn2vN_MCdif-rQV5ez-TT5fuUHqk1lIYy2DgQQWJI4zViTnfuorJsLh/s1600/cpi+1875-03.jpg" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; 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color: #2288bb; float: right; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;"></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwMiuRJYVVFB1Uv5dPifhsvD7iZDQ0b7f5kGtJ_oL8AWPT4df5gPFlMbTlCOnzrIocxtg7OVkVAlXxg4_XcsNAIUlxAujZllQJ9oKXH6VY2Wu8mf-ZJKvaAXcUuXJRJje8k4wAphqaUff8/s1600/Picture+2.png" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: white; color: #2288bb; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; orphans: 2; text-align: center; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br class="Apple-interchange-newline" /></span></a></div></div></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;">Free Advice:</b></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b style="color: #2b00fe;"> </b></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #ffa400;">So what's Next? Inflation?Another Global Plandemic? Bank Failures?, A Stock Market Boom? Stock Market Crash? Deflation? Hyper-Inflation ? A Dollar crash?</span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #cc0000;"><b>THIS "JUST" IN -</b></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: red;">A REALITY FACT THAT MOST EVERYONE IS IN COMPLETE DENIAL OF:</span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: red;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: red;"><i><u>NOBODY, INCLUDING ALL SO-CALLED "INVESTMENT EXPERTS" ECONOMISTS ETC., REALLY KNOWS FOR SURE!</u></i></span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180;"><b>Question:</b></span></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">So if nobody can reliably, consistently, predict the economic future, what can the individual do in light of this simple, yet hard to swallow, fact of reality?</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #800180;">See:</span></b> <b><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html">"How To Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc., Despite An Unknowable Economic Future"</a> </b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;">$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$</div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #800180;">F.S.S. Crypto-currency Donations:</span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #800180;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180;"><a href="https://vigilante.tv/w/fSWYFnv9PemaVqtXXDBE4f"><b>MONERO</b> </a></span><b><span style="color: #800180;">donations here:</span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #800180;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #800180;">42AK8MnVKCmgJMb5j7Wz4gc3MaXSCwk5u5aRBMGcj1wFWm4Nx7VPcegNyZavLwfpbo4R1NeyPoXVXDTeRi1uVfEWM1bUBsw</span></b></div><div style="font-size: xx-large; text-align: center;"><br /></div></span><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"><b><span><span face=""Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif" style="caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; text-size-adjust: auto;"><span><span> </span></span><span> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration: none;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-family: helvetica;">About Financial Safety Services</span></a></span></span></span></b></div><div class="separator" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: white; clear: both; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; text-decoration-color: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span><br /></span></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html" style="color: #33aaff; text-decoration: none;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer </a></span></b></span></div></div></div><br /><br />*****************************<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /> </div></span>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-78461696077649821512022-10-16T07:44:00.007-07:002022-10-19T03:45:14.448-07:00Ben Bernanke-The Greatest Inflator and Nobel Prize Winner !<div class="separator" style="text-align: center;"><b><span><span face=""Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif" style="caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; text-size-adjust: auto;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"> </span><span style="font-size: medium;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-family: helvetica;">About Financial Safety Services</span></a></span></span></span></b></div><div class="separator" style="background-color: white; clear: both; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: medium;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html" style="color: #33aaff;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer </a></span></b></span></div></div></div><div class="separator" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: helvetica;"> ***********************************</span> </span><span style="font-size: x-large;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEig7Ocy-yTGe9i6OydH_MyLxh1SDv-e4Wr7gLuFNgC_2oh4S_ALq7p75UMtoua6kHqPRpkiCn1g2t8sPoBmlaUKRLT3NvFlGwC-si46L7vClN2chTKflMjjcKQRSdMYv7qC4tT3WSgmBjLy5-TKOGSDwU5iZuzjnPv7LmLbZ_iEOPHwqzoYWa2mM0is5Q/s603/cpi%201875-03.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><img border="0" data-original-height="603" data-original-width="555" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEig7Ocy-yTGe9i6OydH_MyLxh1SDv-e4Wr7gLuFNgC_2oh4S_ALq7p75UMtoua6kHqPRpkiCn1g2t8sPoBmlaUKRLT3NvFlGwC-si46L7vClN2chTKflMjjcKQRSdMYv7qC4tT3WSgmBjLy5-TKOGSDwU5iZuzjnPv7LmLbZ_iEOPHwqzoYWa2mM0is5Q/w590-h640/cpi%201875-03.jpg" width="590" /></span></a></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">Fig. 1: The Feds inflationary record - Consumer Price Index averages 1875- 2003</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b>Introduction:</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">Oh the irony! For being the greatest inflator in the Feds recent 1959-2022 history, Mr Bernanke has now been awarded the Nobel Prize for economics! [For more on that travesty see 3 article links at the bottom of this blog entry.]</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">Anyway, way back in the mists of time [2013] I wrote a post here that examined the inflationary records of all of the Chairmen of the Federal Reserve system from 1959 through to 2013:</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html"><span style="font-size: x-large;">https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html</span></a></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">This new entry is an update to that post, and covers the chairmanships of Bernanke [2006-'14] Yellen [2014-'18], and Powell.[2018-'22]</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><i><b>N.B.</b>: Please understand that this article is in no way to be considered as a defence of Bernanke, Yellen or Powell, nor of the Federal Reserve system itself.</i></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">So lets leave the Bernanke record till last, and start with his immediate successor. Janet Yellen:</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Fed Chair Janet Yellen- The Great Deflator?</span></b></div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEji7385gUWFD5Ct375Ft_AHUEqHuF81dtrwpQvprkBo3I-ffcEfE_-buY_nMtg0-Y65Q0b_4BdyLAr1s3Bgu7Oi1p1qE31FXZ1ogaM1WEXXK6VX76b4RuLyq4YzsLnZhfNtY_Lq2r9VnfiQPJCMYrb8rXbF4Dv6rfAfT8_a7qjHW3jr8maWbQFrJWD4sQ/s890/MB-Yellen%20-14%3E18.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="469" data-original-width="890" height="338" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEji7385gUWFD5Ct375Ft_AHUEqHuF81dtrwpQvprkBo3I-ffcEfE_-buY_nMtg0-Y65Q0b_4BdyLAr1s3Bgu7Oi1p1qE31FXZ1ogaM1WEXXK6VX76b4RuLyq4YzsLnZhfNtY_Lq2r9VnfiQPJCMYrb8rXbF4Dv6rfAfT8_a7qjHW3jr8maWbQFrJWD4sQ/w640-h338/MB-Yellen%20-14%3E18.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><i>Fig. 2: Federal Reserve Monetary Base under Yellen 2014-2018 [log. scale]</i></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: helvetica;"> [</span><span style="color: #ffa400;"><b style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;">N.B. </b><span style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;"><b> Monetary Base, M1 and M2 + All other graphs are indexed</b></span></span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="color: #ffa400;"> </span></span><b style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;"><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">here </a></b><span style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;">]</span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">The above Fed graph reveals only an approximate 3% increase in monetary base over the 4 years of Yellen's tenure. Which means that, while technically speaking it is incorrect to call her the "the greatest deflator", [the base money supply still slightly increased 2014-18], nevertheless, <b><u><i><span style="color: #ff00fe;">no one in the history of the Feds recent history [1959- 2022], comes anywhere close to such a deflationary policy as Ms Yellen!</span></i></u></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b><span style="color: #cc0000;">[ See </span><a href=" https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html" style="color: #cc0000;">here</a><span style="color: #cc0000;">.] </span></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: xx-large; font-weight: 700;"><span style="color: #04ff00;"><br /></span></span></div><span style="color: #04ff00; font-size: x-large; font-weight: bold;"><div style="text-align: center;">Fed Chair Jerome Powell [2018- '22] - The Greatest Inflator?</div></span><div><br /><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhzJh81DpsvnI382Xrg5HYvf7dyD27pQ3RV1bTi30OZhYqOLoTr81oy2Zf_1O7Aa3ZcT4TPHLtJ19RJm-GAv8BRGbhwgu6E5ipGV5YB-2TQi3_SeO084Y1fHDfQSdebj9k8rJkFLdYp7MWk2kvm6SeZXNRJ630rYZZv6htEhRbXJ75xT15jkJlgv7UvEg/s814/MB=%20powell-2018-%200822.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="814" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhzJh81DpsvnI382Xrg5HYvf7dyD27pQ3RV1bTi30OZhYqOLoTr81oy2Zf_1O7Aa3ZcT4TPHLtJ19RJm-GAv8BRGbhwgu6E5ipGV5YB-2TQi3_SeO084Y1fHDfQSdebj9k8rJkFLdYp7MWk2kvm6SeZXNRJ630rYZZv6htEhRbXJ75xT15jkJlgv7UvEg/w640-h368/MB=%20powell-2018-%200822.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><i>Fig. 3 Federal Reserve Monetary Base under J. Powell - 2018- 0822 [log scale] </i></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">Mr Powell has been labelled an irresponsible "inflator" by various persons in the financial analysis and investment analysis communities, when, if you study his record to date, [see Monetary Base graph above], you can easily see that in the 4 years of his chairmanship to date [with 4 more to go],he has "only" increased the monetary base by around 50% when viewed from the beginning of his term [2018] to the last update of the Feds own monetary base figures [August 2022], 4 years later, which means that his own inflationary policies to date pale in comparison to those of some of his predecessors [ <a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html">eg Greenspan and Bernanke]</a></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Ben Bernanke- Still The "Greatest" Inflator!</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></b></div><span style="font-size: x-large;"><div style="text-align: center;"><b>And so finally, we arrive at the monetary inflation record of Fed. chairman/ Nobel Prize winner Ben Bernanke:</b></div></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkp7QPAGBZonB6Bx3OBBe16iXf2TFlAOkyB-Q-A-JUE_5fMiXEO7xySgI1u7uRoCe3CLYnxEetCFeFWAEVyetBR5CYKG7c6ehqtI6i_aihSXHuD1j1ZRGNq1pKHIY9nxCAVpJCFmoNm3FXxnGEAQA2xM-Zrc9Z8q4wHnvO4G8ReoDHMAlAwIvRVYqQ2Q/s895/MB-%20Bernanke%2006-14.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="895" height="334" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkp7QPAGBZonB6Bx3OBBe16iXf2TFlAOkyB-Q-A-JUE_5fMiXEO7xySgI1u7uRoCe3CLYnxEetCFeFWAEVyetBR5CYKG7c6ehqtI6i_aihSXHuD1j1ZRGNq1pKHIY9nxCAVpJCFmoNm3FXxnGEAQA2xM-Zrc9Z8q4wHnvO4G8ReoDHMAlAwIvRVYqQ2Q/w640-h334/MB-%20Bernanke%2006-14.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: large;"><i>Fig. 4: Federal Reserve Monetary Base under Bernanke 2006-2014 [log scale]</i></span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">With an approximate <b><span style="color: red;">300% increase</span></b> in monetary base over 8 years, Mr Bernanke still reigns supreme as the "greatest" inflator of the Feds monetary base to date [from 1959 -2022], outstripping the previous record holder, Alan Greenspan, who "only" managed a 275% increase - shame on him! [ <span style="color: #800180;">For the Greenspan record s</span></span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="color: #800180;">ee: </span></span><span style="color: #800180; font-family: helvetica;"><b>"Mr. Ben Bernanke: The "Great[est]" Inflator" </b>?:</span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"> </span><a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html" style="font-family: helvetica;">https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html</a></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b>Conclusions:</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">As you can see, contrary to the general consensus, the inflationary policies of both Powell and Yellen are almost nothing when compared to those of both Greenspan [see here: <a href="https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html">https://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html </a>for a short review of Greenspan's 8 year tenure ], and Bernanke, and in fact, taken together, both can be considered as downright deflationary and "conservative" by comparison to either !</span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b>Important Questions For You, Dear Reader:</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">As I see it the questions are:</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">[1] Is the current inflation only a direct result of the feds recent policies of the last few years under Powell, or is it more likely due to the combined massive inflations of Greenspan and Bernanke? , or is it the result of all of their policies combined [Greenspan, Bernanke, Powell]?</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">[2] Or have the consecutive, somewhat "conservative" inflationary policies of both Yellen and Powell been "conservative" enough to partially offset the flagrant inflations of both Greenspan and Bernanke, and will they then offset a hyperinflation and perhaps cause a deflation?</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">[3] Or, on the other hand, must inflation continue to increase in severity due to the prior wildly inflationary policies of the Fed, as many predict?</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">[4] <span style="color: #cc0000;">THE MOST IMPORTANT QUESTION FOR YOU, DEAR READER:</span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">Assuming that either more Inflation, or deflation is somewhere out there in the future, how can the individual saver ensure that they are equally protected from either possibility? </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">[See: </span><span class="s1" style="background-color: white; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: helvetica; font-weight: bold;"><span style="color: #454545;">:</span></span><span class="s3" style="background-color: white; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #454545; font-family: helvetica; font-weight: bold; text-decoration-line: underline;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html" style="color: #bb21b3; text-decoration-line: none;">How To Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc., Despite An Unknown & Unknowable Economic Future</a></span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"> </span><span style="font-family: helvetica;">]</span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">Notes:</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;">Links to articles covering Bernankes recent Nobel Prize in economics award:</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b>"Ben Bernanke's Nobel Prize: The Committee Rewards an Arsonist for Claiming to Fight the Fire He Started":</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><a href="https://mises.org/wire/ben-bernankes-nobel-prize-committee-rewards-arsonist-claiming-fight-fire-he-started"><span style="font-size: x-large;">https://mises.org/wire/ben-bernankes-nobel-prize-committee-rewards-arsonist-claiming-fight-fire-he-started</span></a></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b>“Giving Ben Bernanke the Nobel Prize in Economics may be the drunkest decision of all time.”:</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-if-everything-goes-wrong-same-time-dont-worry-we-have-ben-bernanke-guide-us-through">https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-if-everything-goes-wrong-same-time-dont-worry-we-have-ben-bernanke-guide-us-through</a></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #800180; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><b>"Ben Bernanke Winning The Nobel Prize In Economics Is A Sick Joke":</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-large;"><a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ben-bernanke-winning-nobel-prize-economics-sick-joke">https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ben-bernanke-winning-nobel-prize-economics-sick-joke</a></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="color: #ffa400;"><span style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;"><b> Graphs index</b></span></span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="color: #ffa400;"> </span></span><b style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html" style="text-decoration-line: none;">here</a> </b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="background-color: white; font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;"> <span face=""Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif" style="caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; text-size-adjust: auto;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration-line: none;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-family: helvetica;">About Financial Safety Services</span></a></span></span></b></div><div class="separator" style="background-color: white; clear: both; color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html" style="color: #33aaff;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer </a></span></b></span></div></div></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><div style="text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: center;"><i>"If it were possible to calculate the future structure of the market, the future would not be uncertain. There would be neither entrepreneurial loss nor profit. What people expect from the economists is beyond the power of any mortal man." </i><b><a href="https://mises.org/">Ludwig Von Mises</a></b><br /><br /></div></div><div style="text-align: left;"><div><div style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span">More Von Mises quotes <b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/von-mises-quotes.html">here</a></b></span></div></div></div></span></div><b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$</span></b></div></b>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-48280221905494006072021-03-03T09:01:00.015-08:002021-06-12T06:05:07.364-07:00Financial Safety Services Special Reports- March 2nd, 2021<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><b style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration: none;"><span style="color: #2b00fe; font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-small;">About Financial Safety Services</span></a></b></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-small;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: x-small;"><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer </a></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;">***********************************</span></div></div><div><span style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><b>Is Widespread $US Price Inflation Definitely Coming?</b></span></div><div><span style="color: #04ff00; font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><b> </b><span>A question for you, dear reader : Is price inflation [here defined as an across-the- board steady loss of purchasing power for the $US], definitely coming our way?</span></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;">Below are quotes/links to various finance, economic and investment commentators that made such claims in recent articles, plus one article that proposes further US stock market gains. </span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><b>What Do I Think? </b></span></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">To see my own commentary on these various predictions, and, more importantly, how to avoid having to rely on _any_ predictions,please go to the bottom of this blog entry. </span></span></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIbrtdDQq1Oa7c0rO4zg4pYZxOU-bFaJJsAY4HR6eX7Z0MFPH1Ah6n5v9AN6IP-1APb3zz8tpTnLpcA_TxStTbskOpLQHwgxEttgDy9zyMbjTDvj9jXUwKQFTxUZwwI5ktY8JO_gX99LaO/s603/cpi+1875-03.jpg" style="font-family: helvetica; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="603" data-original-width="555" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIbrtdDQq1Oa7c0rO4zg4pYZxOU-bFaJJsAY4HR6eX7Z0MFPH1Ah6n5v9AN6IP-1APb3zz8tpTnLpcA_TxStTbskOpLQHwgxEttgDy9zyMbjTDvj9jXUwKQFTxUZwwI5ktY8JO_gX99LaO/w589-h640/cpi+1875-03.jpg" width="589" /></a></span></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;">US Consumer Prices [CPI], in $US, 1875-2003, [log.scale] </span></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></div><div><div style="text-align: left;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><span style="text-align: center;"> [</span><b style="text-align: center;">N.B. </b><span style="text-align: center;"> All graphs at graph index page, </span><b style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">here</a> , </b><span style="text-align: center;">which has links to all current graphs on this site</span><span style="text-align: center;">.]