Showing posts with label Nasdaq. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nasdaq. Show all posts

Monday, October 30, 2023

Economic Overview:Graph Updates-Federal Debt. Money Supply, Interest Rates, Stocks, Gold,Crypto, Inflation

MONERO crypto-coin donations here:

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Wither the Economy?

Below, dear reader, are, for your consideration and entertainment,  various graphs I've recently compiled in an attempt to give some sort of "big-picture" overview of the state of the US economy right now, or, more accurately, as it was maybe a short while ago, given the fact that any graph becomes obsolete the minute it is published :-) .

WARNING! :

None of these graphs should be considered, either in isolation, or in total, as guides to the true future state of the US economy, and therefor then used to decide where to "invest" one's hard earned money!  

Why?

Because, the  economic future cannot be reliably and consistently predicted by graphs, cycle theory, investment advisors, portfolio managers, astrology. [For some relevant quotes, see here].

Free Advice?
If you would like to know what to do about this "dreadful" fact of reality [i.e. the inability of anyone to reliably and consistently predict future economic scenarios/prices etc.] please go to the bottom of this page and click the embedded link there to my article:
"How To Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc., Despite An Unknowable Economic Future"
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Inflation/Consumer Price Index [CPI]:

Consumer Price Index [CPI] - 2014-09/23


Federal Deficits/Debt:

Federal Deficits 1910-'23
 
 Federal Debt ,10 years.

Money Supply [MB, M1,M2]: 
 
Monetary Base [MB] 2014- 09/23. Log scale


M1- 2014- 09/23.Log scale

M1 Velocity, 2014- 09/23

M2 2014- 09/23.Log scale


M2 Velocity- 2014- 09/23


Treasury Bill/Bond Yields:

3 Month Treasury Bill Yields -2014 -09/23

10 Year Treasury Bond Yields- 2014- 09/23

30 Year Treasury Bond Yields- 2014- 09/23

Stock Market Indices:

Standard and Poors 500- 2014- 09/23. Log scale


Nasdaq- 2014- 0923

Gold Bullion:



Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin + Ethereum:

                    Bitcoin v. $US, 2019- 0923. Log scale


 Ethereum 2017-'23, Log Scale

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Ad: The Great Economic and Investment Predictions Scam:


So what's Next? Inflation?Another Global Plandemic? Bank Failures?, A Stock Market Boom? Stock Market Crash? Deflation? Hyper-Inflation ? A Dollar crash? 


THIS "JUST" IN -

 A REALITY FACT THAT MOST EVERYONE IS IN COMPLETE DENIAL OF: 


NOBODY, INCLUDING ALL SO-CALLED "INVESTMENT EXPERTS" ECONOMISTS ETC., REALLY KNOWS FOR SURE!   


Question: 

So if nobody can reliably, consistently, predict the economic future, what can rhe individual do in light of this simple, yet hard to swallow, fact?  


See: "How To Safely Profit In Stocks,Gold,Crypto's etc., Despite An Unknowable Economic Future"


See also: 

Can Money Supply Figures Accurately Predict The Economic Future ?


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Saturday, November 2, 2019

Financial Safety Services Special Reports-11th. Nov. 2019

 "No one can consistently and accurately predict "big picture" future economic events and scenarios. No investment "expert" advisor, no banker, no money manager, no economist, no politician, no computer algorithm, no fortune teller- not even you :-) [although any one of these, including yourself, might get it right on occasion, purely by chance"- Onebornfree.

                              
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Whither The Economy?  Some Recent "Expert" Market Predictions:

Standard and Poors 500 Stock Index 5 Year performance-[log scale]
[N.B. more stock market, commodity, crypto-currency, money supply etc. graphs here]

"Expert" Prediction [1]-An Inflationary Depression Is Definitely Coming Soon!:

Gold bullion/$US price per Troy ounce, 10 years [log scale]

[N.B. more stock market, commodity, crypto-currency, money supply etc. graphs here]

"In his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff said the service sector is about to follow manufacturing into recession. He also talked about the recent employment numbers and explained how the Fed is acting like a Soviet Politburo.":An Inflationary Depression



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aji7x4F4nOI

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"Expert" Prediction[2]: An October Stock Market Crash Is Definitely Coming!:

“It’s all hype…” “It’s clickbait…” “It’s fearmongering…”. That’s just some of what folks are saying about my prediction that the stock market will crash this month.

I can’t blame them for being skeptical. After all, the financial industry is full of folks who make scary predictions just to capture headlines and get their “15 minutes of fame.” But what if I’m not one of those people?....................And what if I’m noticing that many conditions in the stock market today are eerily similar to conditions that have preceded bear markets before?.....":


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Financial Safety Services Commentary:

Attention dear reader! This"just"in: 

No one can consistently and accurately predict "big picture" future economic events and scenarios. No investment advisor, no money manager, no economist, no politician, no computer program, no fortune teller- not even you :-) [although any one of these, including yourself, might get it right on occasion, purely by chance]. 

For various underlying, fundamental reasons, the "big picture" financial and economic future must always remain unknown.

And yet,despite the fact that the economic future cannot be reliably/consistently predicted by anyone, it is still possible to easily protect the future value of your savings against the ravages of that unknowable economic future!

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                 About Onebornfree's Financial Safety Services 
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"If it were possible to calculate the future structure of the market, the future would not be uncertain. There would be neither entrepreneurial loss nor profit. What people expect from the economists is beyond the power of any mortal man."  Ludwig Von Mises

More Von Mises quotes here



Graphs- US Stock Indexes [last updated 101522]


Click here for: Graphs Main Index Page 

Dow Jones Industrial Stock Averages, 2018-22, [log scale]

S&P 500 Stock Index, 2018-22, [log scale]


NASDAQ. Composite Stock Index, 2018-2022 [log scale]

Wilshire 5000 Stock Index, 2018-22 [log scale]