Onebornfree’s Financial Safety Reports- a free report from Financial Safety Educational Services.Examining the psychology behind dangerous investment beliefs+assumptions common to most individuals; that endanger their wealth and long term savings, short term speculations, and their financial safety, security and privacy.
Is Widespread $US Price Inflation Definitely Coming?
A question for you, dear reader : Is price inflation [here defined as an across-the- board steady loss of purchasing power for the $US], definitely coming our way?
Below are quotes/links to various finance, economic and investment commentators that made such claims in recent articles, plus one article that proposes further US stock market gains.
What Do I Think?
To see my own commentary on these various predictions, and, more importantly, how to avoid having to rely on _any_ predictions,please go to the bottom of this blog entry.
US Consumer Prices [CPI], in $US, 1875-2003, [log.scale]
[N.B. All graphs at graph index page, here , which has links to all current graphs on this site.]
US Consumer Price Index [CPI] averages , 2000-'21
[N.B. All graphs at graph index page, here , which has links to all current graphs on this site.]
"No Inflation in Sight, Why the Inflation Debate?” On one hand, fiscal stimulus is and will be racing through Main Street, some people say. Others claim that “the pandemic hasn’t altered the dynamics of the past dozen years or so when deflation, rather than overheating, has been the big threat.” I might butt in and mention that all stimuli have headed for Wall Street: stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, and single-family housing."
"Max Keiser talks to Stephen Flood of GoldCore.com about the case for gold in a bitcoin world, as well as the recent Reddit-driven buying frenzy, which sent silver prices soaring to an eight-year high."
US Federal Reserve Monetary Base[MB] Supply, 2000-21[log scale]
"In the U.S., for example, the quantity of money, measured by M2, has increased by a whopping 26% in a single year. This is the largest annual increase since 1943.The combination of the fast growth of money in circulation and the decline in production capacity, whatever the cause, is the pre-condition for ravaging inflation"
Financial Safety Services Commentary on the various predictions above - Important Questions For Investors/Speculators:
So what's comes next, dear reader? Another global plandemic crisis?, bank failures?, stock market crash?, stock market boom?, deflation? , hyper-Inflation?, US dollar crash?
REALITY FACT: NOBODY, INCLUDING ALL SO-CALLED "EXPERTS", REALLY KNOWS FOR SURE!
"If it were possible to calculate the future structure of the market, the future would not be uncertain. There would be neither entrepreneurial loss nor profit. What people expect from the economists is beyond the power of any mortal man."
"No one can consistently and accurately predict "big picture" future economic events and scenarios. No investment "expert" advisor, no banker, no money manager, no economist, no politician, no computer algorithm, no fortune teller- not even you :-) [although any one of these, including yourself, might get it right on occasion, purely by chance"- Onebornfree.
Whither The Economy? Some Recent "Expert" Market Predictions:
Standard and Poors 500 Stock Index 5 Year performance-[log scale]
[N.B. more stock market, commodity, crypto-currency, money supply etc. graphs here]
"Expert" Prediction [1]-An Inflationary Depression Is Definitely Coming Soon!:
Gold bullion/$US price per Troy ounce, 10 years [log scale]
[N.B. more stock market, commodity, crypto-currency, money supply etc. graphs here]
"In his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff said the service sector is about to follow manufacturing into recession. He also talked about the recent employment numbers and explained how the Fed is acting like a Soviet Politburo.":An Inflationary Depression
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aji7x4F4nOI
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"Expert" Prediction[2]: An October Stock Market Crash Is Definitely Coming!:
“It’s all hype…” “It’s clickbait…” “It’s fearmongering…”. That’s just some of what folks are saying about my prediction that the stock market will crash this month.
I can’t blame them for being skeptical. After all, the financial industry is full of folks who make scary predictions just to capture headlines and get their “15 minutes of fame.” But what if I’m not one of those people?....................And what if I’m noticing that many conditions in the stock market today are eerily similar to conditions that have preceded bear markets before?.....":
Attention dear reader! This"just"in: No one can consistently and accurately predict "big picture" future economic events and scenarios. No investment advisor, no money manager, no economist, no politician, no computer program, no fortune teller- not even you :-) [although any one of these, including yourself, might get it right on occasion, purely by chance]. For various underlying, fundamental reasons, the "big picture" financial and economic future must always remain unknown.
"If it were possible to calculate the future structure of the market, the future would not be uncertain. There would be neither entrepreneurial loss nor profit. What people expect from the economists is beyond the power of any mortal man." Ludwig Von Mises