</span></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: large; text-align: center;"><br /></span></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1535" data-original-width="2048" height="480" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxevIjoebcNU6lhrR8rsiE7sUFTqzXdJZkzkNur5Ch7mm1C9qimxIfN4a6xb04duzLpSWvz_085y-8et_6lNs4foKBcMqcMoCKksg5c5bA5lxUfSbVB2kJFYR0TyTLDqKFR3wA0KwEe3He/w640-h480/BE0AD167-2154-44BB-B606-82823CA581AE.png" width="640" /></span></div></div></div></div><div><div style="text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="font-size: large;">US Consumer Price Index [CPI] averages , 2000-'21</span></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">[<b>N.B. </b> All graphs at graph index page, <b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">here</a> , </b>which has links to all current graphs on this site.]</div></span><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><b> </b></span></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div style="text-align: start;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: large;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-family: -webkit-standard;"><div style="text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b>Prediction:"<a href="https://mises.org/wire/stagflation-cometh">Stagflation Cometh</a>"</b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">"No Inflation in Sight, Why the Inflation Debate?” On one hand, fiscal stimulus is and will be racing through Main Street, some people say. Others claim that “the pandemic hasn’t altered the dynamics of the past dozen years or so when deflation, rather than overheating, has been the big threat.” I might butt in and mention that all stimuli have headed for Wall Street: stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, and single-family housing."</span></div></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-family: -webkit-standard;"><span><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-family: -webkit-standard;"><span><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-family: -webkit-standard;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div style="text-align: left;"><div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiMMJSc22twEICq_KwA682asSE3uKH80XUmY0fgBK5r_R_66tNny7JbDxwX-kru0bgmA1z0zKX_pav4gkd5Ishh0H_UVd7VkhiU097U8CvUcChJSlvX4gQxymWNmotiTBKdFr868odPTo7/s2048/BA6CB8E8-9E0E-4E1B-9179-216AFF40989C.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1162" data-original-width="2048" height="365" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiMMJSc22twEICq_KwA682asSE3uKH80XUmY0fgBK5r_R_66tNny7JbDxwX-kru0bgmA1z0zKX_pav4gkd5Ishh0H_UVd7VkhiU097U8CvUcChJSlvX4gQxymWNmotiTBKdFr868odPTo7/w640-h365/BA6CB8E8-9E0E-4E1B-9179-216AFF40989C.jpeg" width="640" /></span></a></div><span style="font-family: helvetica;">Gold Bullion prices in $US, 1970-'21 [log scale]</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b>Prediction : <a href="https://www.rt.com/business/516951-tsunami-of-inflation-coming-silver">"Tsunami of inflation is coming & silver will definitely catch investor attention – Keiser Report" </a></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">"Max Keiser talks to Stephen Flood of GoldCore.com about the case for gold in a bitcoin world, as well as the recent Reddit-driven buying frenzy, which sent silver prices soaring to an eight-year high."</span></div></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div><div><div style="text-align: start;"><div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCYLtTFL5QFhC528L4nORXZSx6l3ZlmP94DaepevnTh05zDrU4nOpRcZUVOaL69P3jVLKl8-vGYwkoSyKAdDYstc6JX1mY0bHMUL9nQG2O1z-hL9FEXwNb3yQpXdhQjx5iZJZWpEG7sGxd/s2048/BFB8BD93-398E-4FAD-8C3D-E50E46E80870.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1181" data-original-width="2048" height="371" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCYLtTFL5QFhC528L4nORXZSx6l3ZlmP94DaepevnTh05zDrU4nOpRcZUVOaL69P3jVLKl8-vGYwkoSyKAdDYstc6JX1mY0bHMUL9nQG2O1z-hL9FEXwNb3yQpXdhQjx5iZJZWpEG7sGxd/w640-h371/BFB8BD93-398E-4FAD-8C3D-E50E46E80870.jpeg" width="640" /></span></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">US Federal Reserve Monetary Base[MB] Supply, 2000-21[log scale]</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b>Prediction: <a href="https://gnseconomics.com/2021/02/24/is-hyperinflation-on-the-horizon/">"Is hyperinflation on the horizon?" </a></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span>"In the U.S., for example, the quantity of money, measured by M2, </span><span>has increased </span><span>by a whopping 26% in a single year. This is the largest annual increase since 1943.</span></span><span style="font-family: helvetica;">The combination of the fast growth of money in circulation and the decline in production capacity, whatever the cause, is the pre-condition for ravaging inflation"</span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span><span>[And last but not least] A Bill Bonner Prediction : <a href="https://www.rogueeconomics.com/bill-bonner-diary/u-s-policies-will-create">"</a></span></span><span><a href="https://www.rogueeconomics.com/bill-bonner-diary/u-s-policies-will-create">U.S. Policies Will Create Temporary Prosperity"</a></span></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmN4WtCq7KgSTDteEkqz37OkR353c-uCoWr0hPk041oJ8ooYYhZQmjLTpjXT8OM2JPbaZ9KgtTCEVkN8KwXMeQftjM6bnD-od-JncQZ3kAIc5dZkb7_2y1ZdKZlGJhhi51LzxYc377f7oW/s2048/10A25B96-B8E2-4C20-A9AB-7478B8B56B80.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1579" data-original-width="2048" height="493" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmN4WtCq7KgSTDteEkqz37OkR353c-uCoWr0hPk041oJ8ooYYhZQmjLTpjXT8OM2JPbaZ9KgtTCEVkN8KwXMeQftjM6bnD-od-JncQZ3kAIc5dZkb7_2y1ZdKZlGJhhi51LzxYc377f7oW/w640-h493/10A25B96-B8E2-4C20-A9AB-7478B8B56B80.jpeg" width="640" /></a></span></div></div></div></div></div></div></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; font-family: helvetica; text-align: start;"><span style="font-size: large;"><p class="p1" style="caret-color: rgb(180, 95, 6); font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;">Standard & Poors [S&P] 500 Index, 2010-21, [log. Scale]</p><p class="p1" style="caret-color: rgb(180, 95, 6); font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><b>**************************************************</b></p><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; text-align: start;"><p class="p1" style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span class="s1" style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="caret-color: rgb(180, 95, 6); color: #b45f06;">Financial Safety Services Commentary on the various predictions above - Important Questions For Investors/Speculators: </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span class="s1" style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="caret-color: rgb(180, 95, 6); color: #b45f06;"><br /></span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="caret-color: rgb(4, 255, 0); font-weight: bold;">So what's comes next, dear reader? </span><span style="font-weight: bold;">Another global plandemic crisis?, bank failures?, stock market crash?, stock market boom?, deflation? , hyper-Inflation?, US dollar crash? </span></p><p class="p1" style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="color: red;"><b><br /></b></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="color: red;"><b>REALITY FACT: NOBODY, INCLUDING ALL SO-CALLED "EXPERTS", REALLY KNOWS FOR SURE!</b></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span class="s1" face="".SFUIText-Bold"" style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="color: #454545;">See:</span></span><span class="s3" face="".SFUIText-Bold"" style="color: #454545; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html" style="color: #bb21b3; text-decoration: none;">How To Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc., Despite An Unknown & Unknowable Economic Future</a></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p></span></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">*****************************************************</span></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><i><span style="color: #666666;">"</span>If it were possible to calculate the future structure of the market, the future would not be uncertain. There would be neither entrepreneurial loss nor profit. What people expect from the economists is beyond the power of any mortal man." </i><span style="color: #666666;"> </span></span></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">Ludwig Von Mises. </span></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"> More Von Mises quotes <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/von-mises-quotes.html">here</a></span></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><p class="p2" style="font-family: ".SF UI Text"; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span class="s2" style="font-family: ".SFUIText";"> <span class="s3">“</span><span class="s4" face="".SFUIText-Italic"" style="font-style: italic;">The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.</span><span class="s3">“ </span></span></p><p class="p2" style="font-family: ".SF UI Text"; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px;"><span class="s2" style="font-family: ".SFUIText";">John Kenneth Galbraith<span style="color: #454545;"> </span></span></p></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">*************************</span></div><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration: none;"><b>Financial Safety Services disclaimer</b></a></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html" style="color: #888888; text-decoration: none;">About Onebornfree's Financial Safety Services </a></b></span></div></div></span></span></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div style="text-align: start;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; font-family: helvetica; text-align: start;"><span style="font-size: large;"><div style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; text-align: center;"><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><b></b></span></div></div></span></span></div></div></div></div>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-64923502934531174262019-11-02T18:46:00.002-07:002022-10-16T07:17:19.753-07:00Financial Safety Services Special Reports-11th. 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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"> </span>"No one can consistently and accurately predict "big picture" future economic events and scenarios. No investment "expert" advisor, no banker, no money manager, no economist, no politician, no computer algorithm</i></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><i>, no fortune teller- not even you :-) [although any one of these, including yourself, might get it right on occasion, purely by chance"- Onebornfree</i>.</span><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"> </span><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #38761d; font-size: large;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html">About Financial Safety Services </a></span></b></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: lime; font-size: x-large;">Whither The Economy? Some Recent "Expert" Market Predictions:</span></b></div>
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<i>[N.B. more stock market, commodity, crypto-currency, money supply etc. graphs <u><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">here</a></b>]</u></i></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: purple; font-size: x-large;">"Expert" Prediction [1]-An Inflationary Depression Is Definitely Coming Soon!:</span></b></div>
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;"><i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-style: normal;"><i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;">Gold bullion/$US price per Troy ounce, 10 years [log scale]</span></i></span></i></span></td></tr>
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small; font-style: normal;"><i>[N.B. more stock market, commodity, crypto-currency, money supply etc. graphs <u><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">here</a></b>]</u></i></span></span></i></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">"In his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff said the service sector is about to follow manufacturing into recession. He also talked about the recent employment numbers and explained how the Fed is acting like a Soviet Politburo.":</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b><a href="https://www.goldmoney.com/research/goldmoney-insights/an-inflationary-depression">An Inflationary Depression</a></b></span></div>
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aji7x4F4nOI<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: purple; font-size: x-large;"><b>"Expert" Prediction[2]: An October Stock Market Crash Is Definitely Coming!:</b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">“It’s all hype…” “It’s clickbait…” “It’s fearmongering…”. </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">That’s just some of what folks are saying about my prediction that the stock market will crash this month.</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">I can’t blame them for being skeptical. After all, the financial industry is full of folks who make scary predictions just to capture headlines and get their “15 minutes of fame.” </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">But what if I’m not one of those people?....................And what if I’m noticing that many conditions in the stock market today are eerily similar to conditions that have preceded bear markets before?.....":</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b><a href="https://bonnerandpartners.com/the-last-time-this-happened-the-stock-market-crashed/">The Last Time This Happened, the Stock Market Crashed…</a></b></span></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: lime; font-size: large;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Financial Safety Services<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"> </span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Commentary:</span></span></b><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="font-size: large; line-height: 30px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-weight: bold;"><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="color: black; font-weight: normal; line-height: 33px;">Attention dear reader! This"just"in: </span></span></span></span><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="font-size: large; line-height: 30px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-weight: bold;"><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="color: black; font-weight: normal; line-height: 33px;"></span></span></span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">No one can consistently and accurately predict "big picture" future economic events and scenarios. No investment advisor, no money manager, no economist, no politician, no computer program, no fortune teller- not even you :-) [although any one of these, including yourself, might get it right on occasion, purely by chance]. </span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><br />For various underlying, fundamental reasons, the "big picture" financial and economic future must always remain unknown.</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><br /></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="font-size: large; line-height: 30px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-weight: bold;"><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="color: black; font-weight: normal; line-height: 33px;">And yet,despite the fact that the economic future cannot be reliably/consistently predicted by </span><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="color: black; line-height: 33px;"><b><i>anyone</i></b></span><span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="color: black; font-weight: normal; line-height: 33px;">,</span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-weight: bold;"> <u><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/07/the-worlds-best-kept-investment-secret.html">it is still possible to easily protect the future value of your savings against the ravages of that unknowable economic future!</a></u></span></span></span><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" face=""trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif" style="line-height: 30px;"><b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #cc0000; text-decoration: none;"><i> <span style="font-size: large;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</a></span></i></span></b></b></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"><b> </b></span></b><span class="Apple-style-span"> </span><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #38761d;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/more-about-financial-safety-services.html">About Onebornfree's Financial Safety Services</a></span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"><b> </b></span></b></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span class="Apple-style-span"></span><i>"If it were possible to calculate the future structure of the market, the future would not be uncertain. There would be neither entrepreneurial loss nor profit. What people expect from the economists is beyond the power of any mortal man." </i><b><a href="https://mises.org/">Ludwig Von Mises</a></b><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">More Von Mises quotes <b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/von-mises-quotes.html">here</a></b></span></div>
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-75290547734447978112019-11-02T18:26:00.002-07:002021-02-20T08:02:42.212-08:00More About Financial Safety Services<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: x-large;"><b>About Financial Safety Services:</b></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEii6puVg3DftnRYpShe3yiAeUnJ0tXlKa9f4pmh3xTUbPJhJwcVM3YF2T9dhzEt_KQ2EopuzpCSNDeO394rfC_XRGYOkEShdoTaP4nkN5gH8CbhIS8f2Nmp8KF2v8_A8EiKjhiC2kggHtRj/s1600/Savannah_Fake-Eye2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1600" data-original-width="1093" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEii6puVg3DftnRYpShe3yiAeUnJ0tXlKa9f4pmh3xTUbPJhJwcVM3YF2T9dhzEt_KQ2EopuzpCSNDeO394rfC_XRGYOkEShdoTaP4nkN5gH8CbhIS8f2Nmp8KF2v8_A8EiKjhiC2kggHtRj/s200/Savannah_Fake-Eye2.jpg" width="136" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b>Financial Safety Services' </b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b>Economic Philosophy Studies:</b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Financial Safety Services [onebornfree] has independently studied economic theory and philosophy, and investment/speculation theory and philosophy, for 30 + years. </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Economic theories/authors studied : </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marx" style="font-weight: bold;">Marx</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre-Joseph_Proudhon" style="font-weight: bold;">Proudhon</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynes" style="font-weight: bold;">Keynes</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Samuelson" style="font-weight: bold;">Samuelson</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Krugman" style="font-weight: bold;">Krugman</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adam_Smith" style="font-weight: bold;">Smith</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Ricardo" style="font-weight: bold;">Ricardo</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_friedman" style="font-weight: bold;">Friedman</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friedrich_Hayek" style="font-weight: bold;">Hayek</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Hazlitt" style="font-weight: bold;">Hazlitt</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludwig_von_Mises" style="font-weight: bold;">Von Mises</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murray_Rothbard" style="font-weight: bold;">Rothbard</a>, and others.</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b>Financial Safety Services - </b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b>Investment + Speculation Philosophy :</b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Authors/advisors studied [in most cases I subscribed to their newsletters, as well as reading their books, if published in the US] :</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doug_Casey" style="font-weight: bold;">Doug Casey</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_D._Schultz" style="font-weight: bold;">Harry Schultz</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Russell_%28Dow_Theory%29" style="font-weight: bold;">Richard Russell</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Pugsley" style="font-weight: bold;">John Pugsley</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howard_Ruff" style="font-weight: bold;">Howard Ruff,</a> <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Browne" style="font-weight: bold;">Harry Browne</a><b>, </b><a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/authors/terry-coxon/" style="font-weight: bold;">Terry Coxon</a><b>, </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Bonner_%28author%29" style="font-weight: bold;">Bill Bonner</a>, and others.</span><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Financial Safety Services Consultation Information</span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: purple; font-size: large;"><b>email: onebornfree at yahoo dot com</b></span><br />
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-83552156875678739242019-11-02T18:22:00.006-07:002021-03-07T06:25:47.848-08:00 Von Mises Quotes [on the inevitable unpredictability of future economic events]<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;">"</span><i style="font-family: helvetica;">Thus there is no such thing as an automatic adjustment of the quantity of fiduciary media in circulation to fluctuations in the demand for money without an effect on the objective exchange value of money. Consequently all those arguments are ill founded which seek to deny practical significance to the quantity theory by reference to the alleged elasticity of the circulation of money. The increase and decrease of the stock of fiduciary media in a free banking system have no greater natural connection, direct or indirect, with the rise and fall of the demand for money in the broader sense, than the increase and decrease of the stock of money have with the rise and fall of the demand for money in the narrower sense. Such a connection exists only insofar as the credit banks deliberately try to bring it about. Apart from this, the only connection that can be established between the two sets of variations, which are in themselves independent of each other, is like that of the policy which, say, in a period of increasing demand for money in the broader sense aims at an increase of fiduciary media in order to counteract the rise in the objective exchange value of money which might otherwise be expected. Since it is impossible to measure fluctuations in the objective exchange value of money, even only approximately, we are not able to judge whether the increase of fiduciary media that has occurred during the last century in nearly all the countries of the world has together with the increase in the quantity of money kept pace with the increase in the demand for money in the broader sense, or fallen behind it, or outstripped it. All that we can be sure of is that at least a part of the increase in the demand for money in the broader sense has been robbed of its influence on the purchasing power of money by the increase in the quantity of money and fiduciary media in circulation."</i></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><div><div style="font-family: -webkit-standard;"><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="text-align: left;"> <a href="https://mises.org/library/theory-money-and-credit/html/pp/1288"><b>Ludwig Von Mises- "</b></a></span><span style="text-align: left;"><b><a href="https://mises.org/library/theory-money-and-credit/html/pp/1288">The Theory of Money and Credit"</a></b></span></span></div><div><span style="font-family: helvetica;"><span style="text-align: left;"><br /></span></span></div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: -webkit-standard;"></span></div></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><i><br /></i></span></div><div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><i>"The very idea that the future is predictable, that some formulas could be substituted for the specific understanding which is the essence of entrepreneurial activity, and that familiarity with these formulas could make it possible for anybody to take over the conduct of business is, of course, an outgrowth of the whole complex of fallacies and misconceptions which are at the bottom of present-day anticapitalistic policies." </i>Ludwig Von Mises- </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><b><a href="https://mises.org/files/human-actionpdf-0">"Human Action- a Treatise On Economics" page 867</a></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: medium;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica;">"<i>In fact both the economists and the businessmen are fully aware of the uncertainty of the future. The businessmen realize that the economists do not dispense any reliable information about things to come and that all that they provide is interpretation of statistical data </i></span><i style="font-family: helvetica;">referring to the past. For the capitalists and entrepreneurs the economists' opinions about the future count only as questionable conjectures. They are skeptical and not easily fooled.</i><span style="font-family: helvetica;">"</span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><b><a href="https://mises.org/files/human-actionpdf-0">Ludwig Von Mises-"Human Action- a Treatise On Economics" page 868</a></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium; text-align: left;">" <i>The present unsatisfactory state of monetary affairs is an outcome of the social ideology to which our contemporaries are committed and of the economic policies which this ideology begets. People lament over inflation, but they enthusiastically support policies that could not go on without inflation. While they grumble about the inevitable consequences of inflation, they stubbornly oppose any attempt to stop or to restrict deficit spending."</i> </span></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: helvetica; font-size: medium;"><a href="https://mises.org/library/theory-money-and-credit/html/c/426" style="text-align: left;">Ludwig Von Mises -"The Theory of Money and Credit"</a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></b></div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: helvetica;"><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div></span></div>
Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-23349347102980188472019-11-02T18:18:00.006-07:002022-10-16T07:14:53.111-07:00Financial Safety Services Graph category links<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graphs-us-stock-indexes.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Stock Markets</span></a></b></div>
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<b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graphs-us-government-debt-t-bills-bonds.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">US Federal Government Debt[ T- Bills, Bonds etc.] , + Corporate Bond Issues</span></a></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="color: #222222; font-size: x-large;"><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graphs-us-federal-government-debt-totals.html">US Federal Government Debt Totals</a></b></span></div>
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<b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graphs-gold-and-silver-bullion-prices.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Commodities- Gold,Silver,Copper, Oil</span></a></b></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graphs-federal-reserve-money-supply.html">US Money Supply Figures[MB, M1,M2,MZM</a>]</span></b></div>
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<div style="text-align: center;"><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graphs-crypto-currencies.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">Foreign Currencies + Crypto-currencies</span></a></b></div>
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-40227856072922752712019-11-02T18:11:00.010-07:002021-05-23T06:51:31.997-07:00Graphs-US Government Debt Instruments + corporate bonds [updated 022721]<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div><b><span style="font-size: medium;">Click here for: </span></b><b><span><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/">Onebornfree's Financial Safety Reports [main page]</a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><b style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"> </span></b><b style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;">Click here for: </span></b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html" style="font-weight: bold;"><div style="display: inline !important; text-align: center;"><b><span>Graphs Main Index Page </span></b></div></a><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html"><span><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span>[stock market, gold, silver, crypto-currency, money supply , federal debt etc.]</span></b></div></span></a></b></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPExZb_qZO6f4bB1hhy5weXtb2Dr-IT-qyFmooOyOFFcFgMAFKrFZI1s6LmJTtnwg3VDT-lxBZ01KFuwlC_Dgk-fncclCfOJbJ52n7tTLk6vdKqBZ42ONEhOUXcEC9Api_UR0bUkq_mjzK/s2048/4F55B8CA-1E0A-4C90-8F90-B2A6A1E67FC1.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1207" data-original-width="2048" height="378" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPExZb_qZO6f4bB1hhy5weXtb2Dr-IT-qyFmooOyOFFcFgMAFKrFZI1s6LmJTtnwg3VDT-lxBZ01KFuwlC_Dgk-fncclCfOJbJ52n7tTLk6vdKqBZ42ONEhOUXcEC9Api_UR0bUkq_mjzK/w640-h378/4F55B8CA-1E0A-4C90-8F90-B2A6A1E67FC1.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">3 Month US Treasury Bill, 1980-'21</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjqrHMKTIcGf2oeJugBlwMHV9i_5mEMIxMe82J0D5Arq_TlyQsd36WC7tOV7_7eyB4BNj9497Y5h1T_9DPp0tO9CDDx3mEESY3tDUUqwXOV9wlJSk4inQNBFuSDO4umG9Oz2-q8QAD1iENt/s2048/64F5ECDA-3BB5-4344-9625-6ADF4266508D.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1377" data-original-width="2048" height="429" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjqrHMKTIcGf2oeJugBlwMHV9i_5mEMIxMe82J0D5Arq_TlyQsd36WC7tOV7_7eyB4BNj9497Y5h1T_9DPp0tO9CDDx3mEESY3tDUUqwXOV9wlJSk4inQNBFuSDO4umG9Oz2-q8QAD1iENt/w640-h429/64F5ECDA-3BB5-4344-9625-6ADF4266508D.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">10 year US Treasury Bond, 1950- '21</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjafL-yZF8Qnwl6yHrO2IyTI9VHtiX7HL49uQH9ScE3INB0cW-vhR5gRwTJpw_oCfVmA633twrXax4P92v_-tTU4AJeHG9L9BBYeSHdQ-fTaCCAD7JPuVXXAd_bVtG94rdOhSPlgn9D-qn_/s2048/BD862466-555C-4611-AFA9-06AE5110E2D1.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1180" data-original-width="2048" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjafL-yZF8Qnwl6yHrO2IyTI9VHtiX7HL49uQH9ScE3INB0cW-vhR5gRwTJpw_oCfVmA633twrXax4P92v_-tTU4AJeHG9L9BBYeSHdQ-fTaCCAD7JPuVXXAd_bVtG94rdOhSPlgn9D-qn_/w640-h368/BD862466-555C-4611-AFA9-06AE5110E2D1.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">20 year US Treasury Bond, 1950-'21</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgt8oodG9tTMOItygGCitEfFyBgkQbJ8KZ7B1jrW1VLQm5jMLOtV7kdzNVcHoBFJBK9LcUh3c50FFQYIyfCCfcydfpuEG1F891j4Wu57qQ5lPa1qVMPRPgNegzj3a-UeCC5oK7izf6_CF0K/s2048/D4D54A06-DEC2-4CF2-9B47-2C15A654F662.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1192" data-original-width="2048" height="371" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgt8oodG9tTMOItygGCitEfFyBgkQbJ8KZ7B1jrW1VLQm5jMLOtV7kdzNVcHoBFJBK9LcUh3c50FFQYIyfCCfcydfpuEG1F891j4Wu57qQ5lPa1qVMPRPgNegzj3a-UeCC5oK7izf6_CF0K/w640-h371/D4D54A06-DEC2-4CF2-9B47-2C15A654F662.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div> <span style="text-align: center;">30 year US Treasury Bond, 1980-'21</span><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjf1EPdKv8DOPUwF58KTamVNhi6OVt7Yd3siczezyb5MTncLlbF6J53Mi1vjNbwdKJb3KObfOvw9ObTwckDizKRPgW3rJMJq1v3MvlAi7c2vqIg9dgC-jkG-MA0Ps0P3R6opBguApIGp3IS/s2048/F7CE52F5-64A5-4343-A776-D7CE60A205D6.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1187" data-original-width="2048" height="371" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjf1EPdKv8DOPUwF58KTamVNhi6OVt7Yd3siczezyb5MTncLlbF6J53Mi1vjNbwdKJb3KObfOvw9ObTwckDizKRPgW3rJMJq1v3MvlAi7c2vqIg9dgC-jkG-MA0Ps0P3R6opBguApIGp3IS/w640-h371/F7CE52F5-64A5-4343-A776-D7CE60A205D6.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">Moodys Aaa rated corporate bonds, 1920-'21</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <span> </span></div>
Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-66537218195135910252019-11-02T18:09:00.017-07:002022-10-16T07:07:37.449-07:00Graphs- Foreign Currencies + Crypto-currencies [updated 101622]<p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span>Click here for: </span></b> <b><span><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/">Onebornfree's Financial Safety Reports [main page]</a></span></b></span></p><div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><span><b style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span> Click here for: </span></b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html" style="text-align: left;"><div style="display: inline; text-align: center;"><b><span>Graphs Main Index Page </span></b></div></a></span></b><span><div style="font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">[stock market, gold, silver, crypto-currency, money supply , federal debt etc.]</a></span></b></div><div style="font-size: large; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: large; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS_IUROi3jfhdWNxm8WL3vQr6TcmSWCy0Rf41pBn4VXNLRzs_hqK673db0zruFtYz_ShGxM1m4UcUsP7KtmfwuwMB8ZYO9Jfwuh2-lSn0UBt4nBaDbpOrNCoxyj7fYvI21J12jFt3gvF7kr2sSwZMyaRyF3oO8h8WkKZqraa_YO7OG2xPe_zYwqX547Q/s811/$:yuan,%20100222.png" imageanchor="1" style="font-size: medium; font-weight: 400; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="466" data-original-width="811" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS_IUROi3jfhdWNxm8WL3vQr6TcmSWCy0Rf41pBn4VXNLRzs_hqK673db0zruFtYz_ShGxM1m4UcUsP7KtmfwuwMB8ZYO9Jfwuh2-lSn0UBt4nBaDbpOrNCoxyj7fYvI21J12jFt3gvF7kr2sSwZMyaRyF3oO8h8WkKZqraa_YO7OG2xPe_zYwqX547Q/w640-h368/$:yuan,%20100222.png" width="640" /></a></div><b><span style="font-size: large;">$US Versus Chinas Yuan, 1980-2020</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2HDg2H30BgB5dfdr41GzM4PY0vh0UilBv4k7H5kdy_lr0XJh--ZjXC2fsC0R6OJs4LQxoGcyMhfzvb2Ww1it7htfPgXzHhAoXW72VfYFZbhTkjPlLxpWCXlTxOf0MwrL-rZvi0H4_xcvQEg3Pwffgz9qYll0nGv1oEkLuIpsMd7MCFQ5rLET6Ep6yxg/s812/Can$%20v%20US$%202022-10-04%20at%205.28.59%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="463" data-original-width="812" height="364" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2HDg2H30BgB5dfdr41GzM4PY0vh0UilBv4k7H5kdy_lr0XJh--ZjXC2fsC0R6OJs4LQxoGcyMhfzvb2Ww1it7htfPgXzHhAoXW72VfYFZbhTkjPlLxpWCXlTxOf0MwrL-rZvi0H4_xcvQEg3Pwffgz9qYll0nGv1oEkLuIpsMd7MCFQ5rLET6Ep6yxg/w640-h364/Can$%20v%20US$%202022-10-04%20at%205.28.59%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;">$US v. $ Canada, 1970-22</span></b></div><div style="font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCCGmTcA0tXwnFqARKzxPW-JYIoD_jbPlbQ9l9gA2cMie9t-6oOVB03uauRrNhcX_8pKJAbx7TEeIajNWF5Ad73c3lgQljFZq8MeYrZI3wlmqTQOAii4V2dbtkOK25BOyQkqvLSELD_ESczQSa0xsOGfOsIppQuMvgOLFmm9m3qFygJxq9qpZuVZm8xg/s819/Swiss%20Franc%20v%20$%202022-10-04%20at%205.27.56%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="font-weight: 400; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="476" data-original-width="819" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCCGmTcA0tXwnFqARKzxPW-JYIoD_jbPlbQ9l9gA2cMie9t-6oOVB03uauRrNhcX_8pKJAbx7TEeIajNWF5Ad73c3lgQljFZq8MeYrZI3wlmqTQOAii4V2dbtkOK25BOyQkqvLSELD_ESczQSa0xsOGfOsIppQuMvgOLFmm9m3qFygJxq9qpZuVZm8xg/w640-h372/Swiss%20Franc%20v%20$%202022-10-04%20at%205.27.56%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div style="font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;">$US v. Swiss Franc, 1970-22</span></b></div><div style="font-size: large; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: large; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJH2VPNQiTr-5ZDz6j6aCQNnu0MCJ5GL0AlvW2IqHrX_p5RtgmxeaHmtv2sYmsrwEdYjqFpQzSYLRWNmIz6KBoMnsl5AawcUQ2bag-4S9ZeJKs10b43-wM9Jp7rCCgnmfRmXdE0xGGijyZ/s2048/348B7FB6-F80A-441A-8BDC-4FDBFE9A15B7.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1397" data-original-width="2048" height="436" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiJH2VPNQiTr-5ZDz6j6aCQNnu0MCJ5GL0AlvW2IqHrX_p5RtgmxeaHmtv2sYmsrwEdYjqFpQzSYLRWNmIz6KBoMnsl5AawcUQ2bag-4S9ZeJKs10b43-wM9Jp7rCCgnmfRmXdE0xGGijyZ/w640-h436/348B7FB6-F80A-441A-8BDC-4FDBFE9A15B7.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><b><span style="font-size: large;">$US versus Euro, 2000-'20</span></b><br /><b style="font-size: large; font-weight: bold;"><br /></b></div><div style="font-size: large; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;"><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; font-size: large; font-weight: bold;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjrND91QOxNcKmBsi4JElDD5oTbCacaNdtecHVqyaee7QFCfyEe4Hm7PDRJb1q89pE6Incpi46I5LcGO0lp77VsVujwI6ts6kJWS8nMQk3OcUjnnaKf5DPozdtGQueaUy3Ha88y19h5ezaSMqUY7Eq3XyfQUsCYU8Ed7m8WdJaK6i_sb50nPQt8l5zQA/s813/Pound%20v%20$%202022-10-04%20at%205.26.02%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="font-size: medium; font-weight: 400; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="813" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjrND91QOxNcKmBsi4JElDD5oTbCacaNdtecHVqyaee7QFCfyEe4Hm7PDRJb1q89pE6Incpi46I5LcGO0lp77VsVujwI6ts6kJWS8nMQk3OcUjnnaKf5DPozdtGQueaUy3Ha88y19h5ezaSMqUY7Eq3XyfQUsCYU8Ed7m8WdJaK6i_sb50nPQt8l5zQA/w640-h368/Pound%20v%20$%202022-10-04%20at%205.26.02%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><span style="font-size: large;"><b>$US / UK Pound Exchange Rate, 1970-2022</b></span></div><div style="font-size: large; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b style="color: lime;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Crypto-Currency / $US Prices:</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b style="color: lime;"><span> </span></b><b>Please also see: </b></span></div></span></span></div><h3 class="post-title entry-title" itemprop="name" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; caret-color: rgb(102, 102, 102); color: #666666; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Trebuchet, Verdana, sans-serif; font-stretch: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0.75em 0px 0px; position: relative; text-align: center; text-size-adjust: auto;"><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2017/07/warning-do-not-invest-even-1-in-bitcoin.html">"Do Not"Invest"In Bitcoin! [Or:How to Safely Profit With Bitcoin Etc.]"</a></span></h3><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0m6xg0zVDiCvKw7ztXBoWFLTxpbDVnndK7BBRaAoi39hy-Fo2Jc2qirKTfmF1omyqzl-pToINS847ee5gNbdYJNDlivDlRxejUkaGdEgNMaaZu4vYjiZ5H8TUQ7h0YOa7bZKw-Wx-gKoB/s2048/D548DA7A-0568-4D02-A2BA-6FCF56F40477.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1369" data-original-width="2048" height="429" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh0m6xg0zVDiCvKw7ztXBoWFLTxpbDVnndK7BBRaAoi39hy-Fo2Jc2qirKTfmF1omyqzl-pToINS847ee5gNbdYJNDlivDlRxejUkaGdEgNMaaZu4vYjiZ5H8TUQ7h0YOa7bZKw-Wx-gKoB/w640-h429/D548DA7A-0568-4D02-A2BA-6FCF56F40477.jpeg" width="640" /></span></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;">Bitcoins per $US , 2015-21, log. Scale</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEht9pcqzpQtsqF5Ff0qXedqKb3BaiBRZ9bMZT84iJg3eB7I0PDbHD0TbJ1Nv_GQWSoet5mkcdIQUq5Q12IAbb7pOuK2GyoqKfF_1xkN0tOtPQ8Zi0-4EKNanMWOTy_Odj0GqNkXkN8lI4Jj/s2048/0AA6FA58-AE11-4889-BBCA-5C116B74AE59.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1371" data-original-width="2048" height="429" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEht9pcqzpQtsqF5Ff0qXedqKb3BaiBRZ9bMZT84iJg3eB7I0PDbHD0TbJ1Nv_GQWSoet5mkcdIQUq5Q12IAbb7pOuK2GyoqKfF_1xkN0tOtPQ8Zi0-4EKNanMWOTy_Odj0GqNkXkN8lI4Jj/w640-h429/0AA6FA58-AE11-4889-BBCA-5C116B74AE59.jpeg" width="640" /></span></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;">Bitcoin Cash per $US, 2018-21, log. Scale</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAsmp940glxXHIOtcJLmMwJWFemYmvPdtw9eZCkpXokUlKKqA9FJfoY6l1aiTKTBTq90BeaC_tkekbKbQPrrpI9mZGSe983f1_TsNKtKeWAGh9K4IX39iKxJgaml2ZeFLdqb6d1VAERd4E/s2048/72F256AA-7B80-4178-B6CF-2D65B752612A.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1308" data-original-width="2048" height="406" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgAsmp940glxXHIOtcJLmMwJWFemYmvPdtw9eZCkpXokUlKKqA9FJfoY6l1aiTKTBTq90BeaC_tkekbKbQPrrpI9mZGSe983f1_TsNKtKeWAGh9K4IX39iKxJgaml2ZeFLdqb6d1VAERd4E/w640-h406/72F256AA-7B80-4178-B6CF-2D65B752612A.jpeg" width="640" /></span></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;">Ethereum per $US, 2017-21- log. scale</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhjmD5yUooygRiDc87u2kjyT9276BTAEvWGIj6ogSkXgEzsped4PA9qufFytzbTZDufcxAb-LYpR57Dk8me7egzjYZSXZdW0j5NugFeK7oy-70T_8H4-CczQ6vNAu9l77fW9b76tDY7YmUS/s2048/EE452BD4-D076-4F20-9817-4F81DA8F0370.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1405" data-original-width="2048" height="442" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhjmD5yUooygRiDc87u2kjyT9276BTAEvWGIj6ogSkXgEzsped4PA9qufFytzbTZDufcxAb-LYpR57Dk8me7egzjYZSXZdW0j5NugFeK7oy-70T_8H4-CczQ6vNAu9l77fW9b76tDY7YmUS/w640-h442/EE452BD4-D076-4F20-9817-4F81DA8F0370.jpeg" width="640" /></span></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;">Litecoin per $US, 2017-21,log. scale</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; margin: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><span class="Apple-style-span"><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div></span>
Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-38800907457105713202019-11-02T18:09:00.016-07:002022-10-16T06:56:58.704-07:00Graphs- Gold , silver ,copper, crude oil prices [updated 101622]<div style="text-align: center;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span>Click here for: </span></b><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/">Onebornfree's Financial Safety Reports [main page]</a></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><span>Click here for: </span></b><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">Graphs Main Index Page </a></b></span></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">[stock market, gold, silver, crypto-currency, money supply , federal debt etc.]</a></b><a href="#"></a><br /></span><br /><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhvw9Z8NakXARSamCdTFaxqB7j7APUuyutkITkW2bthdjctKC9_-i34nN06B7TXtzI_lUQEEXQ9P94wgz5C37XshOYs71Rj9QqDwzIOXT-W3Vekpgr8Ng2PKlWJhrzQ56hLHFATJuNt_DGAaAYNsXCdt9FauseVneDQyd79dBTzcTXkGcFE9Rkjy8yrgg/s975/gold%202022-10-10%20at%2011.11.32%20AM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="436" data-original-width="975" height="286" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhvw9Z8NakXARSamCdTFaxqB7j7APUuyutkITkW2bthdjctKC9_-i34nN06B7TXtzI_lUQEEXQ9P94wgz5C37XshOYs71Rj9QqDwzIOXT-W3Vekpgr8Ng2PKlWJhrzQ56hLHFATJuNt_DGAaAYNsXCdt9FauseVneDQyd79dBTzcTXkGcFE9Rkjy8yrgg/w640-h286/gold%202022-10-10%20at%2011.11.32%20AM.png" width="640" /></a></div><b><span style="font-size: large;">Gold Bullion v. $US, 1970-2022</span></b></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><b><br /></b></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5M6KKODN7Ary-SjW-0zRdyjQdCBKIUXzK4tNRPMf4MPZ08RFoKZh-6IfE8MaaEKszKE7t64zBusmPPtsm-iDBPlSCM27U84711ZJgDvU2F7od-1326IJs7OZ5vshGlAW-vjkYgM17pN6CYGyiAn0Gkr7bNJP6aCCOqkFYzb8RFWuUoSiAv4XNui89Cw/s765/gold%202022-10-10%20at%2011.02.48%20AM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="398" data-original-width="765" height="332" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5M6KKODN7Ary-SjW-0zRdyjQdCBKIUXzK4tNRPMf4MPZ08RFoKZh-6IfE8MaaEKszKE7t64zBusmPPtsm-iDBPlSCM27U84711ZJgDvU2F7od-1326IJs7OZ5vshGlAW-vjkYgM17pN6CYGyiAn0Gkr7bNJP6aCCOqkFYzb8RFWuUoSiAv4XNui89Cw/w640-h332/gold%202022-10-10%20at%2011.02.48%20AM.png" width="640" /></a></div><br /><b><span style="font-size: large;">Gold Bullion v. $US, 2013-2022</span></b></div><div><br /></div></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEge8pob-jPMTtOISnlmuQI9Xu9fgMqPt5GXtwRAJO_dYDaAAnXFbCtATBghGGMT8aSkQObSGoqCCzsXC4OHtEna77pigK6hG160TrhqBpoZXw1baIOmBW1OeLFXbj1xYfuh0NhrPFUBFeWJ/s2048/9E80EF88-EA97-4A8E-8AED-1D27C33DDC67.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1170" data-original-width="2048" height="365" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEge8pob-jPMTtOISnlmuQI9Xu9fgMqPt5GXtwRAJO_dYDaAAnXFbCtATBghGGMT8aSkQObSGoqCCzsXC4OHtEna77pigK6hG160TrhqBpoZXw1baIOmBW1OeLFXbj1xYfuh0NhrPFUBFeWJ/w640-h365/9E80EF88-EA97-4A8E-8AED-1D27C33DDC67.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"> <b><span style="font-size: large;">Silver bullion versus $US, 2017-21, log. scale</span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhsU8tDU4IwNTvek3dh3Y_wd0Io340gWrNcaNUZrSOiCVwRmuiRqkbwXgGf3LHD2bL-XMqkeMPtXljZVKo6DoR5sOTl877mkhyQxHphKKBXIjAPzIuO4snD7MXJMPbjp-C98QszP5IYlxgq/s2048/48E4AA11-9035-4B9F-B019-D54115D6BF0B.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1359" data-original-width="2048" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhsU8tDU4IwNTvek3dh3Y_wd0Io340gWrNcaNUZrSOiCVwRmuiRqkbwXgGf3LHD2bL-XMqkeMPtXljZVKo6DoR5sOTl877mkhyQxHphKKBXIjAPzIuO4snD7MXJMPbjp-C98QszP5IYlxgq/w640-h426/48E4AA11-9035-4B9F-B019-D54115D6BF0B.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b> $US Price per Metric Ton of Global Copper , 1990-2020,</b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b> [log. scale]</b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJduCUcO_-rVIxT2v4wF2IhyphenhyphentiTviFqkr8PxuKggBS0zomMn7d7IXD8u-sxjojqBTGmCxiAcTzYl8WD3Mv6wOajL6AV14PPG4Pp2351epnPBHcTDb-7g4hQK8h8PQukloR_qmkSTdAJABw/s2048/593FCB72-92BE-4E1F-B0C3-FAF6885B33EE.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1364" data-original-width="2048" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJduCUcO_-rVIxT2v4wF2IhyphenhyphentiTviFqkr8PxuKggBS0zomMn7d7IXD8u-sxjojqBTGmCxiAcTzYl8WD3Mv6wOajL6AV14PPG4Pp2351epnPBHcTDb-7g4hQK8h8PQukloR_qmkSTdAJABw/w640-h426/593FCB72-92BE-4E1F-B0C3-FAF6885B33EE.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>$US Price per Barrel of Crude Oil, West Texas Intermediate, 1950-2020- [log. scale]</b></span></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div></div>
Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-35235689112305190112019-11-02T18:08:00.010-07:002022-10-16T06:48:55.792-07:00Graphs- Federal Reserve Money Supply [MB, M1, M2,] [updated 101622]<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><br /><b><span style="font-size: large;">Click here for: <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/">Onebornfree's Financial Safety Reports [main page]</a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: start;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-size: large;"><b style="text-align: center;"><div><b><span>Click here for: </span></b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html" style="text-align: start;"><div style="display: inline; text-align: center;"><b><span>Graphs Main Index Page </span></b></div></a></div></b><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html"><span><div style="text-align: center;"><b>[stock market, gold, silver, crypto-currency, money supply , federal debt etc.]</b></div></span></a></b></span></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4wUDna9uijBELuwfQIbeE4zeG4z6ABhJCHWtSuj6Yp3ls7ZAygdNQOReXCLk7oM3EQ69vZvyO_4CHa9I3m4d43Bc8AVALjcXqKgGdDt0mmtMgUbJ-OOShzkxwUJQRz2zoS8XdyjIQ37i5_M5gCDo2Vmb2yD9p7F2QJ4dGfdp0jz6PTszF2Q31AdkxCA/s816/MB%202022-10-04%20at%205.34.43%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="469" data-original-width="816" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4wUDna9uijBELuwfQIbeE4zeG4z6ABhJCHWtSuj6Yp3ls7ZAygdNQOReXCLk7oM3EQ69vZvyO_4CHa9I3m4d43Bc8AVALjcXqKgGdDt0mmtMgUbJ-OOShzkxwUJQRz2zoS8XdyjIQ37i5_M5gCDo2Vmb2yD9p7F2QJ4dGfdp0jz6PTszF2Q31AdkxCA/w640-h368/MB%202022-10-04%20at%205.34.43%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><b style="text-align: start;"><span style="font-size: large;">Federal Reserve Monetary Base [MB] Money Supply, 2000- '22 </span></b></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><b style="text-align: start;"><span style="font-size: large;">[ log scale]</span></b><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4OGib2WkSTUaS8UpGnoeOT76AoJOOHusJLUzbhwTSqYegCFBWAHfz4e4jJZ9jiBjrnu2hK8XUP8AAivMUhkJvnIqnHCQehPFmpClL2_Sjc3Qmp5nrsLQ20Tmv6Jo-VjjdKcit1cND3A-X/s2048/48059A61-524E-4D5A-B19D-6641167AC355.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1184" data-original-width="2048" height="371" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg4OGib2WkSTUaS8UpGnoeOT76AoJOOHusJLUzbhwTSqYegCFBWAHfz4e4jJZ9jiBjrnu2hK8XUP8AAivMUhkJvnIqnHCQehPFmpClL2_Sjc3Qmp5nrsLQ20Tmv6Jo-VjjdKcit1cND3A-X/w640-h371/48059A61-524E-4D5A-B19D-6641167AC355.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><span style="text-align: start;"> <b> <span style="font-size: large;"> Federal Reserve Monetary Base [MB] Money Supply, 1960- '21 [ log scale]</span></b></span><div style="text-align: start;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghS_6ecUyWIcaO6PteDrr8jbnC6-iD_djhbfkPyKtMXYfcHA8hLj2m4wOU1X1qBcjDeyFlwo4V0cUyUD0Xqnu_HUfYtz1SMrlw1GmvHNr-NQxqSSoKrVnfHOnwo9Whbk5Hub3z_ftVRUC8AvmnClQWENI1s6x4iZ8WJXjByV_NCPg59wDMvxgBqV9mqA/s811/M1%202022-10-04%20at%205.41.15%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="font-size: large; font-weight: 700; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="811" height="374" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEghS_6ecUyWIcaO6PteDrr8jbnC6-iD_djhbfkPyKtMXYfcHA8hLj2m4wOU1X1qBcjDeyFlwo4V0cUyUD0Xqnu_HUfYtz1SMrlw1GmvHNr-NQxqSSoKrVnfHOnwo9Whbk5Hub3z_ftVRUC8AvmnClQWENI1s6x4iZ8WJXjByV_NCPg59wDMvxgBqV9mqA/w640-h374/M1%202022-10-04%20at%205.41.15%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><b style="font-size: x-large; text-align: start;"> Federal Reserve M1 Money Supply, 2000- '22</b></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><b style="font-size: x-large; text-align: start;"> [ log scale]</b></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><b style="font-size: x-large; text-align: start;"><br /></b></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5FjT62U3XOTOK4Ldl_wiljj9Kri0c3BkPZoYFaxyjIECXfZIQCh-XJvkzb-Q-eaGFBIABvoSmN2weEzU9WQJOd_4dVXyTZSkRTZhSwo96vkMIqsfoU9IJ32i80fROe5pLigPZVaD2B31mheOTIFfpwgrDcFV6MSdk-aA6LGl-MVqFTHbSy6QAbQGnhg/s815/M1%20veloc.2022-10-04%20at%205.45.41%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="font-size: large; font-weight: 700; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="815" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5FjT62U3XOTOK4Ldl_wiljj9Kri0c3BkPZoYFaxyjIECXfZIQCh-XJvkzb-Q-eaGFBIABvoSmN2weEzU9WQJOd_4dVXyTZSkRTZhSwo96vkMIqsfoU9IJ32i80fROe5pLigPZVaD2B31mheOTIFfpwgrDcFV6MSdk-aA6LGl-MVqFTHbSy6QAbQGnhg/w640-h368/M1%20veloc.2022-10-04%20at%205.45.41%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><span style="font-size: large;"><b>Federal Reserve M1 Money Supply Velocity, 2000-2020, </b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>[log. scale]</b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3SPJFCe7hFI12IE5sxUEM-SSdBPxHYxoq0OyhCMlLwNQp6bO-2UgJTORlo7vsSpeZqWxIC9_FEIClSo0nfFpwSF3rPH3EnxSobYPD04dAmuCpaHJgfcrxDPYxUAj5qFM3BNwYcn-Fndkn/s2048/F09D93B9-DFD8-49FA-A135-E33C2E525A84.jpeg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1591" data-original-width="2048" height="499" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3SPJFCe7hFI12IE5sxUEM-SSdBPxHYxoq0OyhCMlLwNQp6bO-2UgJTORlo7vsSpeZqWxIC9_FEIClSo0nfFpwSF3rPH3EnxSobYPD04dAmuCpaHJgfcrxDPYxUAj5qFM3BNwYcn-Fndkn/w640-h499/F09D93B9-DFD8-49FA-A135-E33C2E525A84.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div style="text-align: start;"> <span style="font-size: large;"> <b> Federal Reserve M1 Money Supply, 1960- '21 [ log scale]</b></span></div><div style="text-align: start;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b><br /></b></span></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCdirhdDoPfYdQdwJ7wEvDUTdJOdpJilcaw2oCSuJ_-667k2eHKKtw7pNSBWem-S9nPHvsWo48VSkQ8vitqQD48nyZlFjrzCTQ6dwvBTpCvDWxzmSwKUx1-_6B7TV4wakzLUJfyj74yYxj92UjPftRD0LG3F9RahjdjvOaG0SQ0OhiUSrRo5ZP9LvhGw/s816/M2%20%5Blog.%5D-98-%200822-%202022-10-09%20at%2010.16.17%20AM.png" imageanchor="1" style="font-size: large; font-weight: 700; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="416" data-original-width="816" height="326" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCdirhdDoPfYdQdwJ7wEvDUTdJOdpJilcaw2oCSuJ_-667k2eHKKtw7pNSBWem-S9nPHvsWo48VSkQ8vitqQD48nyZlFjrzCTQ6dwvBTpCvDWxzmSwKUx1-_6B7TV4wakzLUJfyj74yYxj92UjPftRD0LG3F9RahjdjvOaG0SQ0OhiUSrRo5ZP9LvhGw/w640-h326/M2%20%5Blog.%5D-98-%200822-%202022-10-09%20at%2010.16.17%20AM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>Federal Reserve M2 Money Supply, 2000-'22 </b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><span style="font-size: large;"><b>[log scale]</b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div><div><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvtDTjixzL_1fKABWGO-ghFvEtI_6pt5-OjT2BXRacCHTQrBmjca_WHcERLKuuUCoXW1oRrq4UK7WfBEXZEAf22DlRlKj1bBap7TVl9UcnMLNW-dBdPGk9ozRrb-hFpPlmdraD9bzyOdQdFeSOrsl1ZPR0D58WOZEeF1oy9iYBLxDZP65YXQiQQwxNSA/s817/M2%20veloc.2022-10-04%20at%205.44.17%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="font-size: large; font-weight: 700; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="465" data-original-width="817" height="364" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgvtDTjixzL_1fKABWGO-ghFvEtI_6pt5-OjT2BXRacCHTQrBmjca_WHcERLKuuUCoXW1oRrq4UK7WfBEXZEAf22DlRlKj1bBap7TVl9UcnMLNW-dBdPGk9ozRrb-hFpPlmdraD9bzyOdQdFeSOrsl1ZPR0D58WOZEeF1oy9iYBLxDZP65YXQiQQwxNSA/w640-h364/M2%20veloc.2022-10-04%20at%205.44.17%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div><br /></div><span style="font-size: large;"><b>Federal Reserve M2 Money Supply Velocity, 2000-2022, </b></span></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><b>[log. scale]</b></span></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4xQA82Pbet0pvoI9qOtMEUwz351pk63vKv04OlO5QduKKhUNpJRj2eUdg3AbiohHMy66VP0dbx8JWMgY__jwxrqZj4oehnqKRDJeQjEBySxxAH7J70j23MwpbX11grPx_0ndtkU2Vn_32/s2048/DCB90FCB-10FF-4768-B001-F3497761465F.jpeg"><img border="0" height="461" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4xQA82Pbet0pvoI9qOtMEUwz351pk63vKv04OlO5QduKKhUNpJRj2eUdg3AbiohHMy66VP0dbx8JWMgY__jwxrqZj4oehnqKRDJeQjEBySxxAH7J70j23MwpbX11grPx_0ndtkU2Vn_32/w640-h461/DCB90FCB-10FF-4768-B001-F3497761465F.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div></div><div style="text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: center;"><div><span style="font-size: large;"><b>Federal Reserve M2 Money Supply, 1980-'21 </b></span></div><div><span style="font-size: large;"><b>[log scale]</b></span></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div><div><b><span style="font-size: large;">Click here for: <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/">Onebornfree's Financial Safety Reports [main page]</a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: start;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-size: large;"><b style="text-align: center;"><b><span> Click here for: </span></b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html" style="text-align: start;"><div style="display: inline; text-align: center;"><b><span>Graphs Main Index Page </span></b></div></a></b><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html"><span><div style="text-align: center;"><b>[stock market, gold, silver, crypto-currency, money supply , federal debt etc.]</b></div></span></a></b></span></div></div><div><br /></div></div></div></div></div>
Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-12654144530319237092019-11-02T18:07:00.007-07:002021-05-23T06:49:39.827-07:00Graphs- US Federal Government Debt Totals [updated 022721]<br />
<div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8GZHg5UTpNCHMp_HdEqHRMBrvzITXpH9oakpMEvnMMvyF908HgHm66VFO11O7BkCDl-lkJZBraO-7IVe81VGkIZpuW8nZkJO1XbVVmzagoQN38R9ltEwXyZocg04ODC6mapsqmJvt7EVv/s2048/0BF94A8A-1496-48FA-8A36-EBD8A78E8569.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1598" data-original-width="2048" height="502" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8GZHg5UTpNCHMp_HdEqHRMBrvzITXpH9oakpMEvnMMvyF908HgHm66VFO11O7BkCDl-lkJZBraO-7IVe81VGkIZpuW8nZkJO1XbVVmzagoQN38R9ltEwXyZocg04ODC6mapsqmJvt7EVv/w640-h502/0BF94A8A-1496-48FA-8A36-EBD8A78E8569.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">Gross US Federal Debt, 1940-2020- [log scale]</div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFol1TV5yak8YONtwpEgU-SBKK_TFvN8DRlmvLKi-7c-QoJmnI00po_ERLkF3HRPwhcQw9mLtaxmzQNkd_sGhhTGM9kRmcRccS1euK6kT866998gxDOosGhjYgWB6zOTBtwRcNcT-SkyJe/s2048/6E5D74A3-37EC-47D2-9AFC-DE538868E9D1.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1585" data-original-width="2048" height="496" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFol1TV5yak8YONtwpEgU-SBKK_TFvN8DRlmvLKi-7c-QoJmnI00po_ERLkF3HRPwhcQw9mLtaxmzQNkd_sGhhTGM9kRmcRccS1euK6kT866998gxDOosGhjYgWB6zOTBtwRcNcT-SkyJe/w640-h496/6E5D74A3-37EC-47D2-9AFC-DE538868E9D1.jpeg" width="640" /></a></div> <div> US Federal Debt Held by Foreign Governments & Investors, 1970-2020 [log scale]</div></div>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-91357702990913321742019-11-02T18:06:00.010-07:002022-10-16T06:18:35.742-07:00Graphs- US Stock Indexes [last updated 101522]<div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;">Click here for: <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/">Onebornfree's Financial Safety Reports [main page]</a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;">Click here for: <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">Graphs Main Index Page </a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2019/11/graph-category-links.html">[stock market, gold, silver, crypto-currency, money supply , federal debt etc.]</a></span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><br /></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhwXKR1bORSYR2ptR28J3HJHziuecCeTJW5hmtTyuKuDyq8ZxZSnfryrBzCNVGVCwcpbTEmYKz204DqeR1hh4wUjEAUIJSAEwWHyP-XY1IDOJivaTcHuzORwUoUfyTWsPb_l0hzIEivGnM5rJ8fVsrqKETTbMDbCLr8Un20hWG8pBsSwiFuQQZeKCTmaw/s814/DowJones%20In.%202022-10-04%20at%205.50.09%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="469" data-original-width="814" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhwXKR1bORSYR2ptR28J3HJHziuecCeTJW5hmtTyuKuDyq8ZxZSnfryrBzCNVGVCwcpbTEmYKz204DqeR1hh4wUjEAUIJSAEwWHyP-XY1IDOJivaTcHuzORwUoUfyTWsPb_l0hzIEivGnM5rJ8fVsrqKETTbMDbCLr8Un20hWG8pBsSwiFuQQZeKCTmaw/w640-h368/DowJones%20In.%202022-10-04%20at%205.50.09%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;">Dow Jones Industrial Stock Averages, 2018-22, [log scale]</span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhR0NhW7K727uEp8xBlpZpWCry_TZcfCCidKRoMeMe2yzHs0-s_ImGuSCb0pcNwj2iZXdrLp6c1pIwFpIQrNAPTcmgOgrt3yKgWwabiD_pKmQAP8blL8HrW3icm00Nzx9JnkFTqf3gVMOu0z_FrbAVSEOOUjuz947D06cpBXKY1odobWtMNl4SuhobWHA/s808/S&P%205002022-10-04%20at%205.49.00%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="458" data-original-width="808" height="362" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhR0NhW7K727uEp8xBlpZpWCry_TZcfCCidKRoMeMe2yzHs0-s_ImGuSCb0pcNwj2iZXdrLp6c1pIwFpIQrNAPTcmgOgrt3yKgWwabiD_pKmQAP8blL8HrW3icm00Nzx9JnkFTqf3gVMOu0z_FrbAVSEOOUjuz947D06cpBXKY1odobWtMNl4SuhobWHA/w640-h362/S&P%205002022-10-04%20at%205.49.00%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><span style="font-size: large;">S&P 500 Stock Index, 2018-22, [log scale]</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiGS-74RCBAd_9PCUuLbjHtrhYE-yd7_vLSSvRui_QlHuq_TE-IXj45brE_z0ZF7SZwNy07WHiO3vD6O8P3U3wIK8_AsAQmgoR7x06af2NeQskFy3yeiihXK8Ov2tqbp0ALzX5B0ul0Cijymkz2fTz6j_Nq57E64nkx-ueqYFOpyTX_zHlPN_phkfynVg/s820/Nasdaq%202022-10-04%20at%205.54.25%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="820" height="366" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiGS-74RCBAd_9PCUuLbjHtrhYE-yd7_vLSSvRui_QlHuq_TE-IXj45brE_z0ZF7SZwNy07WHiO3vD6O8P3U3wIK8_AsAQmgoR7x06af2NeQskFy3yeiihXK8Ov2tqbp0ALzX5B0ul0Cijymkz2fTz6j_Nq57E64nkx-ueqYFOpyTX_zHlPN_phkfynVg/w640-h366/Nasdaq%202022-10-04%20at%205.54.25%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: large;">NASDAQ. Composite Stock Index, 2018-2022 [log scale]</span></span></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3bgmR5Wl971Ghk67dqVFtQbcVJAB0-P_9v_xk5T8rJcRHZT2KJs26XALA6vBly4bgO9Fta38UV5W6sjQXxCiHRLNC2N9LOX01qyByVwpnEcKVbLJj5UpaCJfQrqpFymL3B9xQM0oxelJKlnJMj6YKuXkxo2Vm2Ms5p_VEgBn1uNBkDcHj4HExhHS-LA/s812/Wilshire%205000%202022-10-04%20at%205.52.44%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="467" data-original-width="812" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3bgmR5Wl971Ghk67dqVFtQbcVJAB0-P_9v_xk5T8rJcRHZT2KJs26XALA6vBly4bgO9Fta38UV5W6sjQXxCiHRLNC2N9LOX01qyByVwpnEcKVbLJj5UpaCJfQrqpFymL3B9xQM0oxelJKlnJMj6YKuXkxo2Vm2Ms5p_VEgBn1uNBkDcHj4HExhHS-LA/w640-h368/Wilshire%205000%202022-10-04%20at%205.52.44%20PM.png" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;">Wilshire 5000 Stock Index, 2018-22 [log scale]</span></div><br /><b><br /></b></div><div><a href="https://draft.blogger.com/#"><br /></a><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br style="text-align: left;" /><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><br style="text-align: left;" /><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div></div><br style="text-align: left;" /><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><br /></div><span style="text-align: left;"> </span></div>
</div>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-58158160299814505312019-07-13T18:00:00.001-07:002021-02-07T16:27:52.150-08:00The World's Best Kept Investment Secret<div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9WwXgxrxwMurcd3e4ubQs8nul-XVSIwkdJAQ5APrItpMjnLvLLeZ8SjYtYaNCGqDTuFrXFj-6p_-L11A9iSUFbsxhjT2veeqO2hbkgsgfy_b9yvSVru36yOZ2x9HAmx_6EBVi_VxamSeU/s1600/Picture+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="288" data-original-width="855" height="212" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9WwXgxrxwMurcd3e4ubQs8nul-XVSIwkdJAQ5APrItpMjnLvLLeZ8SjYtYaNCGqDTuFrXFj-6p_-L11A9iSUFbsxhjT2veeqO2hbkgsgfy_b9yvSVru36yOZ2x9HAmx_6EBVi_VxamSeU/s640/Picture+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;"><b><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</a></b></b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: black;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: purple;">email: onebornfree at yahoo dot com</span></b></span></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;">Real world fact [1] : [aka "the world's best kept investment secret"]:</span></b><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">No one can consistently and accurately predict "big picture" future economic events and scenarios. No investment advisor, no money manager, no economist, no politician, no fortune teller- not even you :-) [although any one of these, including yourself, might get it right on occasion, purely by chance]. <br /><br />For various underlying, fundamental reasons, the "big picture" financial and economic future must always remain unknown.<br /><br /><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;"><b>An Important Question For You, Dear Reader :</b></span></span><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Despite the fact that the economic future cannot be reliably/consistently be predicted by anyone, are you, dear reader, unwittingly trying to predict the economic future via the makeup of your own current savings/investment plans and choices? [or via the choices of your financial planner, investment advisor, or via an economist or related?] <u>If so, then you are unknowingly endangering your long term savings.</u><br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYcyUf6ihpQY6y3vWhMjuAkrU4piuvkKL8zmSRE3XmGEaBOdgLJ8wxa3ueiHjnyAxUrp7tSeZJFXyTQkuuK7rZq1JiweSm_kCatOqT1PfDs1FzkU4OF6kq4t5aMBBf6LeYN6emDFip2W4S/s1600/Picture+4.png"></a>Let me try to illustrate my question by examples: <br /><br /><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">The Real-World, Unknowable Outlook For The Stock Market:</span></b></span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYcyUf6ihpQY6y3vWhMjuAkrU4piuvkKL8zmSRE3XmGEaBOdgLJ8wxa3ueiHjnyAxUrp7tSeZJFXyTQkuuK7rZq1JiweSm_kCatOqT1PfDs1FzkU4OF6kq4t5aMBBf6LeYN6emDFip2W4S/s1600/Picture+4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="493" data-original-width="763" height="411" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYcyUf6ihpQY6y3vWhMjuAkrU4piuvkKL8zmSRE3XmGEaBOdgLJ8wxa3ueiHjnyAxUrp7tSeZJFXyTQkuuK7rZq1JiweSm_kCatOqT1PfDs1FzkU4OF6kq4t5aMBBf6LeYN6emDFip2W4S/s640/Picture+4.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #666666;">Standard & Poor's 500 stock index, 5 year performance [log. scale]</span></i></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Real World Fact:</span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"> </span></b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">If you have most of/all of your savings in stocks, then you are [perhaps unwittingly] predicting the certainty of an economic environment in the course of your lifetime which will increase the value of your savings, </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b>when in actual fact there can be no guarantee that that environment will actually occur</b></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">. Stocks might actually decrease in value relative to everything else over the course of your remaining lifetime!</span></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;">2] The Real-World, Unknowable Outlook For Gold :</span></b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgesD_9OaZTKEo0BLlqzQ7WfFj-WCCRz008MLRO12ZsYrgF3aqMVYfbAasG3Q_oniTFQ_5iliGmhDzx6g6nIk7YgT4Ov__glMCae3W5Gazq1-ssLMpFFS6VPOsvWpZgmU3XhZkNxLhfLEr2/s1600/Picture+6.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="488" data-original-width="767" height="404" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgesD_9OaZTKEo0BLlqzQ7WfFj-WCCRz008MLRO12ZsYrgF3aqMVYfbAasG3Q_oniTFQ_5iliGmhDzx6g6nIk7YgT4Ov__glMCae3W5Gazq1-ssLMpFFS6VPOsvWpZgmU3XhZkNxLhfLEr2/s640/Picture+6.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #666666;"><i>10 year</i> <i>Gold bullion $US price per 1 oz. London A.M. fix [log. scale]</i></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Real World Fact:</span> </b>If you have most of/all of your savings in gold/silver bullion, then you are [perhaps unwittingly] predicting the certainty of an economic environment in the course of your lifetime which will increase the value of your savings,<b> when in actual fact there can be no guarantee that that environment will actually occur.</b> Gold and silver etc. might actually all decrease in value relative to everything else over the course of your remaining lifetime!</span><br />
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;">3] The Real-World, Unknowable Outlook For Cash and Cash Equivalents [</span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;">Treasury</span></b><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;">Bonds,Bills etc.]:</span></b></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgR-I6-CJBcgK8WJcUFvl8x9z08QiMJwd5z1ua8jH0fuDBc08Vs2HUQgJe6hb8wqpeZMa2Hd4htIy5-2SwQ-Bz1wtC6Fh_I-99hZQdmHKUAnLwUvw05fnSh_K6cUT_PZjcZIB8XGnkAO9OT/s1600/Picture+7.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="488" data-original-width="764" height="408" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgR-I6-CJBcgK8WJcUFvl8x9z08QiMJwd5z1ua8jH0fuDBc08Vs2HUQgJe6hb8wqpeZMa2Hd4htIy5-2SwQ-Bz1wtC6Fh_I-99hZQdmHKUAnLwUvw05fnSh_K6cUT_PZjcZIB8XGnkAO9OT/s640/Picture+7.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #666666;">30 year U.S. Treasury bond interest rates 2000 -2019</span></i></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Real World Fact:</span> </b>If you have most of/all of your savings in cash and related [eg long term government bonds], then you are [perhaps unwittingly] predicting the certainty of an economic environment in the course of your lifetime which will increase the value of your savings, <b>when in actual fact there can be no guarantee that that environment will actually occur</b>. Cash and related might actually decrease in value relative to everything else over the course of your remaining lifetime!</span><br />
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;">4] The Real-World, Unknowable, Outlook For Bitcoin and other Crypto-Currencies:</span></b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh_is-g4y9eDpFyaGAsRBAagkWz_JamkSyQ2EqWvQXaTeWGzmMUrwPfQE86zI9dfyAY_WCZXZzM70PzikBBwnDtRqqUGYwyS8ekyoCAxBaQU_oshrDqI_fjfsQBpatOMW8ZOT6YBEJrD1B5/s1600/Picture+5.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="470" data-original-width="762" height="394" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh_is-g4y9eDpFyaGAsRBAagkWz_JamkSyQ2EqWvQXaTeWGzmMUrwPfQE86zI9dfyAY_WCZXZzM70PzikBBwnDtRqqUGYwyS8ekyoCAxBaQU_oshrDqI_fjfsQBpatOMW8ZOT6YBEJrD1B5/s640/Picture+5.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<i>Bitcoins per $US, 2015-19</i><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Real World Fact</span>:</b> If you have most of/all of your savings in Bitcoin and related, then you are [perhaps unwittingly] predicting the certainty of an economic environment in the course of your lifetime which will increase the value of your savings, when in actual fact there can be no guarantee that that environment will actually occur. Cryptocurrences like Bitcoin might actually decrease in value relative to everything else over the course of your remaining lifetime!</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;">5] The Real-World, Unknowable, Outlook For Real Estate, Art, Oil, a Private Business etc. etc.</span></b></span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">The exact same principle applies if you have most of your savings/investments tied up in real estate, art, a business, oil, or anything else. <b>As always, the future remains unknown/uncertain. </b>There are [and can be] <b>no</b> guarantees that any of these other investment choices will increase in value relative to everything else over the course of your lifetime!</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
<strong><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-size: large;">6] : One More Real World Fact : </span></strong><br />
<strong><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-size: large;"><br /></span></strong>
<strong><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-size: large;">Despite the fact that the big picture economic future must always remain unknown, <u>it is still possible to easily protect the future value of your savings against the ravages of an unknown future.</u></span></strong></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">See: <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html">Got Money You Can Afford To Lose?[How to Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc.] </a></span></span><br />
<br />
<a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html"></a><br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</a></span></b></div>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">email: onebornfree at yahoo dot com</span><br />
<br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: large;"> Extra graphs of possible interest: </span></b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpTPqkq7VuOaJPc4CDy1l215WGFExVUMUXQHviUc7doy_I4EGBRf95mrfeyd5n_PkoLIY3-zEDzsHPkEUP0ERvqRpPfl600_tMluNR9elHjN7GppJvHurhF5lxX6tKsi-rF4QN1jsXIWvX/s1600/m+base+%252714-%252719.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="465" data-original-width="751" height="396" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjpTPqkq7VuOaJPc4CDy1l215WGFExVUMUXQHviUc7doy_I4EGBRf95mrfeyd5n_PkoLIY3-zEDzsHPkEUP0ERvqRpPfl600_tMluNR9elHjN7GppJvHurhF5lxX6tKsi-rF4QN1jsXIWvX/s640/m+base+%252714-%252719.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<i> Federal Reserve Monetary Base[ MB] 2014-19 [ Log. scale]</i><br />
<br /></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjQwNdmbFtxdQP_a4sgn28SOdXPK0aKFV_J6oNbI8hnNY57fWRg8HMbt741LjdkZJ_jrw1fahSXWPXSwHfiTbtAMEjEem0XBTIVwRYjjRlBuwQdzqXPLqiZnyBw2Wv771s2XowCpI-Ixoi/s1600/3+m%252C+treas-80-%252719.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="753" height="402" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjQwNdmbFtxdQP_a4sgn28SOdXPK0aKFV_J6oNbI8hnNY57fWRg8HMbt741LjdkZJ_jrw1fahSXWPXSwHfiTbtAMEjEem0XBTIVwRYjjRlBuwQdzqXPLqiZnyBw2Wv771s2XowCpI-Ixoi/s640/3+m%252C+treas-80-%252719.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<i>US Government 3 month Treasury Bill interest rates 1980-2018</i><br />
<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhsGqidM9b5I8CEzeR7FWG6WjC9vLtKMQ3OE5pBa28appKwSglfdx4ATAtK5uZ3seZ0wpWaIXxTRZAv4PL2lhFo7ut8mPTjkR25cOYWMPi-sZJ3Bh0ErfX4LF7iCzDITP_ZzNVW-qlnjqPR/s1600/Picture+13.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="467" data-original-width="765" height="390" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhsGqidM9b5I8CEzeR7FWG6WjC9vLtKMQ3OE5pBa28appKwSglfdx4ATAtK5uZ3seZ0wpWaIXxTRZAv4PL2lhFo7ut8mPTjkR25cOYWMPi-sZJ3Bh0ErfX4LF7iCzDITP_ZzNVW-qlnjqPR/s640/Picture+13.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<i>U.S government gross debt, 1980-2019 [log. scale]</i><br />
<i><br /></i>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS_x5MuAVxzvNWJYcjWC6_-HfDacazMubPAelEr-mMyieq6Q-U0KZXDGy4VTe3Of-ycDsFO1JrceHqVjaoX_gUHgXlFexVOl4NT5wqQ8TdhnFqSsLAuSc-QZW6EGwbXHCGiMs6XntKy3v0/s1600/Picture+14.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="472" data-original-width="755" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiS_x5MuAVxzvNWJYcjWC6_-HfDacazMubPAelEr-mMyieq6Q-U0KZXDGy4VTe3Of-ycDsFO1JrceHqVjaoX_gUHgXlFexVOl4NT5wqQ8TdhnFqSsLAuSc-QZW6EGwbXHCGiMs6XntKy3v0/s640/Picture+14.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<i>Percentage of US Federal debt held by foreign institutions,1980-2019, </i></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<i>[log. scale]</i></div>
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<i><br /></i></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRkWqeqkk9fhmSG_E4UfLdZSsOrCDp1SMTEhkZkTetv224xV9_4t34OYDxtwuwB-2aolxvTj9Vb9ZqmQs3YNmg8Z7FCqLinvxSQAYSYsEHF5OjTgxs0Y48Y-cRx466W5mGYUywbWLAPgsK/s1600/Picture+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="389" data-original-width="769" height="322" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRkWqeqkk9fhmSG_E4UfLdZSsOrCDp1SMTEhkZkTetv224xV9_4t34OYDxtwuwB-2aolxvTj9Vb9ZqmQs3YNmg8Z7FCqLinvxSQAYSYsEHF5OjTgxs0Y48Y-cRx466W5mGYUywbWLAPgsK/s640/Picture+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<i><br /></i></div>
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</span></b></a></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"> email: onebornfree at yahoo dot com</span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
</div>
Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-48898993344230960052018-04-23T07:19:00.002-07:002021-02-07T16:28:39.107-08:00Your Precious Savings Versus The World's Best Kept Investment Secret<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Your Precious Savings Versus The World's Best Kept Investment Secret</span></b><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><b>Financial Safety Services disclaimer</b></a></span><br />
<br />
Two predictions from supposed "expert", famous, financial advisors :<br />
<br />
<iframe allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/9s_6K6xO9zE" width="560"></iframe><br />
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9s_6K6xO9zE<br />
<br />
“Soon something’s going to happen that will make everyone happy again
and the market will go up one more time, and that will probably be the
last hoorah. Next year will be not a lot of fun,” Rogers said in an
interview with Kitco News on Monday."<br />
<br />
<b><a href="https://www.lewrockwell.com/2018/04/no_author/enjoy-this-market-hoorah/">Jim Rogers: Enjoy This Market Hoorah Before the Worst Correction of Your Lifetime</a></b><br />
<br />
<a class="postlink" href="https://www.lewrockwell.com/2018/04/no_author/enjoy-this-market-hoorah/"></a><iframe allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tWfoUuntUNc" width="560"></iframe><br />
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tWfoUuntUNc<br />
<br />
<b><a href="https://www.lewrockwell.com/2018/04/no_author/dont-be-fooled/">Peter Schiff: Enjoy the Calm Before the Storm:</a></b><br />
<br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Meanwhile, Back In Reality - Some Real World Investment Facts For You: </span></b><br />
<br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Real world fact [1] </span></b>: [<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #660000;">aka "the world's best kept investment secret"</span>]:no one can accurately predict future economic events.<br />
<br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Real world fact [2]</span></b>: its not necessary for an individual to try to
guess the financial/economic future in order to safeguard their savings from the ravages of an unknowable economic future.<br />
<br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">An Important Question For You :</span></b><br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">Despite the fact that the economic future cannot be reliably/consistently be predicted by anyone, are you, dear reader, unwittingly trying to predict the economic future via your own current savings/investment choices? </span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><br /></span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">Let me try to illustrate my question by examples: </span><br />
<br />
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">Real world fact [3] (a):</span></b> if you have most of/all of your savings in
stocks, then you are [perhaps unwittingly] predicting the certainty of
an economic environment in the course of your lifetime which will
increase the value of your savings, when in actual fact there can be no
guarantee that that environment will actually occur. Stocks might
actually decrease in value relative to everything else over the course
of your remaining lifetime. <br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;"><b>[3](b) :</b></span> if you have most of/all of your savings in gold/silver bullion,
then you are [perhaps unwittingly] predicting the certainty of an
economic environment in the course of your lifetime which will increase
the value of your savings, when in actual fact there can be no guarantee
that that environment will actually occur. Gold and silver might
decrease in value relative to everything else over the course of your
remaining lifetime. <br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">[<b>3](c):</b></span> if you have most of/all of your savings in cash and related [eg
long term government bonds], then you are [perhaps unwittingly]
predicting the certainty of an economic environment in the course of
your lifetime which will increase the value of your savings, when in
actual fact there can be no guarantee that that environment will
actually occur. Cash and related might actually decrease in value
relative to everything else over the course of your remaining lifetime. <br />
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;"><b>[3](d]):</b></span> if you have most of/all of your savings in Bitcoin and related,
then you are [perhaps unwittingly] predicting the certainty of an
economic environment in the course of your lifetime which will increase
the value of your savings, when in actual fact there can be no guarantee
that that environment will actually occur. Cryptocurrences like Bitcoin
might actually decrease in value relative to everything else over the
course of your remaining lifetime.<br />
<br />
The exact same principle applies if you have most of your
savings/investments tied up in real estate, art, a business,
oil, or anything else. <b>As always, the future remains unknown/uncertain. </b>
There are [and can be] <b>no</b> guarantees that any of these other investment choices will increase in value
relative to everything else over the course of your lifetime!<br />
<br />
<strong><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">Real World Fact 4: despite real world facts 1,2, and 3 above, <u>it is
still possible to easily protect the future value of your savings
against the ravages of an unknown future.</u></span></strong><br />
<br />
See: <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html">Got Money You Can Afford To Lose?[How to Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc.] </a></span><br />
<br />
<br />
<iframe allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/o7BOdxyAKgo" width="560"></iframe><br />
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o7BOdxyAKgo<br />
<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9WwXgxrxwMurcd3e4ubQs8nul-XVSIwkdJAQ5APrItpMjnLvLLeZ8SjYtYaNCGqDTuFrXFj-6p_-L11A9iSUFbsxhjT2veeqO2hbkgsgfy_b9yvSVru36yOZ2x9HAmx_6EBVi_VxamSeU/s1600/Picture+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="288" data-original-width="855" height="212" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9WwXgxrxwMurcd3e4ubQs8nul-XVSIwkdJAQ5APrItpMjnLvLLeZ8SjYtYaNCGqDTuFrXFj-6p_-L11A9iSUFbsxhjT2veeqO2hbkgsgfy_b9yvSVru36yOZ2x9HAmx_6EBVi_VxamSeU/s640/Picture+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgEyg-Ba2t4-REiS8v122iqJ0MY5D3_z7fLCFcg27Jby7o9wnIMeh_xl7PYaZtPNFEy_c1GaMkTA9mVKZK_9tScSffwZPuhDhHBC7rqUo_GEGVDY7Saoj7peTeis-GyWqGPdDVcIwS-NN8d/s1600/Picture+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="288" data-original-width="853" height="216" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgEyg-Ba2t4-REiS8v122iqJ0MY5D3_z7fLCFcg27Jby7o9wnIMeh_xl7PYaZtPNFEy_c1GaMkTA9mVKZK_9tScSffwZPuhDhHBC7rqUo_GEGVDY7Saoj7peTeis-GyWqGPdDVcIwS-NN8d/s640/Picture+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiAItXFi6E9CuKzzW2D4BfFS7lRrBu5SAishvRN0FyfL7B7LLitwGdRgBmoZqBfEsrq8Eph4VhJGYIbOBhgzStEXO0tnILXY0cxE0tiWJ31kbw0PHfVh_ZfwW7Pcj_D05FpAXeCAy-LmApO/s1600/Picture+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="286" data-original-width="850" height="214" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiAItXFi6E9CuKzzW2D4BfFS7lRrBu5SAishvRN0FyfL7B7LLitwGdRgBmoZqBfEsrq8Eph4VhJGYIbOBhgzStEXO0tnILXY0cxE0tiWJ31kbw0PHfVh_ZfwW7Pcj_D05FpAXeCAy-LmApO/s640/Picture+3.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjbPwo6QZfcz0Acnyiitmw_4QVmkk25oZLgdktQ-mAWw2f3AcRiRqF-iq4JZjf7bYugmyMbVckjd4QkFwItF6vVndhIM_v4W6jIBwtT-c1e5tIvmRJLXsPtfAewS4AXKtGjA1b6rJ0p4IH7/s1600/Picture+6.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="286" data-original-width="862" height="212" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjbPwo6QZfcz0Acnyiitmw_4QVmkk25oZLgdktQ-mAWw2f3AcRiRqF-iq4JZjf7bYugmyMbVckjd4QkFwItF6vVndhIM_v4W6jIBwtT-c1e5tIvmRJLXsPtfAewS4AXKtGjA1b6rJ0p4IH7/s640/Picture+6.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</a></span><br />
email: onebornfree at yahoo dot comOnebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-14646416682317423002017-12-07T09:10:00.003-08:002021-02-07T16:29:50.719-08:00The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Under Chairwoman Janet Yellen<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</a></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8MddCgI1rAy8UTHc3JLn0L1Tm_f0RbQr5B87Mv-Sb5O__CZ-VX4Cj3lfWs31s0cKCuCpVGKLh3RtB5aoL0-phqqFtgfwOr5msy0qOq6TqJ31oWVcSobhkQjwuPNTKvFTL67W6aHWHStDm/s1600/mb-2006-18.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="589" data-original-width="755" height="310" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8MddCgI1rAy8UTHc3JLn0L1Tm_f0RbQr5B87Mv-Sb5O__CZ-VX4Cj3lfWs31s0cKCuCpVGKLh3RtB5aoL0-phqqFtgfwOr5msy0qOq6TqJ31oWVcSobhkQjwuPNTKvFTL67W6aHWHStDm/s400/mb-2006-18.png" width="400" /></a></div>
<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Fig 1: Federal Reserve Monetary Base[MB], 2006-17, None- Seasonally Adjusted, Log. Scale</span><br />
</i><br />
<div class="p2">
<br /></div>
<div class="p2">
What follows is a short generalized examination of the Federal Reserves overall monetary policy during Chairwoman Janet Yellen's tenure, which is apparently <a href="https://mises.org/power-market/yellen-announces-she-will-leave-fed-next-year">due to end in February 2018. </a></div>
<div class="p2">
<br /></div>
<div class="p1">
What I did was to visit the <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/categories/24">Federal Reserve online site </a>and download two graphs showing the <b>monetary base [MB]</b> figures for the periods 2006 -14,[when Yellen's predecessor Ben Bernanke, was chairman, and from 2014 through Oct. 2017 [the most recent figures], the period for which Janet Yellen has been Chairwoman .<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQLsAD40zrRfv9m3_15pgGcU_NXcndOYSCiezASgAf1932wrkm4eXCSu3EXm9uOf4moRQkqlI_ts6IPB2UL2Z-LyB555n4lAoeUfypCmQ13nSlIuABDTgtoL0zU6R2_YDPIx1t254A3OeU/s1600/yellen.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="369" data-original-width="661" height="222" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQLsAD40zrRfv9m3_15pgGcU_NXcndOYSCiezASgAf1932wrkm4eXCSu3EXm9uOf4moRQkqlI_ts6IPB2UL2Z-LyB555n4lAoeUfypCmQ13nSlIuABDTgtoL0zU6R2_YDPIx1t254A3OeU/s400/yellen.png" width="400" /></a></div>
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"> Fed chair 2014-18 Janet Yellen</span></i><br />
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<b>What Is the Monetary Base? </b></div>
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The monetary base is the narrowest measure of the money supply which is manipulated by the Federal Reserve. It is therefor regarded as being the most liquid.</div>
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Here's what one financial site says :</div>
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">"The monetary base is part of the overall <span class="s2">money supply.</span> The monetary base refers to that part of the money supply which is highly liquid (i.e. easy to use). The monetary base includes:</span></i></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><i></i><i><br />~ Notes and coins</i> </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-style: italic;"></span><i>~ Commercial bank deposits with the Central Bank</i></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><i>~ The monetary base is also referred to as ‘narrow money’ because it is a narrow </i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-style: italic;">definition and doesn’t include more illiquid types of the money supply." </span><span class="Apple-style-span"> </span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 19px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;"></span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 19px;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"> <a href="https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/3104/economics/monetary-base-definition/">Source</a></span></div>
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<b>Why Bother With Federal Reserve Monetary Base Figures? </b></div>
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When I first became interested in investing, speculation, and economic theory [over 30 years ago], a lot of the people I looked to for advice watched, amongst other things, the Federal Reserve's monetary base figures in order to try to predict what was going to happen next. </div>
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This was especially true amongst the "hard money" and "gold-bug" types whom I mostly followed [ e.g. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doug_Casey">Doug Casey</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_D._Schultz">Harry Schultz</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Browne">Harry Browne</a>, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Keep-What-Earn-Terry-Coxon/dp/1621291375">Terry Coxon</a>, <a href="https://dowtheoryletters.com/">Richard Russell</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Pugsley">John Pugsley</a>, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Howard_Ruff">Howard Ruff</a> etc.] . </div>
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The notion amongst most of them and others was [and for some apparently still is], that monetary supply inflation inevitably led to the dreaded price inflation that nobody wanted and that last came to pass in the late 1970's and early 1980's. </div>
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<b>Bernanke's "Reign" Versus Yellen's "Reign"- A Dramatic Difference</b></div>
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I think you can see a dramatic difference in overall Fed policy between the two "reigns" of Bernanke and Yellen................</div>
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<b>1]: Monetary Base Expansion Under Fed Chair Ben Bernanke [ 2006-14]</b></div>
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Lets first take a look at what happened to the monetary base under Mr Bernanke. The graph below shows monetary base figures for 2006-14, and the shaded area [ 2008 - 2009] represents when the last severe recession "officially" started and "officially" ended :-) :</div>
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Fig. 2: Federal Reserve Monetary Base, monthly, not seasonally adjusted, Log. Scale, period 2006 - 2014[Fed Chair B. Bernanke]</span></i></div>
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<b>The Fed's "Quantative Easing" and Price Inflation- 2008- 14</b></div>
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<span class="s1">As some of you might know, <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quantitative-easing.asp">"Quantitive Easing" </a>was the Federal Reserves new-fangled, fancy term [first used in Japan, apparently] for the large scale "emergency" purchase by it of</span><span class="s2"> </span>specified amounts of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_asset"><span class="s3">financial assets</span></a> from <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank"><span class="s3">commercial banks</span></a> and other financial institutions, thus raising the prices of those financial assets and lowering their <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_%28finance%29"><span class="s3">yield</span></a>, while simultaneously increasing the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply"><span class="s3">money supply</span></a>, during "the great recession" [ or whatever you want to call it] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_easing"> </a></div>
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As can be seen from the above chart, the increase ["inflation"] of the monetary base via the Fed's"quantitive easing" was enormous, in fact, under Mr Bernanke, the monetary base had an approximate 250 -300 % increase over the 6 years 2008-14]. [See my related article: <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html">"Ben Bernanke the Great[est] Inflator?</a>"].</div>
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<b>Quantitive Easing To Cause Price Inflation?</b></div>
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At the time, many people [ including various famous "investment advisors" ] assumed that this massive, unprecedented inflation of the monetary base supply [let alone the broader measures of <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/categories/24">M1, M2, M3 and MZM</a>], was bound to cause massive price inflation in the market place, sooner, rather than later. </div>
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<b>No Price Inflation [2008 -18]?</b></div>
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However, obviously, at this time of writing it appears to have not have been the case. Either the assumed inflation is late getting here [historically it is assumed to show up within 3-5 years after the money supply has been initially "over- inflated"], or there was/is something else going on.</div>
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Here's what one site says: <span class="s4"><b> </b></span></div>
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<i>"Quantitative easing led to a big increase in the monetary base.The Federal Reserve created money to buy bonds from commercial banks. Banks saw a rise in their reserves.</i></div>
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<i>However, commercial banks didn’t really lend this money out. Therefore the growth of the broader money supply didn’t change much.</i></div>
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<i>What happened is that commercial banks merely oversaw a rise in their reserves.</i></div>
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<i>The US inflation rate was largely unaffected by this increase in the monetary base. Stripping out volatile cost push factors (food and fuel), core inflation remained below 2% inflation target.</i></div>
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<i>If the economy had been booming, and banks were confident to lend, then this increase in the monetary base may have caused an increase in the broader money and inflation..." </i> <a href="https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/3104/economics/monetary-base-definition/">Source</a></div>
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So, little overall inflation to date apparently, as we head into 2018, <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "helvetica";"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"> </span><a href="https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/3104/economics/monetary-base-definition/">for various reasons</a></span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "helvetica";">.</span> [Although some will argue that inflation has occurred in select areas, food for example]. </div>
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<b>2] The Monetary Base 2014-18 [ Fed Chair J. Yellen]:</b></div>
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Now lets take a look at the monetary base growth under Fed Chair Janet Yellen [2014-18] :</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcM68Wt7npCdfPzIditfBKVyOTS7wuKDEpjQhDQ72nhdCYCuXCZcKjS8-hbmjKBDtYcwkqqxA44cPBbwqJgD4-an_ChzHVHKg7SHl241TzR9J1vtGRYjb4iYFEW-SegF6CV9RxB9xD84sh/s1600/mb-+14-+10%253A30%253A17%255Byellen%255D.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="544" data-original-width="752" height="462" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcM68Wt7npCdfPzIditfBKVyOTS7wuKDEpjQhDQ72nhdCYCuXCZcKjS8-hbmjKBDtYcwkqqxA44cPBbwqJgD4-an_ChzHVHKg7SHl241TzR9J1vtGRYjb4iYFEW-SegF6CV9RxB9xD84sh/s640/mb-+14-+10%253A30%253A17%255Byellen%255D.png" width="640" /></a><br />
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif;">Fig.3: Federal Reserve Monetary Base [MB] 2014- Oct. 2017, [Fed. chair J. Yellen], none-seasonally adjusted, log. scale</span></i></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif; font-size: x-small;">A Radical Difference Under Yellen?</span></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;">As can be seen from the above graph, since Ms. Yellen took office [2014], overall, the Federal Reserve has embarked on a radically different policy from that implemented in mid 2008, and continuing through 2014. What might be called a "tightening" policy, if you will. </span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif; font-size: x-small;">In fact, as of October 2017 after steady decline to a low point reached in the last quarter of 2016, and a subsequent increase back to a point where , in Oct. 2017, monetary base figures now seem to be about where they were when Ms Yellen first took office as Fed chair in early 2014.</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif; font-size: x-small;"><b>Summary: What Does It All Mean? </b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif;">Many will argue that the huge increases in the monetary base under B. Bernanke "must" still cause monetary inflation [ i.e. a decrease in the per unit value of each $], sooner or later, despite the fact that this has still not occurred to date, [ <a href="https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/3104/economics/monetary-base-definition/">for various reasons</a>]</span>.</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #444444; font-family: Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-small;">Others will claim that the "tightening" of the monetary base evident under the Yellen "regime" ensures a recession in the near future [2018 onwards]. </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Times, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-small;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">I Claim:</span></b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #444444;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;">I will claim that either side might get it right, but that if they do, that it is not a sign of their own ability to predict the economic future, as many might believe, but only that the party concerned got lucky, nothing more. </span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times"; font-size: small;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhDlNj-8t5eGm6mVrW_4D7pBekopMJxbIqNerKU7EFnCKKRtp8uLwc5A02vbgVfUBphcw8YoPa84qwJGz_VCTtvS-sCP0VIDvyrYCB_bgQYULpUqS3YU6VeByQDKrWHd7lgn474cGkVesM/s1600/gold+08-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="595" data-original-width="752" height="505" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhDlNj-8t5eGm6mVrW_4D7pBekopMJxbIqNerKU7EFnCKKRtp8uLwc5A02vbgVfUBphcw8YoPa84qwJGz_VCTtvS-sCP0VIDvyrYCB_bgQYULpUqS3YU6VeByQDKrWHd7lgn474cGkVesM/s640/gold+08-17.png" width="640" /></a></span></span></div>
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"> Fig.4: Gold bullion prices, daily, 2008-17</span></i><br />
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<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Fig. 5: 30 year U.S.Treasury Bond Interest Rates, Monthly, 1975- 2017[Nov.]</span></i></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8rsz1kroxOY7bP4o2dlZT9_ZLfxWEP6aYftBWRh0G3zOsWvkFefOP4f2ujtu-I2BfCDLJIxFXxQPdQURL4AJm_SgpuX7v61F4JapmBma7q8XFdHVhAkcSRZ6NmJjcwTfw15WMOcHcgaK5/s1600/Picture+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="467" data-original-width="752" height="396" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8rsz1kroxOY7bP4o2dlZT9_ZLfxWEP6aYftBWRh0G3zOsWvkFefOP4f2ujtu-I2BfCDLJIxFXxQPdQURL4AJm_SgpuX7v61F4JapmBma7q8XFdHVhAkcSRZ6NmJjcwTfw15WMOcHcgaK5/s640/Picture+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"> Fig. 6: Aaa U.S. Corporate Bond Yields, Monthly, 1920- 2017 [Nov.]</span></i></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"><b>Human Action Versus Predicting The Economic Future</b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;">For many fundamental reasons to do with human action that I will not get into here, the precise economic and financial future must remain unknown. Which means that although inflation might be next, continued "disinflation", or even deflation has just as just much chance of occurring, as does a return to economic "good times" . </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"><b>Bottom Line: Serious Risk For You and Your Precious Savings:</b></span></div>
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<u><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: lime; font-size: x-small;">If your savings and investments in any way rely on your supposed ability, [or somebody else's supposed "professional" ability], to accurately predict future economic and financial scenarios via charts like those above, or via "fundamental" or "technical analysis", or via tea-leave readings, astrology or whatever else [!], then unless you/they are extremely lucky individuals, your entire savings portfolio is at serious risk of decimation.</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue; font-size: x-small;"> </span></u></div>
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Regards, Financial Safety Services : onebornfreeatyahoodotcom</div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times";"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</span></b></a></span></div>
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Related posts: <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html">"Mr. Ben Bernanke: The Great[est] Inflator ?"</a><br />
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<a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2017/05/how-long-can-fed-keep-boom-going.html">"How Long Can the Fed Keep the Boom Going?"</a></div>
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<a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2017/01/janet-yellen-money-supply-deflator.html">"Will The Yellen Fed Cause a Trump Recession?"</a><br />
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"> <a href="http://dilbert.com/">image source</a></span></b><br />
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<br />Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-24193863745614829182017-11-30T05:41:00.001-08:002021-02-07T16:31:27.551-08:00 "Blowhard" Predicts $1 Million BTC By 2020!<div style="font-family: Times,"Times New Roman",serif;">
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=epObQ1AujyQ</div>
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"John McAfee, founder of McAfee Associates a well-known software company has always been Bullish on Bitcoin, in fact, he has even been confrontational on the fact.</div>
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In July, with a lot of fear and uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin ahead of its Aug. 1 chain split, McAfee came forward and stated boldly that he was willing to stake his name and up to $10 mln on a bet that the Bitcoin price will move above $500,000 within three years or he would "eat my d**k on national television."</div>
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That prediction was seen as ludacris at the time, and many were left wondering how his on-screen promise would play out - however, now that Bitcoin has crossed $11,000, McAfee is not sitting back smugly, but rather raising the bar.</div>
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The outspoken tech mogul has now said:</div>
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“When I predicted Bitcoin at $500,000 by the end of 2020, it used a model that predicted $5,000 at the end of 2017. BTC has accelerated much faster than my model assumptions. I now predict Bitcoin at $1 mln by the end of 2020. I will still eat my dick if wrong.”</div>
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Source : <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/john-mcafee-doubles-down-predicts-1-mln-btc-bets-his-dk-on-it">"John McAfee Doubles Down, Predicts $1 Mln BTC, Bets His D**k On It" </a></div>
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[<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06;"> obf sez:</span></b> Too funny! Mr McAfee used some sort of supposedly "predictive" model of his to predict a future price, but he got it wrong, and so now, of course [:-) ], he has a new model to use! Whodathunkit? What could be simpler ? This "techno-narcissist" knows all! [because his latest model is infallible].</div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif;">The underlying psychology of this person is no different from any other person using an economic model, be they an "investment advisor", an economist or something else. Just another know-it-all [great for entertainment value :-) ].</span></div>
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<b style="font-family: times, 'times new roman', serif;">Summary: "Houston , You Have a Problem"</b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times" , "times new roman" , serif;">And so, dear reader, if you really believe that Mr McAfee [or any other "techno-geek", let alone any regular "investment expert"] can successfully, consistently predict the financial/economic future, via the implementation of some secret [ no doubt algorithm- rich] formula, then I would suggest that you, like Mr McAfee himself, have a serious problem and should seek help.</span></div>
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See: <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2017/07/warning-do-not-invest-even-1-in-bitcoin.html"><b>"Do Not"Invest"In Bitcoin! [Or:How to Safely Profit With Bitcoin Etc.] "</b></a></div>
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Also: <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"><b><a href="https://mises.org/library/folly-forecasting">The Folly of Forecasting</a></b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"> <a href="http://dilbert.com/">image source</a></span></span></div>
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Regards, Financial Safety Services: onebornfreeatyahoodotcom</div>
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-80151213926635209042017-08-22T10:07:00.001-07:002021-02-07T16:33:07.632-08:003 Experts Predict Stock Market Collapse in 2017 <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee;"><u><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer</a></span></b></u></span><br />
<iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" gesture="media" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/oX_Z9iAU4YA?rel=0" width="560"></iframe><br />
<a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"></a>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oX_Z9iAU4YA<br />
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<b>A Fact of Reality: Beware of All "Experts" Economic Predictions </b><br />
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An unfortunate fact of reality for the saver/investor is that no person, system, or computer program can reliably and consistently predict future economic events, or the future prices of <b>anything</b>. Which means that relying on the predictions of these "experts" [or others] in order to make your precious savings safer, or as a way to make money, is a fools game. [Of course, you are free to stay in denial of this fact of reality for as long as you wish :-) ]<br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #666666; font-family: "trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;"><br /></span><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html" style="color: #33aaff; text-decoration: none;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: black;">See:</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #666666; font-family: "trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif; line-height: 18px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #33aaff;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small; line-height: 18px;"><b>"Got Money You Can Afford To Lose?[How to Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Bonds, Bitcoin etc.] "</b></span></span></span></a><br />
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See also:<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #666666; font-family: "trebuchet ms" , "trebuchet" , "verdana" , sans-serif; line-height: 18px;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2017/01/george-soros-versus-worlds-best-kept.html">"</a></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2017/01/george-soros-versus-worlds-best-kept.html">George Soros Versus "The World's Best Kept Investment Secret" </a></span><br />
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Regards, Financial Safety Services<br />
All questions/comments: onebornfreeatyahoodotcom<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhN4x3PA0YXcBs0Z0e7_ZUxXTHXAHE7p-tLTt-r3bd34knNVs7_jhrhwgBTU9MQgZeiUyYBFdj7eEqH7-o_NkZ2nHmhgx1QK3NbmnTS8okC6pCeaR9Hdb5VpuOXjSTXikx57KuyEhcWxGoT/s1600/Picture+8.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="751" height="401" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhN4x3PA0YXcBs0Z0e7_ZUxXTHXAHE7p-tLTt-r3bd34knNVs7_jhrhwgBTU9MQgZeiUyYBFdj7eEqH7-o_NkZ2nHmhgx1QK3NbmnTS8okC6pCeaR9Hdb5VpuOXjSTXikx57KuyEhcWxGoT/s640/Picture+8.png" width="640" /></a><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee; font-size: xx-small;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee; font-size: xx-small; font-weight: bold;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;"> </span></span>Fig.1: Gold price versus $US- 2007-2017. Monthly, Log scale.<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee; font-family: "times";"><u><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer</a></span></b></u></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 18px; line-height: 20px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee; font-family: "times"; font-size: small; line-height: normal;"><u><b><br /></b></u></span></span><b> Addendum: Additional Financial Graphs:</b><br />
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-eDw7Hf8jpp-aZvofoCFTd2NWEIUVQ_jpqNl17C2mxe8JdO6XlSmHlZ1ylDsBdUscr719F4TiP7L1-f3zM2LRitpsTLcyqS4YrGqER_DzZyakXkVdhXEWUqdv1Ejegh2wIV0xrAdUUfLx/s1600/Picture+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="466" data-original-width="751" height="396" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi-eDw7Hf8jpp-aZvofoCFTd2NWEIUVQ_jpqNl17C2mxe8JdO6XlSmHlZ1ylDsBdUscr719F4TiP7L1-f3zM2LRitpsTLcyqS4YrGqER_DzZyakXkVdhXEWUqdv1Ejegh2wIV0xrAdUUfLx/s640/Picture+3.png" style="cursor: move;" width="640" /></a></span></b><br />
<b> </b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Fig.2: Federal Reserve Monetary base [MB], 1960-2017, monthly,log. scale, none-seasonally adjusted.</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhlIQE9lJ6Msu5QVe0124QfyWdaAfg611OuT6sszmXhVshiLc_GNHBDxh3uWN-GvdDyw5CgTLeEeFTHm9RX9Mnmq-lHafpwHVRkIqPsuiDbjZcF-kpJuKIhuMfWaba0nFH2Hf76bKrcEKAc/s1600/Picture+1+10-16-37.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="469" data-original-width="754" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhlIQE9lJ6Msu5QVe0124QfyWdaAfg611OuT6sszmXhVshiLc_GNHBDxh3uWN-GvdDyw5CgTLeEeFTHm9RX9Mnmq-lHafpwHVRkIqPsuiDbjZcF-kpJuKIhuMfWaba0nFH2Hf76bKrcEKAc/s640/Picture+1+10-16-37.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Fig.3:Federal Reserve 30 year bond yields,constant maturity, monthly, </span>none-seasonally adjusted. 1976 -2017<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjOjVOnYqZIxMdpyd4u8kJg2vK4wELr9XbDy4-nZqaFiyF-R9ecEvVSQgSCHAmMI-qkVYJlTeh-G1juTcl157z6g6UZxz00h_LmfwWiqG8IPx-lyRK_u6XVq6aus3g2Od4kVYua70_eT4uH/s1600/Picture+2+10-16-37.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="470" data-original-width="750" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjOjVOnYqZIxMdpyd4u8kJg2vK4wELr9XbDy4-nZqaFiyF-R9ecEvVSQgSCHAmMI-qkVYJlTeh-G1juTcl157z6g6UZxz00h_LmfwWiqG8IPx-lyRK_u6XVq6aus3g2Od4kVYua70_eT4uH/s640/Picture+2+10-16-37.png" style="cursor: move;" width="640" /></a><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Fig.4:Federal Reserve 3 month T-bill yields, constant maturity, monthly, none-seasonally adjusted.</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">1976-2017.</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihgFJw-uyk6E_R5AInjsJwnr7s4Zun1I_RIriX7LOQf0b3rrYKXCTcrtCE1B-uXJTRnnUEV9M6iYgJjOB1jJXI-UzBkZ-8n7e9daYIPeISp26o-tCt81aMxkNxf-At17L_d4iozxWIzGmn/s1600/Picture+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="472" data-original-width="756" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEihgFJw-uyk6E_R5AInjsJwnr7s4Zun1I_RIriX7LOQf0b3rrYKXCTcrtCE1B-uXJTRnnUEV9M6iYgJjOB1jJXI-UzBkZ-8n7e9daYIPeISp26o-tCt81aMxkNxf-At17L_d4iozxWIzGmn/s640/Picture+1.png" width="640" /></a></div>
Fig.5: Federal Reserve M1 money stock, billions of $'s, monthly, none-seasonally adjusted, log. scale. 1960- 2017.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLrkWsVhrqhyphenhypheni5DuvUby-oBBphvoYaFhFDkMUMUUqr5xJHStFws2xB8o2TPOG6q5aLmZYmGhaL_vLoARRLE-KYpWIfH12wL6e8l7SpS-CwchltqdCOkB8PENIsaL4e5B7c3H8jfkAuLNG1/s1600/Picture+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="468" data-original-width="754" height="396" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgLrkWsVhrqhyphenhypheni5DuvUby-oBBphvoYaFhFDkMUMUUqr5xJHStFws2xB8o2TPOG6q5aLmZYmGhaL_vLoARRLE-KYpWIfH12wL6e8l7SpS-CwchltqdCOkB8PENIsaL4e5B7c3H8jfkAuLNG1/s640/Picture+2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
Fig.6: Federal Reserve M2 money stock, billions of $'s, monthly, none-seasonally adjusted, log. scale. 1960- 2017.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi41IXubJGteut7D7RUqc5KtwtkJERbYO4FE-318C7wAK4fZ30ttP2AEz7BkKb4CwdkZko0hT6Nv_6sMAe8l88Q8VcfWHteTo78CoojZgKGVgpoatYWcVlFJKWcA890qcLRVPkWQ_oJ6apz/s1600/Picture+4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="469" data-original-width="752" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi41IXubJGteut7D7RUqc5KtwtkJERbYO4FE-318C7wAK4fZ30ttP2AEz7BkKb4CwdkZko0hT6Nv_6sMAe8l88Q8VcfWHteTo78CoojZgKGVgpoatYWcVlFJKWcA890qcLRVPkWQ_oJ6apz/s640/Picture+4.png" width="640" /></a></div>
Fig.7:Federal Reserve MZM money stock, billions of $'s, monthly,none-seasonally adjusted,<br />
log. scale. 1960- 2017.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhA0bgbDYMo-0OAaId3OEtGgzZ1T8R19iGkGMbsY5f2CkMXQ8ct7-v8tJ5TK4Fqh1kfMerOyfQOcysnIxhiKlpvaXlbMF9xVmrhD0PUe-QJKC_dUTFKe8B4ULGuaC9BBPPiYn0E1HtgVVXD/s1600/Picture+5.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="469" data-original-width="754" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhA0bgbDYMo-0OAaId3OEtGgzZ1T8R19iGkGMbsY5f2CkMXQ8ct7-v8tJ5TK4Fqh1kfMerOyfQOcysnIxhiKlpvaXlbMF9xVmrhD0PUe-QJKC_dUTFKe8B4ULGuaC9BBPPiYn0E1HtgVVXD/s640/Picture+5.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"> </span> Fig. 8: Standard and Poors 500 Stock Index closing prices, monthly, 2012-17 . Log. scale<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFGh0bt_DmiXGZXgvCf0q-xFwzbs1njtmskvaxkumixmk3B-qRMt28T2jJOx4M7OfDdL_Tp5Lrk7ClJd2gjzYYEkW856etRhlPQmhUzbr6lzbrfwTKhsqKsdewiIBbPADQXOtyu8ZwC_Om/s1600/Picture+6.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="470" data-original-width="754" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhFGh0bt_DmiXGZXgvCf0q-xFwzbs1njtmskvaxkumixmk3B-qRMt28T2jJOx4M7OfDdL_Tp5Lrk7ClJd2gjzYYEkW856etRhlPQmhUzbr6lzbrfwTKhsqKsdewiIBbPADQXOtyu8ZwC_Om/s640/Picture+6.png" width="640" /></a></div>
Fig.9: Dow Jones Industrials Stock Index, Monthly closing prices, 2012-17. Log scale.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNmVweXtdZwNVxzzZb-UsbCN6PUu2Ay96y8Uw6kc-X-9_4ZieoyKn6uY_UwHKeqmjaBun_vVy1aR0NVcIA01NS7idzSp3rfI19zWeemMS4c79xTLUj-3aKWWZd-xeZXk11JKZhBl5aKBNN/s1600/Picture+7.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="471" data-original-width="754" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhNmVweXtdZwNVxzzZb-UsbCN6PUu2Ay96y8Uw6kc-X-9_4ZieoyKn6uY_UwHKeqmjaBun_vVy1aR0NVcIA01NS7idzSp3rfI19zWeemMS4c79xTLUj-3aKWWZd-xeZXk11JKZhBl5aKBNN/s640/Picture+7.png" width="640" /></a></div>
Fig. 10: NADAQ Composite Stock Index closing prices, monthly, 2012-17. Log. scale<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCL0VN9RrKts8BFjbcqKJEQJX9PAGOvfCEnfiVMhO4b2bq9NxgZBX8gni8h1BtdRcKDH54qRp6h4bW4_wT3Yeuz2FlJr1R-2OOFE_DHeMhQdW8J8Rm9bNPOOVj49kznLTghhQOp7td57s1/s1600/Picture+9.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="471" data-original-width="753" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCL0VN9RrKts8BFjbcqKJEQJX9PAGOvfCEnfiVMhO4b2bq9NxgZBX8gni8h1BtdRcKDH54qRp6h4bW4_wT3Yeuz2FlJr1R-2OOFE_DHeMhQdW8J8Rm9bNPOOVj49kznLTghhQOp7td57s1/s640/Picture+9.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<b> </b>Fig.11: Exchange rate: $US versus 1 Euro, monthly. 1998- 2017<br />
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END<br />
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-60102978437178878832017-07-25T09:47:00.002-07:002021-02-07T16:30:20.242-08:00Do Not"Invest"In Bitcoin! [Or:How to Safely Profit With Bitcoin Etc.]<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica"; font-size: 18px; line-height: 20px;"><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer</span></a></b></span><br />
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"><b><b> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3HSCcf70aSyPMvB8om2s0DZvX8BQC9FvMLDsxwUsLXvRPQH_pZ-GR6F0RKrI9AWDGYEOIhW7dCAGmPI_MBkpYX0tr-dWzG5ViqOkoHjOhUIBYEkF4_XuuuorGDearvD5ApT0JQba_jr1J/s1600/Picture+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="485" data-original-width="1073" height="180" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3HSCcf70aSyPMvB8om2s0DZvX8BQC9FvMLDsxwUsLXvRPQH_pZ-GR6F0RKrI9AWDGYEOIhW7dCAGmPI_MBkpYX0tr-dWzG5ViqOkoHjOhUIBYEkF4_XuuuorGDearvD5ApT0JQba_jr1J/s400/Picture+2.png" width="400" /></a></b></b></span></b></div>
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<span style="font: 12.0px Helvetica;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font: normal normal normal 12px/normal helvetica;"> </span></span>Fig 1: Bitcoin's performance record - 2010- 17 <a href="https://99bitcoins.com/price-chart-history/">Image Source</a><br />
[Click on image to enlarge].<br />
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<b></b><br />
<b>Do Not"Invest"In Bitcoin![Or:How To Safely Profit With Bitcoin and Other Crypto-Currencies].</b><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times"; font-size: small;"><b style="font-family: 'times new roman'; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold;">Introduction:</b></span><b></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 18px;">Bitcoin and other similar alternative, "internet currencies", or "crypto-currencies", have made remarkable gains since its/their appearance on the market a few years ago, which means that many people will now be tempted to "invest" in these relatively new market phenomena in the hopes of making large profits [nothing wrong with that :-) ]. Many "early bird" adopters have already made large profits [mostly "on paper", I'm guessing], and </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 18px;"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tKODLbeNXzo">some of these persons</a></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 18px;"> now spend considerable time and effort in exhorting others to buy Bitcoin, " </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 18px;"><b>now</b></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: 18px;">, before its too late", so that they too can enjoy similarly large profits.</span><br />
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<b>What is Bitcoin? </b>- <a href="https://fee.org/articles/bitcoin-for-beginners/">here </a>is a short , basic introduction for "newbies". </div>
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Also see <a href="https://99bitcoins.com/">this site</a>, specially created for Bitcoin "newbies". [p.s. I count myself in the "newbie"category].<br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioDVMdXynpoqdoS09BCNQYQt0zMpuJWBszbERtKVJ8ibeZ5q80I5FxcRjMuxXpdc6OkV-GUefIQOiBreiCRCspeHDU1YJ9LPWMX6WH3-5U4AUtQHWXbkRK-yFGLt5iSOYjVlUFjNrMiZ6p/s1600/Picture+5.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="467" data-original-width="756" height="394" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioDVMdXynpoqdoS09BCNQYQt0zMpuJWBszbERtKVJ8ibeZ5q80I5FxcRjMuxXpdc6OkV-GUefIQOiBreiCRCspeHDU1YJ9LPWMX6WH3-5U4AUtQHWXbkRK-yFGLt5iSOYjVlUFjNrMiZ6p/s640/Picture+5.png" style="cursor: move;" width="640" /></a></b><br />
<b> </b>Fig.2 : Gold bullion prices 2012-17, log. scale<br />
[Click on image to enlarge]<br />
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<b>A Bitcoin Reality Check Fact For You : </b></div>
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<b>Fact: The Financial/Economic Future Always Remains Unknown and Unknowable!</b></div>
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<b>.</b><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><b>............which means that nobody, not you, me, your favorite investment advisor, fund manager, economist [of any "stripe"] or banker, or anyone else, can definitively know where Bitcoin is headed from here. The same applies to any other "investment", be it stocks, bonds, precious metals, real estate, or whatever. </b></span></div>
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Therefor, in light of that stark reality, I would humbly suggest that if you seriously want to try to profit from Bitcoin etc., that instead of "investing" in it, that you only "speculate" in it, or in any of the other 100's [ if not 1000's] of new digital "crypto-currencies", assuming you realistically have the spare cash to risk[see below]. </div>
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<b>"Investing, Or Speculating"? - What's The Diff.?</b></div>
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What's the difference between "investing" in Bitcoin etc. and "speculating" in it?<span style="color: #eca629;"> </span>-you might well ask.</div>
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The difference is actually very important, and can mean the difference between losing most of everything you've managed to save for the future to date [e.g. precious long term savings/retirement money] if everything goes wrong, and, on the other hand, only losing a little "gambling", or betting/speculation money ["play" money if you like] if everything went wrong, while your precious long term savings remain safe and unaffected. </div>
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJzkq5RWefXu6hsnxlcqfIDcFuPB84nsPGDEGIUqc5L-1NtmfSMxakc2PoEG7O9tRSGQrBPbQaVBt-joQNp4eQNU9ii8pmZhn-PNzan1GomGKqKMJ86mE1B6Jja2BN7KEmjQxlykoWp52t/s1600/Picture+10.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="471" data-original-width="755" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJzkq5RWefXu6hsnxlcqfIDcFuPB84nsPGDEGIUqc5L-1NtmfSMxakc2PoEG7O9tRSGQrBPbQaVBt-joQNp4eQNU9ii8pmZhn-PNzan1GomGKqKMJ86mE1B6Jja2BN7KEmjQxlykoWp52t/s640/Picture+10.png" style="cursor: move;" width="640" /></a></b><br />
Fig.3:Standard & Poors 500 Stock Index 2012-17,log. scale.<br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi34jpw48EgGtujQaZZsLG2FIO7YZ9Obiac9Dmh7HfT9nn0cezLoVlAV6dn4lkgE43XeMvINm-mG3oHCzy2bbgic66ImjetU9riqPE5nm3CG4HHZJ4L3ONioC8Xv-9B45HNSb2DlEV3qPKv/s1600/Picture+11.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="472" data-original-width="757" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi34jpw48EgGtujQaZZsLG2FIO7YZ9Obiac9Dmh7HfT9nn0cezLoVlAV6dn4lkgE43XeMvINm-mG3oHCzy2bbgic66ImjetU9riqPE5nm3CG4HHZJ4L3ONioC8Xv-9B45HNSb2DlEV3qPKv/s640/Picture+11.png" style="cursor: move;" width="640" /></a></b><br />
Fig.4: NASDAQ Composite Stock Index, 2012-17, log. scale<br />
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<b>How To Safely Speculate In Bitcoin and Other "Crypto Currencies":</b></div>
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<b>Step [1]: </b>Divide your savings into two distinct, separate categories:</div>
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i] Money/savings you cannot afford to lose under any circumstance [e.g. saving for retirement money]. This money should be kept in a balanced long term savings plan that you believe to be safe, maybe <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2014/09/long-term-savings-plan-results-update.html"><span style="color: #001ee6; text-decoration: underline;">similar to this one</span></a>. </div>
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ii] Money you can realistically afford to lose [ play money, gambling/betting money].<b> </b></div>
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<b>N.B</b>. If you have no money you can afford to lose then you have no money to speculate/gamble/bet with, which means that you have no business making dangerous bets on Bitcoin, or on anything else [gold, or stocks, or bonds, or whatever] with any part of the money you cannot afford to lose .</div>
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<b>Accumulating Money You Can Afford To Lose [If You Don't Have Any Right Now]</b></div>
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If you have no money you could afford to risk losing that you can speculate with, and if you still wish to speculate on Bitcoin or whatever at some time in the near future, you'll first have to accumulate/save enough extra savings over and above your estimated long term savings needs; extra savings which you would not miss if your Bitcoin bet did not make a profit, as your gambling losses would still be safely insulated from all of your long term savings and would therefor not damage them in any way.</div>
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<b>Do You Already Have Money You Could Afford To Lose on a Bitcoin Bet?</b></div>
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Even though we are talking about money you can afford to lose, do you really want to lose all of it on a bad bet on Bitcoin [ or whatever]? Of course not. On the other hand, if you don't really care if you lose it all, then by all means, "go ahead, make my day", as the saying goes :) , and just barrel on into Bitcoin, blind, right now. [I sincerely wish you good luck].<br />
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<b>Bitcoin Reality Check [2]:</b></div>
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Assuming that you'd rather make money on your bet[s] than lose it all in "one fell swoop", then there are many factors that you will need to take into consideration before placing your bet, in order to maximize profits and at the same time protect yourself against undue losses.</div>
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"Off the top of my head", I know of at least a dozen facts about speculating and speculations that you need to be fully aware of if you wish to be a successful speculator and do not just want to just rely on blind "lady luck" and "barrel on" in there.</div>
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Here are three [A,B & C] that might be worth considering:</div>
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<b>A]: Speculation Is Largely an Intuitive "Art"- Not a "Science": </b></div>
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Successful speculation is intuitive, to a far greater degree than most successful speculators are even willing to admit. </div>
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<b>B]: Successful,Professional Speculators Actually Lose Bets More Often Than They Win Them: </b></div>
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......however, their winning bets are large enough in the long run to more than offset their many losses by a considerable amount. This is often accomplished via the use of strategies similar to the ones I hint at at the end of this post, plus others. </div>
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<b>C]:There Will Always Be Other Opportunities:</b></div>
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There will always be other opportunities to speculate coming up in the future - so do not feel pressured into "having to" speculate in Bitcoin and related. Don't listen to people who try to influence/pressure you via "once in a lifetime opportunity" type arguments for Bitcoin, nor for anything else.</div>
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<b>So, Do You Seriously Want To Safely Make Money In Bitcoin? </b></div>
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Although there can be no absolute guarantees in speculating, in order to try to maximize your chances of safely making some serious moolah by speculations in Bitcoin etc. instead of losing some/all of that moolah, you will probably need far more specific facts/information about the art of speculation than I have chosen to give away for free, here.[ Hint, hint]</div>
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For example: how to establish reasonable risk/reward ratios; where/how to set "stop-losses" and "trailing stop-losses; establishing a risk/reward ratio,how to buy into a rising [or falling] trend; what to do if a better [non-Bitcoin] opportunity presents itself in the future, etc. etc.</div>
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Because, after all, even works of art such as financial speculations need <b>some</b> clearly defined borders/parameters, in order to maximize the chances for significant profits, while at the same time minimizing the risks of losing significant sums that would hurt the speculator. </div>
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<b>Blind Luck Anyone?</b></div>
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Failing all that, I wish you [blind] good luck with all your blind speculations in Bitcoin, or whatever. [Maybe you naturally have "the feel":-) ] .</div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica"; line-height: 20px;">Regards, onebornfree. Financial Safety Services.</span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica"; line-height: 20px;"><br /></span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica"; line-height: 20px;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html">Related post:"Got Money You Can Afford To Lose?</a>"</span><br />
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All questions/comments: onebornfreeatyahoodotcom<br />
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<b> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer</a></b><br />
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<b><b> Addendum: Additional Financial Graphs:</b></b></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: black; font-family: "times"; font-size: small; font-weight: normal;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwiBnaq23K_MjBmAd-kmHCHF6-j2F1xwzxdU4enDrUNPlvWvXNX8s12H15nEa9ZrZP1DtxRAzAaIqj_Tml_S0_x6lw9GItPET_feBY4NcJd1AJpqLbqHIKv0qWNh2QHymO0MWl0QS3r09W/s1600/Picture+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="650" data-original-width="1016" height="408" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwiBnaq23K_MjBmAd-kmHCHF6-j2F1xwzxdU4enDrUNPlvWvXNX8s12H15nEa9ZrZP1DtxRAzAaIqj_Tml_S0_x6lw9GItPET_feBY4NcJd1AJpqLbqHIKv0qWNh2QHymO0MWl0QS3r09W/s640/Picture+3.png" width="640" /></a></span></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times"; font-size: small;"> </span>Fig. 5: Federal Reserve Monetary Base totals, 2012-17. Log scale.<br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMa-_9iZuzUOSLZT1r2Y487oQ1dl2QoJLzpzzstUO5Lg0k8Mff655Xh31BEjKxxb5EstaHEpqGbC2-vWs4veN4itEcpCgschJu-bD705TKEsqfNVC99QsNLHFrqwwhBMlM9knCAoGTWLbi/s1600/Picture+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="902" height="334" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMa-_9iZuzUOSLZT1r2Y487oQ1dl2QoJLzpzzstUO5Lg0k8Mff655Xh31BEjKxxb5EstaHEpqGbC2-vWs4veN4itEcpCgschJu-bD705TKEsqfNVC99QsNLHFrqwwhBMlM9knCAoGTWLbi/s640/Picture+1.png" width="640" /></a></b></div>
Fig. 6: Federal Reserve M1 totals, 2012-17. Log scale.<br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh55DqIECM5_C-JyhU6WDkbzZhuiAbnrfSbZrPDx3MqUYOzT3ckVfXlKpQqSWo4DZoWkReRJQnUfMW6bwI8lBLQtdHzzvTVm1-fZPUAMdLwJK1qSnqfe_MHXC1AZjnEfwutT8kl4PLyLqqw/s1600/Picture+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="467" data-original-width="803" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh55DqIECM5_C-JyhU6WDkbzZhuiAbnrfSbZrPDx3MqUYOzT3ckVfXlKpQqSWo4DZoWkReRJQnUfMW6bwI8lBLQtdHzzvTVm1-fZPUAMdLwJK1qSnqfe_MHXC1AZjnEfwutT8kl4PLyLqqw/s640/Picture+3.png" width="640" /></a></b></div>
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: "times"; font-size: small; font-weight: normal;"> </span></b>Fig. 7: Federal Reserve M2 totals, 2012-17. Log scale.<br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg90QA_Zp_9BhOI3BeWsA7Eb744MNNUlBmyaWtMOOphXpfmPk5t2IK9T9qG6vEQfBQbXL_ZTy-mfdeFCt90WYKROAkKVEKl_IhlN0mc_qJg9uK8zfO5BnWsWQkCZMlsa79QJATA1JeiIqZ9/s1600/Picture+4.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="471" data-original-width="755" height="398" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg90QA_Zp_9BhOI3BeWsA7Eb744MNNUlBmyaWtMOOphXpfmPk5t2IK9T9qG6vEQfBQbXL_ZTy-mfdeFCt90WYKROAkKVEKl_IhlN0mc_qJg9uK8zfO5BnWsWQkCZMlsa79QJATA1JeiIqZ9/s640/Picture+4.png" width="640" /></a></b></div>
Fig. 8: Federal Reserve MZM totals, 2012-17. Log scale.<br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSShV97Dm7KPGGZJDEzPTP01KS3-ah2tKpEwdYCdBb7RPVYKGNRb8iEE_M0wUjjjqeJrJfz8nUN7-yoQjSiyn2t_WMIEMIrakeyY-ujS5zHw-82BJZduRAVb_syGxOA5rhzvRrW9QbHFTo/s1600/Picture+6.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="752" height="402" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjSShV97Dm7KPGGZJDEzPTP01KS3-ah2tKpEwdYCdBb7RPVYKGNRb8iEE_M0wUjjjqeJrJfz8nUN7-yoQjSiyn2t_WMIEMIrakeyY-ujS5zHw-82BJZduRAVb_syGxOA5rhzvRrW9QbHFTo/s640/Picture+6.png" width="640" /></a></b></div>
Fig. 9: Exchange rates, $ US vs. the Euro 2012-17. Log scale.<br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdC_LGhqsYrQ0Wkt2eS-Ukz-EJD45L9erUN8qBY7Wp3CkbM4xKpnj7ivmNmSQ0u52rhGDBKc3ez2nNWkPiXXKGOSusWkKVR7fcxWd4uqR9-yHYF_7vQbtFgYZCLlcQ9sv6DUr2yFsUnKwz/s1600/Picture+7.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="470" data-original-width="752" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdC_LGhqsYrQ0Wkt2eS-Ukz-EJD45L9erUN8qBY7Wp3CkbM4xKpnj7ivmNmSQ0u52rhGDBKc3ez2nNWkPiXXKGOSusWkKVR7fcxWd4uqR9-yHYF_7vQbtFgYZCLlcQ9sv6DUr2yFsUnKwz/s640/Picture+7.png" width="640" /></a></b></div>
Fig. 10: Interest rates: US 3 month T-Bill 2012-17.<br />
[Click on image to enlarge] <br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhDSEmn374D19OIX3qWAmmub3Hx5e4NkCBjhQEYVj93NCqnC7ocFGclWdIWM59uWTgJDPZtOg7uGAVT77iFfFdygT_sZeco2zSiBRO6N7xTDwJxm98mZ_BGdag00DA9j6Td3mhFWXFtQck/s1600/Picture+8.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="473" data-original-width="753" height="402" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhDSEmn374D19OIX3qWAmmub3Hx5e4NkCBjhQEYVj93NCqnC7ocFGclWdIWM59uWTgJDPZtOg7uGAVT77iFfFdygT_sZeco2zSiBRO6N7xTDwJxm98mZ_BGdag00DA9j6Td3mhFWXFtQck/s640/Picture+8.png" width="640" /></a></b></div>
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"> </span></b> Fig. 11: Interest rates: US 30 year T-bond 2012-17.<br />
[Click on image to enlarge]<br />
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-41322332572172116872017-05-31T06:51:00.001-07:002021-02-07T16:30:52.143-08:00How Long Can the Fed Keep the Boom Going?<b>How Long Can the Fed Keep the Boom Going?</b><br />
<br />
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3vOnrUfHKr-9BHLD-cM6C7kDBQIj3Z-r57P_zPPc29RHvr9vjgi2nz5rkmW7qtFvS3VHvj8fLb7YuAEYuX77fHKBHmH9OFz0tMAt7jlaanu97J_lvDkSbNWIC40w1f1ec28RggNtiSIja/s1600/Picture+2.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="597" data-original-width="719" height="529" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3vOnrUfHKr-9BHLD-cM6C7kDBQIj3Z-r57P_zPPc29RHvr9vjgi2nz5rkmW7qtFvS3VHvj8fLb7YuAEYuX77fHKBHmH9OFz0tMAt7jlaanu97J_lvDkSbNWIC40w1f1ec28RggNtiSIja/s1600/Picture+2.png" width="640" /></a><b> </b><br />
<br />
"The US bond market trades at a quite high valuation. For instance,
the 10-year US Treasury bond presents a price earnings (PE) ratio of 43.
In other words: It takes 43 years for the investor to recoup the bond’s
purchase price through coupon payments; the bond market’s PE ratio even
went up to 68 in June 2012 and July 2016, respectively.<br />
<br />
At the
same time, the PE ratio of the stock market is at 23, significantly
higher than its long-term average of close to 17 for the period from
1973 to 2017. That said, the 10-year Treasury bond has become more
hazardous compared to stocks. This is exactly what the PE ratio tells
us: The higher (lower) the PE ratio, the higher (lower) the investor’s
risk.................."<br />
<br />
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3vOnrUfHKr-9BHLD-cM6C7kDBQIj3Z-r57P_zPPc29RHvr9vjgi2nz5rkmW7qtFvS3VHvj8fLb7YuAEYuX77fHKBHmH9OFz0tMAt7jlaanu97J_lvDkSbNWIC40w1f1ec28RggNtiSIja/s1600/Picture+2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"></a>"..........Given
current bond and stock market valuations, investors seem to be fairly
confident that the Fed will succeed in keeping the boom going, that the
central bank will not overdo it in terms of raising interest rates. And
yes, perhaps central bankers have learned a great deal in recent years,
having become true maestros in holding up the make believe world of fiat
money.<br />
<br />
The investor should be aware of the damages caused by
fiat money — for instance, boom and bust. <b>At the same time, he should
not run for the exit prematurely: The fiat money system might be held up
for longer than some may fear and others might hope..</b>.........."[ my emphasis]<br />
<br />
Original article in full <a href="https://mises.org/blog/how-long-can-fed-keep-boom-goinghttps://mises.org/blog/how-long-can-fed-keep-boom-going"><b>here</b></a>.<br />
<br /><a href="https://mises.org/blog/how-long-can-fed-keep-boom-going"></a>
<br />
<b>Financial Safety Services commentary:</b><br />
<br />
<i>What <b>is</b> next: Recession? Inflation? Deflation? Stock market boom? </i><br />
<br />
<i>Fact: nobody knows.<br /><br />Wondering,
worrying about what the Fed, the president, congress etc. etc. may, or
may not do, [ or about what it/they have already done], or where "the market" will be 6 months, a year or more from today, is an
unnecessary waste of your precious time!<br /><b><br />Danger Sign</b></i><br />
<br />
<i>However, if you are
personally worried about what might be coming next, then that is a sure
sign that you are dangerously overexposed in [either] stocks, bonds,
cash, gold, real estate, or whatever.<br /><br /><b>2 hard -learned lessons of investment/speculation reality:</b></i><br />
<br />
<i>[1]: nobody, but nobody can reliably, consistently predict future economic conditions. <br /><br />[2]: It's wholly unnecessary for the individual to</i> <i>have to try to predict future economic conditions, or
to utilize the services of someone who claims to be able to do that, in
order to secure one's precious savings against inflation, deflation,
recession etc..</i><br />
<br />
See:<a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html"> <b>"Got Money You Can Afford To Lose?"</b></a><br />
<br />
Regards, onebornfreeOnebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-56065640782773439162017-01-30T11:05:00.001-08:002021-02-07T16:32:36.784-08:00Will The Yellen Fed Cause a Trump Recession?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</a></span></b></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0q2QscYLSKk1ZZkWddX0OFB1PjdDKUlBNTPIV6EzyN_MFrlPw5wlQU9xCc-rfgS_YEpoUEDF_QYRkYUIQc5GFm2sBEPDTAZYsx9FaGjwD4WCS3frkj2PX05fjqqBEFEOUE5kGXojxYFda/s1600/Picture+3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0q2QscYLSKk1ZZkWddX0OFB1PjdDKUlBNTPIV6EzyN_MFrlPw5wlQU9xCc-rfgS_YEpoUEDF_QYRkYUIQc5GFm2sBEPDTAZYsx9FaGjwD4WCS3frkj2PX05fjqqBEFEOUE5kGXojxYFda/s1600/Picture+3.png" /></a></div>
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<i>Ms. Janet Yellen. Fed Chair since Feb. 3rd 2014</i></div>
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The graph below explains the title of this post.</div>
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Obviously, the Fed under <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Janet_Yellen">Janet Yellen </a>has been gradually <b>decreasing</b> the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_base">Monetary Base </a>[MB], that is, the most narrow, generally considered most liquid, money supply figure, since at least the 3rd quarter of 2016:</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5HxgdgdDA7xRrZcn68Y4mnlQlBolHXzrIIpk8QI8MvduJMPgcKH1qscuiThlG_8wN_lEDTLv6ZJmST8ff33vvK7FJcbobhefSb3gpYtvQLhuErL58VXyzkyNj3SvQQGDKIfPfaDGG3x9Q/s1600/mb-yellen.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5HxgdgdDA7xRrZcn68Y4mnlQlBolHXzrIIpk8QI8MvduJMPgcKH1qscuiThlG_8wN_lEDTLv6ZJmST8ff33vvK7FJcbobhefSb3gpYtvQLhuErL58VXyzkyNj3SvQQGDKIfPfaDGG3x9Q/s640/mb-yellen.png" width="640" /></a>Fig. 1: Federal Reserve Monetary Base, Non-Seasonally Adjusted, [Fed Chair J. Yellen], </div>
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January 2014 - December 2016, Millions of $'s, Log scale</div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">Financial Safety Services Commentary:</span></b></div>
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<b><br /></b></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">Exactly What Does The Fed's Monetary Tightening Mean?: </span></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><br /></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">It could mean that a recession, at the very least, is on the way during the new presidents [Donald Trump] first term. [ Basically, a recession within an ongoing recession/depression]. </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><br /></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">It is impossible to know for certain, and the picture becomes ever more cloudy if we go back and look at the enormous monetary base manipulations that have occurred since 2008 [ via Ms. Yellen's predecessor, Ben Bernanke]:</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg1pFb2ZQutdZuN4tX5oKrMDeL-3MD3rLAYXKvVFwb1Cna4Nk9bsHlvgJMV6n1BZsHtZ5Gnhlrp6QNwfufqZKPt_UShsYjMm7PoGHYNultYddlF4HQaxjeOdBYyK3MdIHNDzIgQUHmQauD/s1600/mb-07-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg1pFb2ZQutdZuN4tX5oKrMDeL-3MD3rLAYXKvVFwb1Cna4Nk9bsHlvgJMV6n1BZsHtZ5Gnhlrp6QNwfufqZKPt_UShsYjMm7PoGHYNultYddlF4HQaxjeOdBYyK3MdIHNDzIgQUHmQauD/s640/mb-07-17.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Fig. 2: Monetary Base [MB] , Millions of $'s, Non-Seasonally Adjusted, Federal Reserve, '07- Dec.2016, Log. Scale</div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">Will this more recent tightening under Yellen have any effect on dampening the effects of the massive Fed monetary base injections of the recent past? Maybe, maybe not. The longer the tightening continues, the more likely it is to actually have an effect and initiate a "Trump recession", in theory at least. </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><br /></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><b>Good News!</b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><br /></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">However, here is some good news: it is entirely unnecessary for you to have to try to predict/forecast future economic events from graphs [or similar], or to have to rely on [and pay] someone else to do that for you. </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #e06666;"><b>A real world fact: the economic future cannot be accurately predicted via any graph, no matter who constructed it, or what it claims to show. If you need to know why that is so, then for a very large fee, I can explain to you exactly why all graphs are useless for predicting future economic events. :-) </b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">So, if you are worried about your own savings either because of, or despite what is revealed in these graphs/figures,</span><u><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html">here is some free advice on how to best protect your savings etc.</a></span></u></div>
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<u><br /></u></div>
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Regards, onebornfree.</div>
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onebornfreeatyahoodotcom</div>
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<b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</span></a></b></div>
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<u><br /></u></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><b>Related Articles: </b></span><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html">"</a><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 19px;"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/mr-ben-bernanke-greatest-inflator.html">Mr. Ben Bernanke: The Great[est] Inflator ?"</a> </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 19px; font-weight: bold;"><br /></span></div>
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<a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/whats-next-deflation-inflation-or.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 19px;">"What’s Next: Deflation, Inflation, or Hyperinflation?"</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 19px; font-weight: bold;"> </span></a></div>
<br />
<br />
<b>Three More [Broader], Money Supply Graphs :</b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjApklsExfI2tnLqZIa5pZsSmMBC1awNQXnkfHX-WBKM68fIi9W7dej9bgEXGzTCYoB8HbKwKzxFm84CvkrUGPnxTkFFxFxU0RWYs7Yx9CPAFtIPhQMKanS3u7c54YwroIrV2552zRPyWbO/s1600/m1-07-0117.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjApklsExfI2tnLqZIa5pZsSmMBC1awNQXnkfHX-WBKM68fIi9W7dej9bgEXGzTCYoB8HbKwKzxFm84CvkrUGPnxTkFFxFxU0RWYs7Yx9CPAFtIPhQMKanS3u7c54YwroIrV2552zRPyWbO/s640/m1-07-0117.png" width="640" /></a></div>
Fig. 3: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply">M1 Money Supply</a>, Non-Seasonally Adjusted, <b>Billions</b> of $'s, Federal Reserve, '07- Dec.2016, Log. Scale<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1hV-JZZW38gxmAWJHDUQWVoCN6gnLBKe6wsvo7dNA75kenltrcReDgn8o9q97swHTx5bRkNZyPgKEtGqMsv9NhJNgOuj8csnu4YcyRv3VmtuPc86uWkf0d6H0uy1_Wg2Yc90S8vl4EbOS/s1600/m2-07-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1hV-JZZW38gxmAWJHDUQWVoCN6gnLBKe6wsvo7dNA75kenltrcReDgn8o9q97swHTx5bRkNZyPgKEtGqMsv9NhJNgOuj8csnu4YcyRv3VmtuPc86uWkf0d6H0uy1_Wg2Yc90S8vl4EbOS/s640/m2-07-17.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Fig. 4: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply">M2 Money Supply</a>, Non-Seasonally Adjusted, <b>Billions </b>of $'s, Federal Reserve, '07- Dec.2016, Log. Scale<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJHLzUkW66zQYQE7d3KzgRrep9Ju7QJbjy0NN1jZxPb6V1QiqMkmPsjicDIfV0qPAzW43V99XlsluosgiD85itsUKefBHXJY6A6Wd48Yr7C8uemqEXt1Nu9T9sLoDQBQPGmAMwyrsQd1gj/s1600/mzm-07-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="532" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJHLzUkW66zQYQE7d3KzgRrep9Ju7QJbjy0NN1jZxPb6V1QiqMkmPsjicDIfV0qPAzW43V99XlsluosgiD85itsUKefBHXJY6A6Wd48Yr7C8uemqEXt1Nu9T9sLoDQBQPGmAMwyrsQd1gj/s640/mzm-07-17.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">
Fig. 5:<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply"> MZM Money Supply</a>, Non-Seasonally Adjusted, <b>Billions</b> of $'s, Federal Reserve, '07- Dec.2016, Log. Scale</div>
<div>
<br />
<b>Interest Rates: </b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxO7RQ1lRp3LJm5pCumxPMRhCNaoNdc1qAuuBQvQZF-ditQ1cxzANFYsPpS1m1N3Hv6zSLTlyT-z__WYpcSmSghQDBYwwHgxBwaylanYw8pWj5UPZewl2tqVVndv7mHFy0K1zMXHeaFv65/s1600/3mo.treas-07-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxO7RQ1lRp3LJm5pCumxPMRhCNaoNdc1qAuuBQvQZF-ditQ1cxzANFYsPpS1m1N3Hv6zSLTlyT-z__WYpcSmSghQDBYwwHgxBwaylanYw8pWj5UPZewl2tqVVndv7mHFy0K1zMXHeaFv65/s640/3mo.treas-07-17.png" width="640" /></a></span></b><br />
<b><br /></b>
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<div style="text-align: center;">
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Fig. 6 U.S. 3 month Treasury Bill Interest Rates, January '07-December '16, Monthly Averages, </div>
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Log scale</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh16vwhs6YsBmkgq3En5br79rYBDGsyCzasj5sA3-YaczkFfNy5w_7rDNbrOhiwyLfW7otAzT-7M8OlYYJ3yiFqvo4u-OoNnMTQKW4rvMNyJ_DwNB3r07wLugLlfHvvJRbsEgiwKTJlUzL9/s1600/10yr+treas-07-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh16vwhs6YsBmkgq3En5br79rYBDGsyCzasj5sA3-YaczkFfNy5w_7rDNbrOhiwyLfW7otAzT-7M8OlYYJ3yiFqvo4u-OoNnMTQKW4rvMNyJ_DwNB3r07wLugLlfHvvJRbsEgiwKTJlUzL9/s640/10yr+treas-07-17.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Fig. 7:U.S. 10 year Treasury Bond Interest Rates, January '07-December '16, Monthly Averages, </div>
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Log scale.</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbgUI7aVHHZxhSXIq_GlbSQ6kERX58O2l1T81WFVl9aFFKE1n7JiDskyHgjVuvTSt9EXqzTYTwOSx2bw2X6BkMHbyk5SClc-umnw3p58pUuAkx8cxcBbc0c8X8U_XOb8geWfg4jZyAL0AH/s1600/30+yr+treas-07-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="428" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbgUI7aVHHZxhSXIq_GlbSQ6kERX58O2l1T81WFVl9aFFKE1n7JiDskyHgjVuvTSt9EXqzTYTwOSx2bw2X6BkMHbyk5SClc-umnw3p58pUuAkx8cxcBbc0c8X8U_XOb8geWfg4jZyAL0AH/s640/30+yr+treas-07-17.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Fig. 8:U.S. 30 year Treasury Bond Interest Rates, January '07-December '16, Monthly Averages, </div>
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Log scale.</div>
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-13733356167674961592017-01-23T09:47:00.001-08:002021-02-07T16:33:37.809-08:00George Soros Versus "The World's Best Kept Investment Secret"<br />
George Soros Versus "The World's Best Kept Investment Secret":<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOENy5ChvHr_4TPwnqg37JnxWHf_0T2nTpEDEyIaKDCGTY6CxP9ncooUErdEw3ygKhpxPnch1VYJPnOFC10FDEOTdFaKNp5MvOOfSLf20Ijqn0gmIDfXVsNijP0hEXlCWbdmyU5QAg8to8/s1600/Picture+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="289" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOENy5ChvHr_4TPwnqg37JnxWHf_0T2nTpEDEyIaKDCGTY6CxP9ncooUErdEw3ygKhpxPnch1VYJPnOFC10FDEOTdFaKNp5MvOOfSLf20Ijqn0gmIDfXVsNijP0hEXlCWbdmyU5QAg8to8/s320/Picture+1.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</span></a></b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: xx-small;"><i>[n.b. this post is in no way an endorsement by myself of Mr. Soros, nor of his personal political philosophy and goals]</i></span></b><br />
<b><br /></b>
<b>Onebornfree's Financial Safety Services commentary: </b><br />
<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><br /></span></i>
<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><b>Now you might think that a person as rich as Mr Soros would have access to the best financial/investment advice in the world, but apparently not. He's reported to have lost around $1 billion in the Brexit outcome, and another $1 billion betting against the "Trump bump" [ the temporary increase in US stock indices after Trumps win]. <u>He obviously has no idea of what amounts to "the world's best kept investment secret"</u>. Any reader out there who personally knows Mr Soros :-) ; please ask him to contact me so I can enlighten/elucidate him on that secret, so that he would never again suffer these types of losses. :</b></span></i><br />
<br />
<b>George Soros lost nearly $1 billion when Donald Trump won:</b><br />
<br />
"Billionaire hedge-fund manager and Hillary Clinton supporter George Soros bet against the stock market’s reaction to the election of President-elect Donald Trump and lost almost $1 billion in the process, The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday"............:<br />
<a href="http://www.theblaze.com/news/2017/01/13%20...%20trump-won/">http://www.theblaze.com/news/2017/01/13 ... trump-won/</a><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcKOyN9NfUG3QStoFls6erA6qziCsJy4Nlh_1AwwnRaebycHRKVhJCYnKvxwGBpqZvVB7OJkplUZZUO026oWR7T_Jt38yhLLIptusKq9qHUhUDOYbsgcv-6d3YWPibmQiX-Wdhqmmqdf6c/s1600/sp500-trump+bump.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="492" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhcKOyN9NfUG3QStoFls6erA6qziCsJy4Nlh_1AwwnRaebycHRKVhJCYnKvxwGBpqZvVB7OJkplUZZUO026oWR7T_Jt38yhLLIptusKq9qHUhUDOYbsgcv-6d3YWPibmQiX-Wdhqmmqdf6c/s640/sp500-trump+bump.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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"The Trump Bump": The Standard & Poors 500 Index- October 2016 -January 2017</div>
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[Click on image to enlarge]</div>
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<b>"How George Soros Lost Money In a Bad Brexit Bet":</b><br />
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"Perhaps George Soros should go back into retirement.<br />
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It appears the 85-year-old lost money betting that the British pound would rise in the wake of the Brexit vote. A Soros spokesperson confirm to Bloomberg that the octogenarian's fund was "long" the pound even after the vote. The fact that Soros lost money betting on the pound is surprising not only because he famously made a billion dollars "breaking the pound" back in 1992, but also because he predicting a drop in the sterling would happen...": <a href="http://fortune.com/2016/06/27/soros-pound-brexit/">http://fortune.com/2016/06/27/soros-pound-brexit/</a><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEirvRZYmoI71n0MocFcw96E8Sw42XrVQfwANP5JR1-RBh9C7Ax7pfZ2dTql9dYBv6bh0-CzKzGBVIlpoYxTKdbyLmbKTrTVz6Cg3cAuW6ldN4aeuxYm7pp0HGrVCekD4xdQXJ0LzimUtYkz/s1600/Picture+1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEirvRZYmoI71n0MocFcw96E8Sw42XrVQfwANP5JR1-RBh9C7Ax7pfZ2dTql9dYBv6bh0-CzKzGBVIlpoYxTKdbyLmbKTrTVz6Cg3cAuW6ldN4aeuxYm7pp0HGrVCekD4xdQXJ0LzimUtYkz/s640/Picture+1.png" width="640" /></a>British Pound/ $US Exchange Rates, June 01, 2016 - January 2017 [Click on image to enlarge]</div>
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[<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum,_2016" title="United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, 2016">"Brexit" referendum was held on 23 June 2016</a>]</div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-size: large;">Can't Afford To Lose Big Like Mr Soros, Dear Reader? </span></b><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">To perhaps entirely avoid your own financial ruin, please go </span><b style="color: red;"> <a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2016/11/speculations-got-money-you-can-afford.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-large;">here</span></a></b> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">for free information!</span></span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7DrrIhCGTco21MjMURVOxSXaVUfii-Fd8KqLvu5KyGT5tgufWcFexRYHdhVxCt7mi-fx2gt_MyEz_nmL8fGJylHkKklPkwaCpE7jANEybDxw0w6dSLvHK12YJSSATNSeTYTDo4QhxrN_N/s1600/sp500-07-17.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7DrrIhCGTco21MjMURVOxSXaVUfii-Fd8KqLvu5KyGT5tgufWcFexRYHdhVxCt7mi-fx2gt_MyEz_nmL8fGJylHkKklPkwaCpE7jANEybDxw0w6dSLvHK12YJSSATNSeTYTDo4QhxrN_N/s640/sp500-07-17.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Above: US Standard and Poors 500 Index, '07-'17. [Click on image to enlarge]<br />
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Regards, Onebornfree<br />
onebornfreeatyahoodotcom.<br />
<b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;">Financial Safety Services disclaimer</span></a></b>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-62136381340818046062016-11-30T11:58:00.005-08:002023-10-30T09:21:40.970-07:00Got Money You Can Afford To Lose?[How to Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc.]<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee;"><u><b><span class="Apple-style-span"><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer</a></span></b></u></span><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span"> </span></b></span></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span"><br /></span></b></span></b></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_dDZf87zYb_eE-3-kedKTQddCP4csbW8COXxSlmRSa_y90T5sWMQkNqPJtW6T-nZZ93MAsct3pFug-06uJj7tKwhuNEwL0Bd0vdAYIQ0HVdMPlMf35Q6G1d3aZT0eqCoJhttVQ4kqYqOw/s1600/Picture+1.png" style="font-size: xx-large; font-weight: bold; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_dDZf87zYb_eE-3-kedKTQddCP4csbW8COXxSlmRSa_y90T5sWMQkNqPJtW6T-nZZ93MAsct3pFug-06uJj7tKwhuNEwL0Bd0vdAYIQ0HVdMPlMf35Q6G1d3aZT0eqCoJhttVQ4kqYqOw/s1600/Picture+1.png" /></a></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #b45f06; font-size: x-large;">Got Money You Can Afford to Lose? Or: How to Safely Profit In Stocks, Bonds,Gold, Crypto-Currencies etc.</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red; font-size: x-large;"><div style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">FREE!</span> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">Financial Safety Services Free All-Weather Speculation Suggestions!:</span></div></span><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b>Step 1: </b>Divide your total savings to date into 2 "piles" :</span></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[a] money you cannot afford to lose,</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">and...</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[b] money you <b>can</b> afford to lose.</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">Got No Money You Could Afford To Lose?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">If you have no money you could afford to lose, don't worry, <b>just ignore all of the speculative suggestions given below. <u>Do not speculate with money you cannot afford to lose! </u></b></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Much more importantly, the money you cannot afford to lose needs to be safe, in a neutrally balanced, long term, non-predictive savings plan<span class="Apple-style-span"><u> <b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2014/09/long-term-savings-plan-results-update.html">similar to this one</a></b>.</u></span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">If you still wish to speculate [ in whatever], in order to get money you could realistically afford to lose [if you do not have any at the present time], you are first going to have to acquire, earn, save/put money aside that is in excess of current needs and expenditures and long term savings requirements.</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"> <b>Got Money You Could Afford To Lose?</b></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Use only money
you can realistically afford to lose for any of the following
speculative ideas. These suggestions are for pure speculations [i.e. bets, or gambles] - <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">I'll say it again: don't
risk <b>any</b> money you cannot realistically afford to lose, <b>_EVER_</b>.</span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Got it yet? :-) .</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">Banking Crisis Ahead?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Do you believe that a banking crisis is coming?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Suggestion: buy put options* on bank stocks </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[ using only money you can afford to lose].</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-weight: 700;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;"> Inflation Ahead?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Do you believe that inflation is coming?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Suggestion: buy gold or call options* on gold, </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[ using only money you can afford to lose].</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">Recession Ahead?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Do you believe that a recession coming?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Suggestion: buy put options* on stocks or stock indices </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[ using only money you can afford to lose].</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">Government Debt Crisis Ahead?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Do you believe that the debt crisis is going out of control?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Suggestion: buy put options* on government bonds </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[ using only money you can afford to lose].</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">False Alarm Crisis Ahead?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Do you believe that a false alarm "crisis" is coming?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Suggestion:
buy junk bonds - which should profit considerably when interest rates
fall sharply </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[ using only money you can afford to lose].</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">Everything's going to Be A O.K.?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Do you believe that the economy will "muddle through" somehow?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Suggestion: buy stocks of companies you believe would most profit </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[ using only money you can afford to lose].</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<b><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: x-large;">Deflation Ahead?</span></b></div></b><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Do you believe that a deflation is coming?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Suggestion: Buy 30 year US treasury bonds, or the equivalent if you are not living in the US </span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">[ using only money you can afford to lose].</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">*An
option is a security that profits if a stock, stock index, or whatever,
goes up [ call option] or down [put option]. As options have very short
lives, typically no more than 9 months, they usually expire worthless.
Therefor any speculation made with "play money" via options should only
utilize a small part of the "play money" total, otherwise you could lose
all of that "play money" within a few months.</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">Regards, onebornfree. Quesions/comments: onebornfreeatyahoodotcom.</span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><br /></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee;"><u><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><span class="Apple-style-span">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer</span></a></b></u></span></div>Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2160627891084152112.post-75275694035174573872016-11-20T09:35:00.001-08:002021-02-07T16:34:08.432-08:00The Strange, Ongoing Contradictions of Bill Bonner <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: #0000ee;"><u><b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2013/07/the-financial-safety-services-disclaimer.html"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: x-small;">Financial Safety Services Disclaimer</span></a></b></u></span><br />
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<i>Mr.Bill Bonner</i></div>
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Here's Bill Bonner [one of my two favorite financial writers- the other being <a href="http://www.internationalman.com/">Doug Casey</a>, blatantly contradicting himself regarding the future of the economy.</div>
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First he predicts a depression : "Why Negative Rates Can’t Stop the Coming Depression"...</div>
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... then he says in the article itself: "The future is always unknown."</div>
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<a href="http://www.internationalman.com/articles/why-negative-rates-cant-stop-the-coming-depression">http://www.internationalman.com/articles/why-negative-rates-cant-stop-the-coming-depression</a></div>
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Hmmm, so, we are [1] in for a depression but [2] no one can predict the future ? [I agree with the last part, although someone out there may get lucky, even possibly Mr Bonner himself, I suppose].</div>
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<b>To try to make my own position a little clearer:</b></div>
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Depressions/deflations , have happened in the past, so they _will_occur in the futre at some point, regardless of what some might say; no differently than inflation, recession, "stagflation", economic "good times", or whatever else, have occurred in the past and will/must therefor continue to naturally occur in the future - its just that <b>none of those economic conditions can be reliably predicted ahead of time.</b></div>
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So Mr Bonner is right in one sense- there will be a depression at some point in the future, however [and ignoring the fact that I have instinctively "leaned" towards a deflationary scenario for a number of years in my conversations with clients and others], there can be no guarantee that that "the greater depression" will occur in yours, or my, lifetimes. Which is why you need <b><a href="http://onebornfreesfinancialsafetyreports.blogspot.com/2014/09/long-term-savings-plan-results-update.html">a neutral [i.e. none-predictive] long term savings plan for the money you cannot afford to lose,</a></b> in my humble opinion.</div>
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Regards, onebornfreeatyahoo</div>
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Onebornfreehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17865185718738348312noreply@blogger.com0